Leones Del Norte vs Guayaquil Prediction 23 July 2026
🔊 Both sides go into this match with something to play for - international competition is still within reach. That raises the stakes, and it could shape how the game is played. Leones del Norte are typically solid at home and tend to tighten up when results matter. Guayaquil City, meanwhile, have been struggling to pick up points and find the net, which sets up a cautious, low-risk match from both ends.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 23 March 2026 and ended 0-0. Here's the comparative stats from that game (Guayaquil City were the home side):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 6 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
📊 Head-to-head record between Leones del Norte and Guayaquil City:
- 9 matches played;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 2, draws - 4;
- goals scored (home/away) - 5 vs 5;
- average total goals per match - 1.11.
Head-to-head statistics Leones Del Norte - Guayaquil
Leones Del Norte Team Overview
Their last official match was played in Serie A - LDU Quito were the away side, Leones del Norte the hosts. Final score: 0-1.
Match stats (Leones del Norte vs LDU Quito):
- possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Leones del Norte have been pragmatic this season - especially at home. The team stays motivated and knows what every result is worth. In their last ten matches, they've picked up six wins against two defeats, which speaks to a side that believes in itself. But they keep things tight: the average goals conceded at home is just one per game, and scoring rarely goes beyond the minimum. Thirteen of their last 15 home matches have finished under 2.5 goals - a consistent pattern of cautious, low-risk football.
Match Results: Leones Del Norte
Guayaquil City Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in Serie A (Guayaquil City at home, Manta away). The match ended 1-0.
Match stats (Guayaquil City vs Manta):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Guayaquil City arrive with plenty of motivation - they can still climb the table, and every result matters now. But their last ten matches tell a different story: two wins, six defeats, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Recent form isn't much better either - two wins from their last five. The attack is inconsistent, the defence leaks goals even against sides at a similar level. Up against Leones del Norte's pragmatic approach, Guayaquil City may struggle to create chances, which makes an open game unlikely.
Match Results: Guayaquil City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 2, draws - 4.
Statistics: Leones Del Norte vs Guayaquil City
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- win percentage: 35% vs 35%;
- losses: 7 vs 8;
- draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Leones Del Norte have not lost in 21 of last 22 home games.
- Leones Del Norte have not lost in last 6 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.56, the guests - 0.56;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.11;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Leones Del Norte vs Guayaquil City
- average total in the tournament: 2.05 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 1.05 vs 0.9;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.3;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.45 vs 0.6;
- Leones Del Norte: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Guayaquil City: average total away in the tournament - 0.9;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.6) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
- Leones Del Norte have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Guayaquil City.
- Leones Del Norte have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Leones Del Norte vs Guayaquil City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Leones Del Norte at home - 4 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Guayaquil City away - 4 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Leones Del Norte at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Guayaquil City away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (30/162, 18.5%);
- Leones Del Norte at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Guayaquil City away most often play: 1:0 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.43% (odds 5)
0:0 - 11.93% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.76% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The season data and recent form for both sides point to a cautious, low-scoring match. Leones del Norte at home consistently opt for a compact, defensive approach - and that's reflected in a long run of low-goal games. Their attacking output rarely goes beyond the basics, while the backline keeps the risk at their own end to a minimum. Guayaquil City aren't in a prolific spell either: their average across the last ten matches is just 0.9 goals scored. The prediction is total goals under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Leones Del Norte - Guayaquil City
in 6 of last 7 games.
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