Saint Etienne vs Toulouse Prediction 17 May 2025
π Will the "Violets" be a lifeline for the "Saints"? In the final round of Ligue 1, Toulouse visit the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in Saint-Γtienne. For the visitors, the competitive race ended quite some time ago, and they are merely playing out the season, having won just once in their last nine matches. However, for the hosts, this is essentially another playoff match. If they don't win, they're certain to be relegated to Ligue 2.
Head-to-Head
π Saint-Γtienne and Toulouse last faced each other before the first round of the current championship back in September 2019. Over the past decade, this matchup has only featured ten games. Saint-Γtienne holds the edge with a record of 4-4-2. However, Toulouse claimed victory in the first-round match (2-1), coming from behind. Despite this, the "Violets" failed to score in 6 of their last 10 head-to-head encounters. Considering the teams' motivations, we suggest betting on Toulouse's individual total of under 1.5 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Saint Etienne - Toulouse
Saint Etienne Team Overview
π’ Saint-Γtienne managed to defeat Reims in the last round, while Le Havre suffered a loss. This reduced the gap to the playoff zone to just one point. If the points are level, Saint-Γtienne will rank below Le Havre due to an inferior goal difference, so only a victory will suffice for the "Saints." For the same reason, even with a win, they can't climb above 16th place to avoid the playoffs, as both Nantes and Reims have significantly better goal differences. The team will be highly motivated for the match, and fans are sure to fill the stadium and drive their players forward. All that's left is not to let them down.
Match Results: Saint Etienne
Toulouse Team Overview
π£ The main question concerning Toulouse is the condition of the "Purples" as they approach the match. Will they be motivated for a strong performance, or are they already in holiday mode? The game will reveal all. Toulouse have managed to avoid defeat in their last three Ligue 1 matches, so they are certainly eager to secure more points and finish the season on a high note.
Match Results: Toulouse
Latest news
Saint Etienne
π’ Saint-Γtienne's head coach Eirik Horneland shared his thoughts on the recent match against Reims and the upcoming game: "It's a relief. We started this match well, taking the lead right from the beginning. We could have played even better because after the break, Reims got back into the game. In the second half, we were overwhelmed. However, our team spirit was crucial, as the players fought and held onto the result. At times, we showed confidence, especially in midfield, where we managed to find our rhythm. This allowed us to control possession. We earned today's success because we had the right mindset. Everything fell into place for us today. But be cautious, Toulouse haven't finished their season yet; they have an important match ahead. From the start of the week, we need to work with the same discipline and focus on our goal, so we can handle the pressure when the time comes. We didn't play outstanding football today, but we got the result we needed. Our presence in the playoffs? It's not entirely up to us, we know that. We could win the final game and still be relegated. We need to create an incredible atmosphere and rally the fans."
β The main concern for Saint-Γtienne's head coach Eirik Horneland is whether top scorer Lucas Stassin (12+4) will recover in time for the match. Reserve attacking midfielder Augustin Boakye will definitely be unavailable.
Toulouse
π Toulouse center-back Mark McKenzie earned a spot in the Team of the Week for Ligue 1's 33rd round. In the match against Lens (1-1), he provided an assist, marking his first of the season (1 goal and 1 assist in 29 matches).
β Returning from suspension are backup right winger Noah Edjuma and first-choice center-back Charlie Cresswell. Midfielder Niklas Schmidt and center-back Rasmus Nicolaisen, both long-term injury absentees, remain unavailable.
π¨ Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for this encounter is Thomas Leonard. On average, he issues 3.3 yellow cards per match (1.5 to the home side and 1.8 to the visitors). Leonard also officiated the previous head-to-head between Toulouse and Saint-Γtienne, which ended with a 3-4 card tally in favor of Saint-Γtienne. In Saint-Γtienne's home games, an average of 3.8 yellow cards are shown (split evenly between hosts and guests). For Toulouse's away matches, the average is 3.6 yellow cards (1.9-1.7 in favor of the home team). Considering these statistics and the motivation of the teams, we suggest betting on Saint-Γtienne's individual total of over 1.5 yellow cards.
β½οΈ Goals Prediction
Saint-Γtienne have scored in 11 of their last 12 matches overall and in their last 6 home games. Toulouse have conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches. In the last 3 head-to-heads in Saint-Γtienne, the hosts have netted 2 goals each time. These stats suggest a bet on Saint-Γtienne's individual total of over 1.5 goals.
π© Corner Prediction
The first-round head-to-head saw only 5 corners, with 2 in the first half. In the first halves of Saint-Γtienne's home games, fewer than 4.5 corners were taken in 8 of the last 12 instances. For Toulouse, this outcome occurred in 11 of their last 16 away matches. We recommend a bet on under 4.5 total corners in the first half.
Editorial Prediction
We believe motivation will be the decisive factor here. Saint-Γtienne need three points, and they will do everything in their power to secure them. Despite facing tough opponents at home recently, the "Saints" managed to score twice against Lyon. Therefore, we predict Saint-Γtienne's team total will exceed 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Saint Etienne - Toulouse
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in last 7 Thomas Leonard games.in last 6 Thomas Leonard games (in the Ligue 1).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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