Mainz vs Augsburg Prediction 7 February 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 At the "MEWA Arena," the 21st round will feature a clash between two underdogs who have been delivering performances akin to top Bundesliga teams in recent matches. Mainz have suffered just one defeat in their last seven league encounters, while Augsburg are unbeaten in four consecutive rounds. Both teams secured victories in their previous matches, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this upcoming fixture at the lower end of the standings.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the first round, Mainz thrashed Augsburg 4-1. Kaisei Sano and Dominik Kohr found the net in the first half, but Kohr was sent off in the 53rd minute after receiving a second yellow card. Despite being down to ten men, Mainz managed to score twice more, with Paul Nebel and Armindo Sieb adding to the tally. Samuel Essende netted a consolation goal for Augsburg towards the end of the match.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    42%
    14 Wins
    15%
    5 Draws
    42%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    33
    Total Goals Avg
    2.94
    Both teams scored
    64%
    1.58
    Total average
    1.36
    1.85
    Yellow cards
    2.24
    Last matches
    07.02.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    2.24
    0.72
    6
    4
    12
    10
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.24
    0.72
    6
    4
    12
    10
    2
    2
    20.09.25
    Bundesliga
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    Mainz
    Mainz
    1
    0.87
    2.57
    6
    6
    13
    10
    1
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0.87
    2.57
    6
    6
    13
    10
    1
    1
    08.02.25
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    2
    0.26
    1
    3
    12
    9
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.26
    1
    3
    12
    9
    3
    3
    20.09.24
    Bundesliga
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    1
    Mainz
    Mainz
    1
    -
    -
    14
    1
    7
    12
    2
    4
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    14
    1
    7
    12
    2
    4
    17.02.24
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    1
    -
    -
    7
    7
    8
    16
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    7
    8
    16
    3
    2
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    Mainz Team Overview

    🔴 In their last match, Mainz pulled off a comeback victory in Leipzig (2-1). After conceding a goal in the 40th minute, Nadim Amiri equalized with a penalty in the stoppage time of the first half. Early in the second half, Silas, who came on as a substitute in the 14th minute due to Benedikt Hollerbach's injury, made a solo run that resulted in the winning goal for the 05ers.

    ⚪ Under Urs Fischer's leadership, Mainz have played seven league matches, securing three wins, three draws, and one loss. The team is gradually improving their position in the standings, currently sitting in 16th place. A home win could see them climb several spots higher. Even with a loss, they won't drop into the direct relegation zone this round, as they hold a four-point lead over St. Pauli.

    Match Results: Mainz

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Union
    Union
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Bundesliga
    St. Pauli
    St. Pauli
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    W
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    4
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    L
    19.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    D
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    Augsburg Team Overview

    🔴 Michael Gregoritsch's double helped Augsburg come from behind to secure a home victory against St. Pauli (2-1). After missing a penalty, the Austrian equalized late in the first half by heading in a corner from Alexis Claude-Maurice. In the second half, Claude-Maurice again set up Gregoritsch, who converted a one-on-one opportunity.

    🟢 The Fuggerstädter are now unbeaten in four games. Since Manuel Baum was appointed head coach until the end of the season, Augsburg have played eight matches, recording three wins, three draws, and two losses. Currently, the Bavarians sit in 11th place, just four points ahead of Mainz. This means a defeat could drop them several positions, while a victory could see them climb one or two spots higher.

    Match Results: Augsburg

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Union
    Union
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    2.25
    0.65
    4
    9
    6
    7
    3
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2.25
    0.65
    4
    9
    6
    7
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    1.95
    1.15
    3
    2
    11
    9
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.95
    1.15
    3
    2
    11
    9
    2
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    0.94
    2.27
    8
    2
    11
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0.94
    2.27
    8
    2
    11
    4
    1
    1
    W
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    2.35
    1.18
    9
    7
    11
    13
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2.35
    1.18
    9
    7
    11
    13
    1
    2
    D
    18.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    4.78
    1.36
    11
    4
    5
    8
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    4.78
    1.36
    11
    4
    5
    8
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Mainz

    🎙️ Silas after the match in Leipzig: "At first, it was tough for me to get into the game because coming on was unexpected and I had to adjust quickly. The team really helped me adapt to the pace. The coach told me before going on that I should help in defense and use my qualities going forward. I can't recall the goal moment in all its details, but I think the defenders gave me too much space, and I had time to come up with something. My physical condition is improving - I work hard, and the coaches and teammates support me, but I'm not at one hundred percent just yet."

    📝 Mainz swiftly reacted to Benedikt Hollerbach's serious injury by signing Sheraldo Becker on loan from Spanish side Osasuna. The 30-year-old forward previously played under Urs Fischer at Berlin's Union, where he scored 24 goals and provided 26 assists. Additionally, Mainz has loaned Arnaud Nordens to French club Rennes until the end of the season. Both parties have chosen not to disclose the details of the deal.

    ❌ Benedikt Hollerbach suffered a ruptured right Achilles tendon in Leipzig and is out for the rest of the season. Also in the infirmary are Sota Kawasaki, Anthony Caci, Maxim Leitsch, Nicolas Ferachnig, and Robin Zentner.

    Augsburg

    🎙️ Michael Gregoritsch after the victory: "It was a very intense match with lots of tackles and 50:50 battles. We showed great spirit, and it was a joy to play. Of course, we had a bit of luck, but we attacked boldly. Alexis found me brilliantly twice - playing with teammates like that is a pleasure."

    📝 Ahead of the winter transfer window, Augsburg's management has secured several young talents. 18-year-old forward Reto Onoda has joined from the Japanese club Cerezo Osaka. Additionally, the "Fuggers" have signed 18-year-old striker Tom Bader from Hansa Rostock. Moreover, the club has strengthened its squad with Nigerian forward Uche Ogundu, who transferred from Turkish side Alanyaspor. Augsburg also acquired central forward Thomas Kastanaras from Stuttgart II, a team competing in the third division.

    ❌ Central defenders Chrislain Matsima and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw continue their recovery. Kristijan Jakic has been unavailable for two consecutive matches. Dimitris Giannoulis also missed the game against St. Pauli.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    Patrick Ittrich will officiate the upcoming match. Over his last 10 games, he has averaged 3.5 yellow cards per match. The two most aggressive teams in the league are facing off. Mainz averages 2.35 yellow cards per game, while Augsburg averages 2.6. A total of over 3.5 yellow cards seems like a logical choice, as this outcome occurred in four of their last five head-to-head encounters.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Manuel Baum's squad has scored in four consecutive matches, and we believe they will find the net at the Mewa Arena as well, considering Mainz have conceded in 30 of their last 31 Bundesliga games. Our prediction is Augsburg to score.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Mainz averages 5.3 corners per game, while Augsburg averages 4.4. We are opting for a total of under 9.5 corners, which has occurred in seven of the Fuggerstadter's last eight away games in the league.

    Editorial Prediction

    Our editorial team believes this match will be evenly contested, despite Mainz having home advantage. Both teams average around 45% possession, so we expect control of the game to shift back and forth between the sides. While both have improved their standings in the table, they remain vulnerable defensively, making a bet on both teams to score (yes) a solid option, as it has occurred in Mainz's last five matches in a row. As for the final result, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -147*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 February 2026, 16:47)

    Betting Tips: Mainz - Augsburg

    Mainz have not won:
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 13 of last 15 home games (Bundesliga).
    Augsburg will not lose
    MyBookie
    +145
    Mainz have not lost:
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 8 of last 9 games.
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 7 of last 8 home games.
    Augsburg have not won:
    fc-augsburg-1in 7 of last 8 away games (Bundesliga).
    Mainz will not lose
    Everygame
    -400
    Mainz have scored:
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 8 of last 9 games.
    Augsburg have conceded:
    fc-augsburg-1in last 13 away games (Bundesliga).
    fc-augsburg-1in last 9 away games.
    Mainz will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 8 of last 9 Mainz games.
    fc-augsburg-1in 13 of last 14 Augsburg away games.
    fc-augsburg-1in 12 of last 13 Augsburg away games (Bundesliga).
    fc-augsburg-1in last 5 Augsburg games (Bundesliga).
    in 10 of last 11 Patrick Ittrich games (in the Bundesliga).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Mainz - Augsburg Table position

    Bundesliga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    341381351-5747
    8.
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    3411111261-6544
    9.
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    341271545-6143
    10.
    Mainz
    Mainz
    3410101444-5340
    11.
    Union
    Union
    341091544-5839
    12.
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    349111442-5338

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 16
    -1
    -5
    15 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    15
    16
    Conceded
    20
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats