Racing vs Wanderers Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Heading into matchday 11, Racing Montevideo sit 11th, having produced poor results over their recent matches. Montevideo Wanderers are eighth, with better recent form. Neither side has been particularly consistent: the hosts have lost four of their last five matches, while the visitors have been alternating between wins and defeats.
Why is the head-to-head record so evenly matched?
Racing Montevideo beat Montevideo Wanderers in the Primera 12 April 2026, coming from a goal down at half-time to win 2-1. Racing Montevideo had 69% possession and won seven corners to their opponents' two.
Across 34 official meetings, both sides have won 13 times each, with eight draws. Despite that overall equality, Montevideo Wanderers hold a clear advantage in goals - 55:41. Notably, both teams have beaten each other away from home more often than at home.
Head-to-head statistics Racing - Wanderers
Racing Montevideo have suffered four defeats in their last five matches.
Racing Montevideo's previous Primera División match on 11 October 2026 ended in a 0-2 away defeat to Juventud de las Piedras. Both goals were conceded before half-time; Racing Montevideo had six corners but failed to register a single shot on target.
Racing Montevideo go into this match with nothing to play for. Their last five games have been very poor: just one draw and four defeats. Over the ten matches before that, they managed only three wins and six defeats, averaging 0.9 goals scored per game - their attack has looked ineffective across that run. Their defence has also become less reliable, conceding 1.6 goals per game over their last ten matches. The scoring trends at home back this up - Under 2.5 has come in in nine of their last ten home matches.
Match Results: Racing Montevideo
Montevideo Wanderers: Both Teams to Score Emerging as a Trend
Montevideo Wanderers lost at home to Boston River in their last Primera match on 10 October 2026, going down 1-3. The score was level at half-time, and the hosts had more possession and corners across the full match, but were outshot on target 4-7.
Montevideo Wanderers are having a mid-table season without any particular pressure, though they still have motivation to finish the campaign on a decent note. They have won three of their last five matches and lost two, which suggests they are carrying slightly more energy than the tournament champions at this stage. Over the season their average is 1.25 goals scored per game, but across the last ten matches that figure has dipped slightly to 1.2, while their defence has looked fairly vulnerable, conceding 1.8 per game. One notable trend is that they are frequently involved in matches where both sides score - that has happened in seven of their last eight games.
Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers
Total Goals Prediction
In 9 of Racing Montevideo's last 10 home matches, the total goals have not exceeded 2.5, which is consistent with an established trend. Racing's home scoring figures are also modest: an average of 1.4 goals per match for the season and 1.5 over their last 10 home games. Montevideo Wanderers are generally not a high-scoring side either, averaging 1.25 goals per match this season. All of this points to a high probability of a low-scoring game. The pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.65*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score has landed in 7 of Montevideo Wanderers' last 8 matches - they score and concede regularly. Racing Montevideo, meanwhile, have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game in their last 10 home matches, which also supports a goal-trading scenario. Their overall seasonal home goals-against average is lower at 0.8, which creates a degree of conflict, but the more recent trend points towards backing both teams to score. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.91*.
Reliable Bet
Racing Montevideo have gone unbeaten at home in 14 of their last 15 matches, which supports the trend. This season they have lost just twice on their own ground, winning or drawing 13 times. The Double Chance - 1X looks a reliable bet at odds of 1.26*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.56%), 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.24%). A 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, though a narrow home win also has a high probability. All three scenarios reflect the overall balance between the two sides.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Racing Montevideo are showing a dip in both attack and defence, reflected in their poor recent form and an increasing number of goals conceded. Montevideo Wanderers remain motivated to compete even without anything meaningful to play for - backed up by a run of matches in which both sides have scored in almost every game, and regular defensive errors from both teams over recent weeks. In this context, the editorial selection is: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers
in 7 of last 8 games.
in 14 of last 15 home games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 games.in 17 of last 18 games.in 12 of last 13 games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 away games.in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).in 13 of last 15 Racing Montevideo home games.in 7 of last 8 Racing Montevideo games (Primera Division).in last 5 Racing Montevideo games.in last 6 Montevideo Wanderers games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
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