Atalanta vs Kairat Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 November 2026

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Key points

    📢 Matchday three of the Conference League brings an unusual clash between Atalanta and Kairat at the "New Balance Arena". The Bergamo side are in the midst of a crisis: their performances have been far from convincing, and they have gone five matches without a win. A meeting with the Kazakh side might seem like the perfect chance to end that run. But Kairat are among the strongest clubs in their country and are clearly not travelling to Italy just for the experience.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Atalanta and Kairat have never met before.

    Atalanta just cannot get going

    Pressure on Maurizio Sarri is mounting with every match. Atalanta have made a poor start to the season, wins have been scarce, and they remain stuck in a prolonged slump. Their defeat in the previous Serie A round was particularly painful: they lost 3-0 at home to Parma despite creating far more chances. Atalanta led the expected goals count 2.82 to 0.46, but that counted for little when Parma took the points. Atalanta are now winless in five matches, with three defeats and two draws. After ten rounds, they have just 11 points and sit an uncharacteristically low 13th in Serie A.

    Things are far from ideal in the Conference League, either. Atalanta began confidently with a 3-1 win over Pafos, but lost 2-0 to Ajax in the second round. That match offered another reminder of how much Atalanta are struggling against strong opposition. On current form, securing a top-eight finish in the league phase could prove difficult.

    Match Results: Atalanta

    Last matches
    02.11.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Parma
    Parma
    2.82
    0.46
    8
    4
    8
    10
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    2.82
    0.46
    8
    4
    8
    10
    0
    0
    L
    29.10.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.95
    1.12
    8
    2
    10
    13
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.95
    1.12
    8
    2
    10
    13
    3
    2
    D
    25.10.26
    Serie A
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    Frosinone Calcio
    Frosinone Calcio
    4.55
    1.66
    8
    9
    7
    13
    1
    4
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    4.55
    1.66
    8
    9
    7
    13
    1
    4
    D
    22.10.26
    UECL
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.8
    1.51
    8
    9
    8
    8
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.8
    1.51
    8
    9
    8
    8
    2
    2
    L
    18.10.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    2.72
    1.11
    2
    2
    3
    10
    1
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.72
    1.11
    2
    2
    3
    10
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Kairat make a poor start in the Conference League

    Kairat ended the Kazakhstan Premier League season without their customary title, finishing second, just three points behind Ordabasy. The final round offered little consolation for their fans, either: last weekend, they were held to a surprise 1-1 draw at home by Altai. With nothing riding on the match, however, the coaching staff rested several regulars and fielded a much-changed side.

    Kairat can now focus fully on the Conference League, where results have been less encouraging. The Kazakh club have taken just one point from their opening two matches and sit 31st in the standings. Last time out, they suffered a crushing 5-1 home defeat to Greek side Panathinaikos, who comprehensively outplayed Kairat and gave them little chance of a result.

    Match Results: Kairat Almaty

    Last matches
    31.10.26
    OLIMPBET Premier League
    Kairat Almaty
    Kairat Almaty
    Altay
    Altay
    -
    -
    10
    3
    13
    12
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    3
    13
    12
    1
    3
    D
    25.10.26
    OLIMPBET Premier League
    Aktobe
    Aktobe
    Kairat Almaty
    Kairat Almaty
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    2
    4
    D
    22.10.26
    UECL
    Kairat Almaty
    Kairat Almaty
    Panathinaikos Athens
    Panathinaikos Athens
    0.59
    2.35
    5
    4
    13
    15
    2
    2
    1
    5
    0
    2
    1
    3
    0.59
    2.35
    5
    4
    13
    15
    2
    2
    L
    18.10.26
    OLIMPBET Premier League
    Kairat Almaty
    Kairat Almaty
    Irtysh
    Irtysh
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    1
    3
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    15.10.26
    UECL
    Riga
    Riga
    Kairat Almaty
    Kairat Almaty
    2.66
    1.24
    2
    3
    8
    16
    0
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2.66
    1.24
    2
    3
    8
    16
    0
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Total Goals Prediction

    Even at their best, Atalanta rarely ran up the score, and they are now struggling to break down opposing defences. They have scored no more than three goals in 29 of their last 30 matches. Given their prolonged slump and lack of confidence in attack, Atalanta under 3.5 team goals looks worth backing at odds of 1.44*.

    Corners Prediction

    Kairat’s recent matches have produced plenty of corners, regardless of the result. At least nine corners were awarded in six of their last seven matches. Our pick is over 8.5 total corners at odds of 1.69*.

    Yellow Cards Prediction

    Atalanta may be in dreadful form, but the gulf in individual quality remains huge. Their skilful players can beat defenders one-on-one and draw fouls. Kairat are likely to spend long stretches defending and disrupting dangerous attacks from the hosts, making Kairat to receive more yellow cards a bet worth considering.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Atalanta are clear favourites with the bookmakers, and it is hard to disagree. Even in their current form, the Bergamo side should have enough to beat Kairat at home. A long-awaited win would also help restore their confidence. Kairat, aware of the gap in quality, are likely to focus on defending and make only occasional forays into Atalanta’s half. Our main pick is therefore Kairat to fail to score. Score prediction: 2-0.
    Kairat Almaty will not score goal
    Odds-125
    Published: 03/11/2026, 16:28
    Insaf Gataulin
    Insaf Gataulin
    Football expert
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    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Atalanta - Kairat Almaty

    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    atalanta-bergamascain 14 of last 16 Atalanta games.
    atalanta-bergamascain 12 of last 13 Atalanta home games.
    fc-kairat-almatyin last 10 Kairat Almaty away games.
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    Thunderpick
    -323
    Atalanta have conceded:
    atalanta-bergamascain last 10 games.
    Kairat Almaty have scored:
    fc-kairat-almatyin 10 of last 11 games.
    Kairat Almaty will score goal
    Everygame
    -111
    Atalanta have scored under 3.5 goals:
    atalanta-bergamascain 29 of last 30 games.
    atalanta-bergamascain 14 of last 15 home games.
    Atalanta Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Atalanta conceded in the 2nd half:
    atalanta-bergamascain 9 of last 10 games.
    2nd half, Kairat Almaty will score goal
    +165
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 22
    -6
    +4
    18 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    3
    6
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    18
    22
    Conceded
    14
    3.8
    Average total per match
    3.2
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats