Gaziantep vs Istanbul Basaksehir Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 May 2026
Gaziantep head into the final round of the Turkish Super Lig on the back of four defeats in their last five matches, a stark contrast to the form of Istanbul Basaksehir. The visitors have cemented their place in sixth and consistently deliver positive results. Given the disparity in consistency between the two sides, the key question is whether the hosts can overcome their attacking struggles against one of the league’s most resilient defences.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 22 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 5:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Istanbul Basaksehir):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Gaziantep and Istanbul Basaksehir:
- played 14 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 9, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 13 against 28;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.29, in the 2nd half - 1.64;
- average total goals in the match - 2.93.
Head-to-head statistics Gaziantep - Istanbul Basaksehir
Gaziantep Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Super Lig tournament (home team - Goztepespor, away team - Gaziantep). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Gaziantep vs Goztepespor):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Gaziantep’s form has dipped significantly towards the end of the season: the team have lost four of their last five matches, managing just one win in that stretch. Over their previous ten fixtures, the hosts have picked up only two victories while suffering six defeats. On average, Gaziantep score 1.2 goals per game but concede as many as 2-numbers that highlight clear struggles both in attack and at the back.
Match Results: Gaziantep
Istanbul Basaksehir Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Super Lig tournament (home team - Istanbul Basaksehir, away - Samsunspor). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Istanbul Basaksehir have been in impressive form in recent rounds, picking up four wins from their last five matches and suffering just one defeat in that span. Looking at their previous ten games, the club have recorded four victories, three draws, and three losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.2 goals per game.
Match Results: Istanbul Basaksehir
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 9, draws - 1.
Statistics: Gaziantep vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- wins: 9 vs 15;
- win percentage: 27% vs 45%;
- losses: 14 vs 9;
- draws: 10 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Gaziantep won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games (Super Lig).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.93, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.93;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Gaziantep vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 2.73;
- average total goals scored: 1.27 vs 1.7;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.61 vs 0.79;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.91;
- Gaziantep: average total at home in the tournament - 1.31;
- Istanbul Basaksehir: average total away in the tournament - 1.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1.6 (away - 0.5).
- Gaziantep have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Istanbul Basaksehir (Super Lig).
- Gaziantep have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Super Lig).
Prediction on corners
Gaziantep: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 6.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 4.6.
Istanbul Basaksehir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88, away - 5.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 5.25.
- Istanbul Basaksehir have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Gaziantep (Super Lig).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Gaziantep vs Istanbul Basaksehir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Gaziantep at home - 10 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Istanbul Basaksehir away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Gaziantep at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Istanbul Basaksehir away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (43/297, 14.5%);
- Gaziantep at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Istanbul Basaksehir away most often play: 2:1 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.97% (odds 7.12)
1:2 - 9.93% (odds 6.81)
0:1 - 9.83% (odds 8.24)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This match pits a side struggling up front against visitors who have been rock-solid defensively all season. Gaziantep have been inconsistent in the final third, rarely scoring more than once per game-a trend reflected both in their recent form and a prolonged spell of poor attacking output. İstanbul Başakşehir boast a well-organized back line, while their opponents continue to find it difficult to create clear-cut chances. Even though the hosts have endured a dip in form throughout the campaign, their attacking woes are only magnified by the defensive quality of the visitors. The main prediction: Gaziantep under 1.5 team goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Gaziantep - Istanbul Basaksehir
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