Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction 4 April 2026
💥 The match between Querétaro and Toluca promises to be intriguing in terms of tactics and playing style. Querétaro, sitting in 17th place, are eager to improve their standings. Meanwhile, Toluca display consistent form and an impressive attacking prowess. Both clubs will aim to make the most of the upcoming clash. Read the prediction for their duel below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams ended with a scoreline of 4-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Toluca as the home side):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Querétaro and Toluca:
- 44 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 20, draws - 16;
- goals scored - 37 for Querétaro, 68 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.18, in the second half - 1.2;
- average total goals per match - 2.39.
Head-to-head statistics Queretaro - Toluca
Queretaro Team Overview
The latest official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Atlas as the home team and Querétaro as the visitors. The game concluded in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Querétaro vs Atlas):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 4 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Querétaro are grappling with issues both defensively and offensively this season, conceding an average of 1.61 goals per match. Their last five games have ended in two draws and three losses, highlighting their inconsistent form. However, the team is motivated to climb higher in the standings, especially when playing at home.
Match Results: Queretaro
Toluca Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Pachuca hosting Toluca. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Pachuca):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 1 vs 9;
- fouls: 5 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Toluca have been delivering outstanding performances this season, consistently ranking among the league leaders thanks to their high-scoring prowess. They average nearly two goals per game while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 0.89 goals on average. In their last ten matches, Toluca have secured six victories with only one loss, positioning them as favorites even when playing away.
Match Results: Toluca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 44;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.18;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.39, while the visitors net 0.8.
First-Half Stats: Queretaro (home) vs Toluca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 17;
- wins: 2 (15.38%) vs 4 (23.53%);
- losses: 5 (38.46%) vs 3 (17.65%);
- draws: 6 (46.15%) vs 10 (58.82%);
- Average goals scored: 1.15 vs 0.88;
- Average goals conceded: 0.69 vs 0.35.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 6 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6) vs 1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.2).
- Toluca have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Toluca have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 20, draws - 16.
- Queretaro won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
- Queretaro won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.84, the guests - 1.55;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.39;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Queretaro vs Toluca
- average total in the tournament: 2.57 vs 2.86;
- average total goals scored: 0.96 vs 1.97;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.46 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1.09;
- Queretaro: average total at home in the tournament - 1.31;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 1.53;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 1.2) vs 2.1 (away - 2.25).
- Toluca have scored under 2.5 goals in last 8 away games against Queretaro (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Queretaro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.79; at home field - 3.69;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.6.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.57, away - 5.65;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 6.75.
- Over 9.5 corners in last 6 Queretaro home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.6 (1.8 for home team and 1.8 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.62 (1.38 for home team and 1.24 for away team).
Queretaro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.68; at home - 3.15;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home - 3.6.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.31, away - 2.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (28/277, 10.1%), 1:1 (28/277, 10.1%);
- Queretaro at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:2 (2/13, 15.4%);
- Toluca away most often play: 0:0 (4/17, 23.5%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 11.25% (odds 7.35)
1:2 - 10.25% (odds 7.95)
1:1 - 9.89% (odds 8.1)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Toluca appear to be in much better form than their opponents this season. The hosts boast an excellent defensive line, with well-organized defensive setups that make them look solid. We believe Toluca have a strong chance to secure three points in the upcoming match, especially considering Queretaro's struggles. A 0-1 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Queretaro - Toluca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
