Toluca vs Queretaro Prediction 18 October 2025
🔅 Toluca and Querétaro are gearing up for a clash that promises to be thrilling. Toluca are in phenomenal form, having won their last five matches in a row and sitting comfortably at the top of the table. Their attacking prowess is impressive, averaging 2.92 goals per game. However, their defense isn't always flawless, which could pose a problem against a motivated opponent. How will their encounter end? Read the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 5-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Toluca as the home side):
- possession: 76% vs 24%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Querétaro:
- A total of 43 matches played;
- Home victories: 19, away wins: 8, draws: 16;
- Goals scored: 64 for Toluca, 37 for Querétaro;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.14, in the second half: 1.21;
- Average total goals per match: 2.35.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Queretaro

Toluca Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Liga MX, with León hosting Toluca. The game concluded with a 4-2 victory for the visitors.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs León):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Toluca firmly hold the top spot in the league standings, thanks to their outstanding form-five consecutive victories speak volumes. The team's seasonal stats are impressive: they average 2.92 goals per match, showcasing a highly effective attack, while conceding just 1.33 goals per game on average. In their last head-to-head against Querétaro, Toluca secured a resounding 5-0 victory, further highlighting their dominance on the field. As hosts, the "Diablos Rojos" should pay attention to their defense-despite their successful home results, they often make mistakes at the back.
Match Results: Toluca

Queretaro Team Overview
The visitors' most recent official match was in the Liga MX, where they faced Querétaro as the home team, with Puebla as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Querétaro vs Puebla):
- Possession: 50% vs 50%;
- Corners: 3 vs 6;
- Fouls: 15 vs 19;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Querétaro are battling for survival in the mid-table of Liga MX with mixed results-three wins, two draws, and five losses highlight their inconsistency. Over the last ten matches, they've managed to defeat their opponents only three times; however, even these outcomes keep the team motivated to compete against stronger clubs like Toluca. Despite the challenges, the "Gallos Blancos" continue to find attacking opportunities, averaging around one goal per match.
Match Results: Queretaro
Latest news
Toluca
The hosts may be without Everardo Lopez and Luan for the match.
Queretaro
For the visitors, José Canales might miss the match. Edison Gruezo, Federico Lértora, Aldahir Pérez, and Mateo Coronel are also doubtful.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.14;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.74, while the visitors net 0.4.
First-Half Stats: Toluca (home) vs Queretaro (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 4 (66.67%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- losses: 2 (33.33%) vs 4 (66.67%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 2.67 vs 1.83;
- Average goals conceded: 1.17 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 7;
- draws: 3 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.9).
- Toluca scored in the 1st half in 13 of last 15 home games (Liga MX).
- Toluca scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
- Queretaro conceded in the 1st half in 14 of last 15 games.
- Queretaro conceded in the 1st half in 11 of last 12 games (Liga MX).
- Queretaro conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 away games.
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 43;
- Home wins - 19, Away wins - 8, Draws - 16.
Statistics: Toluca vs Querétaro
- Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Wins: 9 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 75% vs 25%;
- Losses: 2 vs 7;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
- Toluca have covered a -1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's hosts average goals scored - 1.49, visitors - 0.86;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.35;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 20 times; at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Querétaro
- Average tournament total: 4.25 vs 2.92;
- Average goals scored: 2.92 vs 1.17;
- First-half average total: 1.33 vs 0.5;
- Second-half average total: 1.58 vs 0.67;
- Toluca: average home total in the tournament - 3.17;
- Querétaro: average away total in the tournament - 0.83;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 2.6 (home - 2.6) vs 1.3 (away - 0.8).
- Toluca have scored over 2.5 goals in seven consecutive matches.
- Toluca have scored over 2.5 goals in six consecutive Liga MX matches.
Corners Prediction
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.08; at home - 5.83;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.2; at home - 6.2.
Querétaro: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.08, away - 3.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.4; away - 4.6.
- Querétaro have won over 2.5 corners away in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters (Liga MX).
- Querétaro have won over 2.5 corners away in six consecutive matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.46 (1.23 for the home team and 1.23 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.5 (1.23 for the home team and 2.27 for the visitors).
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.42; at home - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; at home - 1.
Querétaro: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.67, away - 2.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.1; away - 3.2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 43;
- Both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- At the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Querétaro
- Total matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 5;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 6 (100%);
- Querétaro's BTTS away - 2 (33%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Querétaro's BTTS away - 1 (20%).
- Toluca have both scored and conceded in nine of their last ten home matches.
- Toluca have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Toluca emerge as clear favorites in the upcoming match, bolstered by their impressive form and top position in the standings. The team showcases a formidable attack, consistently netting over 2.5 goals per game, as evidenced by recent statistics. However, their defense raises some concerns, having conceded in 9 out of their last 10 home matches. Querétaro struggle with inconsistency and linger in the lower echelons of the table, yet they demonstrate an ability to attack even against strong opponents. Considering all data and trends, we anticipate a high-scoring match with both teams likely to find the back of the net. Therefore, we predict a bet on both teams to score. A potential scoreline could be 2-1.