Augsburg vs Mainz Prediction 20 September 2025
🔊 Will Sandro Wagner secure his first home victory as Augsburg's manager at the WWK Arena? In the fourth round of the Bundesliga, the Fuggerstadt side host Bo Henriksen's Mainz, a team still struggling to find their form with just one point and one goal in three matches. Despite this, bookmakers see Mainz as slight favorites in the upcoming clash. But what do we think? Find out in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season, Mainz remained unbeaten against Augsburg: they secured a 3-2 victory away and played out a 0-0 draw at home. However, in the overall head-to-head record, the "Fuggers" have the upper hand with 14 wins compared to Mainz's 12. Five more matches have ended in draws.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Augsburg Team Overview
🔴 In the third round, Augsburg traveled to St. Pauli and suffered a 1-2 defeat. Despite Sandro Wagner's side scoring early, they couldn't bring home any points. The Fuggerstadt club started brightly, with Rieder opening the scoring in the 16th minute. Just before halftime, a contentious corner led to a penalty against Augsburg: Finn Dahmen saved it, but the hosts capitalized on the rebound. Christian Jakić then picked up an injury and was replaced by Robin Fellhauer. In the second half, St. Pauli took the lead from a set-piece, and despite Augsburg's efforts to equalize, the score remained 1-2. This marks Augsburg's second loss in the league, leaving them in 11th place with three points after three rounds.
Match Results: Augsburg
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Last week, Mainz suffered their second consecutive home defeat by the narrowest of margins (0-1), falling to Leipzig at the Mewa Arena. After a cautious start, the hosts had a couple of chances to take the lead but failed to capitalize. Instead, Bakayoko scored for Leipzig just before halftime. In the second half, the 'Nullfünfer' tried to fight back, but their attack lacked creativity and sharpness, especially towards the end. The absence of Paul Nebel, who was serving a suspension, was clearly felt. As a result, Mainz have just one point from three matches and sit 15th in the table.
Match Results: Mainz
Latest news
Augsburg
🎙 Sandro Wagner after the match against St. Pauli: "I'm disappointed because we wanted to secure our second consecutive away win. In the Bundesliga, facing a strong opponent, it's all about the details, and today they worked against us-a deflection from a free-kick and a penalty. However, we're moving in the right direction. I expect victories in every match, but today I couldn't help the team achieve that in St. Pauli."
❌ Out of action are Anton Kade, Dimitris Giannoulis, and Maximilian Bauer. Kevin Schlotterbeck remains doubtful.
Mainz
🎙 Team newcomer Arno Norden shared his thoughts after the match: "We had some good moments, especially in the first half. But after the goal, the opponent sat deeper, and space became limited. On the bright side, we still managed to create opportunities. I believe we can be more accurate and efficient. Personally, I feel good after the preseason and am happy to get playing time."
⭐ Head coach Bo Henriksen was named the best manager in the Bundesliga last season, and Nadim Amiri was included in the league's Team of the Season.
❌ Injuries have sidelined Maxim Dahl (knee), Daniel Gleiber (hamstring), Benedict Hollerbach (thigh), and Lee Jae-sung (hamstring). They will not be able to assist the team.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Daniel Schlager has been appointed as the main referee. Over his last 10 matches, he has averaged 3.6 yellow cards per game. The average total of cautions in head-to-head encounters between Augsburg and Mainz stands at 4.16. This season, Mainz have already received 10 yellow cards (at least three in each match), while Augsburg have accumulated 11. A sensible choice: over 3.5 yellow cards.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Their meetings aren't particularly high-scoring, averaging 2.9 goals over 31 matches. Mainz have started the season with low-scoring results, netting just once in three rounds. Therefore, our prediction is: under 3.5 goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In the first three rounds, Augsburg have taken 13 corners (4.3 on average), while Mainz have taken 21 (7 on average). We are opting for the bet under 11.5 corners - this has been successful in 6 of Mainz's last 7 games.
Editor's Prediction
Augsburg are aiming for their first win at the "WWK Arena". Their opponents come into this match in poor form, with two losses, one draw, and only one goal scored in recent outings. Meanwhile, the "Fuggers" have found the net in every round so far. We are confident that the hosts will unlock Mainz's defense. Our prediction: Augsburg will not lose. We anticipate a winning scoreline of 2-1.
Betting Tips: Augsburg - Mainz
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
