Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 Istanbul Başakşehir and Gaziantep, who are level on points in the table, meet in the eighth round of the Süper Lig. Both sides have collected 8 points from seven matches and sit in mid-table, with their motivation at this stage of the season remaining moderate - they are 7 points behind the Champions League places. Istanbul Başakşehir have shown slightly more consistency in attack, while Gaziantep have been struggling to convert their chances.
Head-to-Head
İstanbul Başakşehir 16 May 2026 beat Gaziantep away in a Süper Lig match, winning 2:1. They led 2:0 at half-time and, despite having fewer shots (9 against 11), created more chances by xG - 2.31 against 0.89.
📊 İstanbul Başakşehir have won 10 of their 15 official meetings with Gaziantep, losing four and drawing one. Their home record is particularly strong: six wins from seven matches, with a goal difference of 19-5.
Head-to-head statistics Istanbul Basaksehir - Gaziantep
Istanbul Başakşehir rarely suffer defeat at home in the Super Lig.
Istanbul Başakşehir drew 0-0 away at Konyaspor in a Süper Lig match on 11 October 2026. The visitors had seven shots but failed to register a single one on target, with an xG of 0.85 against Konyaspor's 0.59.
İstanbul Başakşehir have not been particularly consistent: just one win in their last five matches, though at home in the Süper Lig they have lost only once in ten matches. Across their previous ten games, the club have managed just three wins against four defeats. Their average of 1.3 goals scored per game is slightly offset by 1.5 conceded per match. Despite some defensive inconsistency, their home matches have often allowed them to exploit an attacking potential above their opponents' seasonal average.
Match Results: Istanbul Basaksehir
Gaziantep have suffered defeat in five of their seven away matches in the Super Lig.
Gaziantep lost at home to Çorum in a Super Lig match on 11 October 2026, going down 3-0. The hosts were more active in attack (121 actions to 84) and won twice as many corners (10 to 5), but were outshot on target 2-7.
Gaziantep have also won just once in their last five matches, losing three times in that same period. Across their last ten games, they have managed only two wins against six defeats - a reflection of their struggles to pick up points even against comparable opposition. Their average of just 0.9 goals scored per game sits alongside a relatively high vulnerability in defence, with 1.6 goals conceded per match on average. Their attacking line is less effective than Istanbul Başakşehir's.
Match Results: Gaziantep
Latest news
Istanbul Basaksehir
Defenders Jerome Opoku and Christopher Operi missed the last league match. Losses in the defensive line are not helping their position in the table. In 3 of their last 6 matches, the team have conceded more than one goal.
Gaziantep
The visitors have some injury problems. Centre-forward Fuat Bavuk has now missed five matches. The side are also without centre-back Nazim Sangaré.
Outcome Prediction
İstanbul Başakşehir have won 6 of their last 7 home head-to-head meetings with Gaziantep, which points to a clear home advantage in this fixture. The hosts are also consistent scorers at home - averaging 2.25 goals per game this season and 2 goals across their last 10 home matches. Gaziantep away from home are equally unreliable defensively, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game this season. Taken together, these figures support a bet on a home win at odds of 1.67*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these two sides, the total has come in under 3.5 goals. The average scoring rates for both teams this season are also fairly modest: Başakşehir average 2.25 goals per home match, while Gaziantep average 1.67 per away match, and both defences concede just over one goal per game. The data points to a moderately low-scoring outcome and a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.52*.
Corners Prediction
In the last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides, Total Corners - Under 9.5 has come in every time. While there is no direct statistical data on current corners form, the low-total trend is backed by a consistent run of results, which allows for a cautious recommendation on Total Corners - Under 9.5 at odds of 1.80*.
Reliable Bet
İstanbul Başakşehir have gone unbeaten against Gaziantep in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings. On top of that, the home side traditionally perform with confidence at home and pick up points consistently. Taking these trends and the home record into account, the Double Chance in favour of the hosts looks reliable at odds of 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (12.8%), 1-1 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.12%). A narrow home win has the highest probability, though a draw and a one-goal Başakşehir victory also look like realistic outcomes. The probabilities are fairly close, which points to a competitive match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides have similar records over the course of the season so far and are outside both the danger zone and the early European race, so the shape of this match comes down to current form and head-to-head history. The trend points clearly to frequent home wins for İstanbul Başakşehir against Gaziantep: the hosts have won six of their last seven such meetings at home. Taking into account Başakşehir's greater attacking efficiency, we consider the most well-founded prediction to be a home win.
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Betting Tips: Istanbul Basaksehir - Gaziantep
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