Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 Kasımpaşa have made a steady start to the season, holding a mid-table position in the Süper Lig as they look to close the gap on the Champions League places. Samsunspor found themselves at the bottom of the table after the opening rounds and are now in urgent need of a turnaround, sitting in the relegation zone with a minimal gap to safety. The match promises to be tense given the visitors' high motivation, but neither side has been particularly prolific in front of goal at the start of the campaign.
Head-to-Head
Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor last met 30 January 2026 in the Süper Lig: Samsunspor won 1-0 away. Kasımpaşa had more shots - 11 to 8 - but only one on target compared to three from their opponents.
📊 In six head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor have won three, Kasımpaşa two, and one match ended in a draw. The goal difference also favours Samsunspor - 9:6; away at Kasımpaşa, they have won two of their three matches.
Head-to-head statistics Kasimpasa - Samsunspor
Kasimpasa Istanbul Team Overview
In their last Super Lig match on 9 October 2026, Kasımpaşa lost 1-3 away to Galatasaray. The opposition outshot them considerably - 25 to 9, including 11 to 3 on target, with the Kasımpaşa goalkeeper making eight saves.
Kasımpaşa have had a steady season without any sharp dips - just one defeat in their last five matches, alongside three draws and one win. Over their last ten games, they have won three, lost two and drawn five. Their home numbers reflect a cautious style: 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game across the season, and Total Goals - Under 2.5 has come in in seven of their last eight home matches according to the Süper Lig trend. Their target is a Champions League place, though motivation is moderate for now: they sit five points off that zone with most of the season still to play.
Match Results: Kasimpasa Istanbul
Samsunspor Team Overview
Samsunspor 10 October 2026 lost at home to Trabzonspor 0-3, with all three goals coming in the first half. In their most recent Super Lig match, Samsunspor had more shots - 23 to 13 - and hit the woodwork three times, but failed to score.
Samsunspor are in a difficult position, having lost all of their last five matches in a row. Over a longer stretch there has been no consistency either: just three wins and six defeats in ten games, with an average of close to two goals conceded per match (1.9). Their attack has not been impressive either - just 1.3 goals scored per game across those ten matches, and even lower (0.86) in the current Süper Lig season. Samsunspor have now failed to score more than one goal in five consecutive matches, a trend that is reflected across the league.
Match Results: Samsunspor
Match Result Prediction
Kasımpaşa have gone eight consecutive home matches without defeat - a consistent trend backed by the statistics: at home this season they have not lost once (0 defeats, 3 draws). Samsunspor, by contrast, have lost five matches in a row and away from home have managed just 1 win alongside 2 defeats. Against that backdrop, the bet on Kasımpaşa not to lose looks justified at odds of 1.41*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 7 of their last 8 home matches, Kasımpaşa have seen fewer than 2.5 goals, pointing to a low-scoring trend at their ground. This season's statistics also reflect cautious play: Kasımpaşa average 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded at home, which does not favour a high-scoring game. Samsunspor average just 0.67 goals per game away from home, and across their last 10 away matches that figure drops to 0.5 goals. These numbers support a bet on Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.81*.
Corner Kick Prediction
In six consecutive head-to-head meetings, Kasımpaşa have not taken more than 4.5 corners, which points to a consistent pattern in this particular fixture. There are no additional corner statistics for the current season, but the clear head-to-head trend makes it worth carefully considering a bet on Kasımpaşa Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at odds of 2.00*.
Risky Bet
Samsunspor have lost five matches in a row, while Kasımpaşa have gone eight home games without defeat. However, Kasımpaşa have not won a single home match this season - three draws - which creates a certain conflict. That said, Samsunspor's losing run and their generally poor away record make Kasımpaşa to Win - Handicap (-0.5) at 2.37* worth considering as the bolder option.
Reliable Bet
Kasımpaşa have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches, which points to a strong chance of them finding the net here as well. On top of that, the team average 1 goal at home and 1.2 goals across their last 10 matches. The bet on Kasımpaşa Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.33* looks very reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are 0-0 (16.67%), 1-0 (15.07%) and 0-1 (14.21%). All three reflect a high probability of a low-scoring game, and the difference in probability between them is not significant. The 0-0 draw has the highest probability among the top three.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both sides are having a difficult start to the season: Kasımpaşa are cautious at home and rarely allow games to open up with many goals, while Samsunspor are struggling both defensively and in attack - this is particularly evident from their run of low-scoring results across all competitions. The trends for both teams point towards a low-scoring match: the hosts regularly play out low-scoring games at home, and the visitors have almost always managed just one goal or none at all in several consecutive rounds, even with the pressing need to avoid relegation right from the start of the season. The editors' main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Kasimpasa Istanbul - Samsunspor
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