Atletico PR vs Bahia Ba Prediction 20 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 These two sides are close together in the table - Atlético Paranaense sit third and Bahia are fourth, both on 46 points, though the gap to first place is already fairly significant with the end of the season approaching. The teams are in contrasting form: the hosts have won just once in their last five matches, while Bahia are unbeaten over the same period. Against that backdrop, the consistent scoring of both sides is the main point of interest.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In official matches between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, the two sides have met 28 times. The hosts have won 14 of those meetings, the visitors eight, with six draws. Athletico Paranaense have the edge in goals scored - 35 against 30 for Bahia. On average, 1.04 goals are scored in the first half and 1.29 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.32 goals.

    Head-to-head statistics Atletico PR - Bahia Ba

    52%
    15 Wins
    21%
    6 Draws
    28%
    8 Wins
    Total games
    29
    Total Goals Avg
    2.34
    Both teams scored
    45%
    1.28
    Total average
    1.07
    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    01.04.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.15
    0.59
    3
    1
    15
    19
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.15
    0.59
    3
    1
    15
    19
    2
    2
    24.11.24
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.31
    0.79
    11
    1
    6
    13
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.31
    0.79
    11
    1
    6
    13
    1
    2
    10.07.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Bahia
    Bahia
    -
    -
    9
    2
    8
    9
    2
    4
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    8
    9
    2
    4
    12.11.23
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    11
    5
    8
    13
    3
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    11
    5
    8
    13
    3
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Atletico Paranaense Team Overview

    Atlético Paranaense have been inconsistent of late - just one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches. Across the previous ten games, the club won four times, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match but conceding at almost the same rate (1.6). At home they tend to be more pragmatic: Total Goals - Under 2.5 came in in six of their last seven home matches, with the defence often holding firm even if the attack doesn't always deliver its full potential. Their motivation remains high, driven by the need to hold their current position, pull clear of the teams below them and pick up as many points as possible.

    Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.75
    1.75
    8
    3
    15
    23
    4
    4
    D
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.87
    1.31
    7
    2
    8
    9
    2
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    3
    3
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1.88
    0.65
    8
    3
    15
    12
    2
    2
    D
    24.08.26
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2.97
    0.5
    13
    2
    12
    9
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Bahia Team Overview

    Bahia come into this match without a defeat in their last five rounds - four wins and a draw point to excellent current form. Over their last ten games the picture is similarly confident: five wins and no defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored per game and just one conceded per match. The visitors are focused on holding onto a play-off place, and that strong positional motivation demands they play in an organised manner to keep mistakes to a minimum.

    Match Results: Bahia

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    L
    14.09.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    2.86
    1.53
    7
    6
    18
    12
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    2.86
    1.53
    7
    6
    18
    12
    2
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1.76
    2.23
    10
    8
    9
    15
    2
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    1.76
    2.23
    10
    8
    9
    15
    2
    2
    W
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Bahia
    Bahia
    1
    Internacional
    Internacional
    2.32
    1.49
    3
    3
    10
    17
    4
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    2.32
    1.49
    3
    3
    10
    17
    4
    2
    W
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Match Result Prediction

    Athletico Paranaense have gone 13 consecutive home matches without defeat, backed by a consistent trend and solid home results: just one loss in 13 home matches this season. Their home points record and minimal defeats make the double chance on the hosts a reliable option. The odds on Athletico Paranaense not to lose are 1.32*.

    Risky Bet

    Atlético Paranaense are extremely consistent at home: just 1 defeat and 8 wins this season. A run of 13 home matches without a defeat provides further support for the handicap option. Bahia, meanwhile, have not been particularly prolific away from home, averaging 1.54 goals per match. The bet on Atlético Paranaense Handicap (-0.75) is priced at 2.33*.

    Reliable Bet

    Total Goals - Under 3.5 has landed in 16 of the last 17 head-to-head meetings between these two sides, which points to a consistent pattern. On top of that, both teams rarely score or concede more than two goals in a match this season. This makes Total Goals - Under 3.5 a highly reliable selection. The odds are 1.29*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1:1 (12.84%), 1:0 (9.37%) and 2:1 (9.32%). A 1:1 draw is considered the most probable result, though the chances of a home win by 1:0 or 2:1 are close behind. All three scorelines point to moderate scoring and a tight contest.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The Both Teams to Score trend is backed by the statistics: both sides consistently find the net and concede at both ends - Athletico Paranaense in particular regularly score and concede in several consecutive matches. Bahia are in better form than the hosts. Based on the combination of the Both Teams to Score trend and current team form, the editorial selection is - Both Teams to Score - Yes.
    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-143
    Published: 18/09/2026, 15:10
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    180
    17
    135
    332 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Atletico Paranaense - Bahia

    Atletico Paranaense have not lost:
    atletico-paranaensein last 13 home games.
    atletico-paranaensein 11 of last 12 games (Serie A).
    Atletico Paranaense will not lose
    Everygame
    -256
    Atletico Paranaense have not won:
    atletico-paranaenseec-bahia-bain 7 of last 8 games against Bahia (Serie A).
    Bahia have not lost:
    ec-bahia-bain last 11 games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain last 5 away games (Serie A).
    Bahia will not lose
    Everygame
    -175
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    atletico-paranaenseec-bahia-bain 16 of last 17 Atletico Paranaense games against Bahia.
    atletico-paranaenseec-bahia-bain 12 of last 13 Atletico Paranaense games against Bahia (Serie A).
    atletico-paranaenseec-bahia-bain 7 of last 8 Atletico Paranaense home games against Bahia.
    in 7 of last 8 Anderson Daronco games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    atletico-paranaenseec-bahia-bain last 9 Atletico Paranaense games against Bahia.
    atletico-paranaenseec-bahia-bain last 7 Atletico Paranaense games against Bahia (Serie A).
    atletico-paranaensein last 8 Atletico Paranaense games.
    atletico-paranaensein last 6 Atletico Paranaense games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain 10 of last 11 Bahia away games.
    ec-bahia-bain 9 of last 10 Bahia away games (Serie A).
    ec-bahia-bain last 5 Bahia games (Serie A).
    in 10 of last 11 Anderson Daronco games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Atletico PR - Bahia Ba Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    28169347-2157
    3.
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    28147743-3249
    4.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    28139644-3648
    5.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    281210643-3546
    6.
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    28136942-4045

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 5
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 17
    0
    +4
    16 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    4
    Draws
    5
    2
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    16
    17
    Conceded
    12
    3.4
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats