Mainz vs Augsburg Prediction 8 February 2025

🔊 Will the hosts manage to get back on the winning track? In the 21st round of the Bundesliga, Mainz will face Augsburg. The "05ers" have hit a minor crisis, but one can predict their superiority in many components. The "Fuggers" lack consistency, especially in clashes with top teams. A tough football match is anticipated, where the opponents could well score several goals. "MEWA Arena" has missed the vibrant matches of its favorites.

📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

The last encounter ended with a 3-2 victory for Mainz. In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings, the total was over 2.5 goals.

🔴 MAINZ

Mainz has been going through a series of not-so-great results - they suffered 3 defeats in their last 5 matches. In the previous round, they faced a setback against Werder (0-1). Recently, the "05ers" have been attacking poorly. This is linked to the loss of their main striker, Burkardt. Additionally, in the upcoming match, defender Kassi, who received too many yellow cards, and creative midfielder Amiri will not play. However, the hosts demonstrate very systematic football, which can work against lower-table teams even without key players. For example, they confidently handled Bochum (2-0). Moreover, they have achieved spectacular results against giants - victories over Stuttgart (2-0), Eintracht (3-1), and Bayern (2-1). The effectiveness of their attack is at a solid level - they have scored 4.9 goals more than expected according to advanced statistics. We expect stable football from the hosts, which will allow them not to fall below the 6th position at least.

⚪ AUGSBURG

Looking at the visiting team, one can highlight several difficulties, but all this pales in comparison to their current form. Excluding the recent cup defeat to Stuttgart (0-1), in their last 4 Bundesliga matches, the "Fuggers" have 3 wins and a draw. They were somewhat lucky with the schedule - dealing with Heidenheim (2-1) or Union (2-0) is not that challenging. However, their attack is gradually improving. On average, they score 1.2 goals per match. In terms of personnel issues, only the suspension of Giannoulis is worth noting, which might make their defense look less reliable. Looking at the season as a whole, Augsburg is a counter-attacking team that possesses the ball for an average of 44.1% of the time. We assume that even away from home, the visitors will conduct several successful fast attacks. Claude-Maurice and company are in relatively good shape.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

The current goal-scoring statistics of Mainz have been noticeably marred by recent failures. So far, the "05ers" average 1.55 goals per match, which is the 9th result in the Bundesliga. Augsburg's situation is significantly worse - only the 15th attack in the league (1.2). Additionally, the "Fuggers" concede 1.75 goals per game, which almost all opponents take advantage of. Recently even "low-scoring" St. Pauli turned this to their favor (1-1). The hosts are motivated and will press, while Augsburg will counterattack. Overall, the match could be pleasing with goals scored. Therefore, we suggest paying attention to total over 2 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Regarding set pieces, Mainz is one of the leaders in the Bundesliga, averaging 5.05 corners per game. Moreover, the hosts allow too many corners at their own goal - averaging 5.45. Augsburg can undoubtedly take advantage of this as they average 4.7 corners per match. It's likely that teams won't linger in midfield, constantly moving in an attacking manner. Overall, this could lead to a plethora of corner plays. Therefore, our editorial team finds it appropriate to bet on total over 9 corners.

📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

In terms of football quality, Mainz significantly surpasses their opponent. Bookmakers consider the "05ers" as favorites in this match-up. The only problem for the hosts is the absence of their main striker. Repeating the success of the game against Bayern, where everything worked out perfectly, will be difficult. However, being favorites obliges them to act from a position of strength. The visitors are used to playing on counter courses - they will find themselves in conditions most comfortable for them. The German Championship is consistently a "high-scoring" tournament where even teams from the lower table eagerly create chances and score goals. We believe this match will end with a score of (3:1). However, a more rational decision would be a bet on total over 2 goals.