Carrarese Calcio vs Modena Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
📢 Carrarese and Modena come into this fixture in very different form. The hosts sit 17th and are going through a difficult spell, having lost three of their last five matches. Modena, by contrast, are firmly in the upper reaches of the table in third place, just three points off the top. They have won three of their last five matches and will be looking to keep that run going, while Carrarese urgently need to improve their position near the bottom of the table.
Head-to-Head
Modena beat Carrarese 2-0 in their Serie B meeting on 14 February 2026. Possession and total shots were level at 13 apiece, but Modena had the better of the shots on target, 6-4.
In six official meetings, Modena have won four, Carrarese one, with one match ending in a draw. In all three matches played at Modena's ground, the hosts won without conceding a goal.
Head-to-head statistics Carrarese Calcio - Modena
Carrarese: seven defeats in ten matches and a serious attacking crisis
In their last Serie B match on 11 October 2026, Carrarese beat Padova away 2-0. Despite having less possession - 43% against 57% - they had more shots on target: 4-1.
Carrarese have made a very poor start to the new season and sit 17th in the table after six rounds, having picked up just four points. The team are struggling badly for results, with only one win, two draws and seven defeats in their last ten matches. In the five matches before that, Carrarese also managed just one win, which confirms there has been no noticeable improvement in their performances. Their biggest problem remains a very low scoring rate - averaging just 0.5 goals per match, while conceding one per game.
Match Results: Carrarese Calcio
Modena have claimed three wins in their last five matches, firmly establishing themselves among the league’s frontrunners
In the first half of their most recent Serie B match on 11 October 2026, Modena were trailing Verona at home 1-2, but went on to win 3-2. Modena had 23 shots to their opponents' 14 and significantly outperformed them in dangerous attacks - 78 to 23.
Modena have made an excellent start to the season and sit third in the table with 13 points, remaining in contention at the top of Serie B. In their last five matches they have won three and lost just once, showing impressive consistency. They are also effective in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game over their last ten matches. This season that figure is even higher, at 1.83 goals per match, underlining the productivity of their forward play. Defensively they have been reasonably solid too, conceding around 1 goal per game on average, which has helped the team maintain a good balance across the pitch.
Match Results: Modena
Total Goals Prediction
In 10 of their last 11 matches, Carrarese have seen fewer than 3.5 goals, which also reflects the team's low attacking output: at home, they average just 0.33 goals per match. Modena are generally more prolific, but the combined goals average for both teams rarely exceeds 3.5 over the course of the season. Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.35* therefore looks like a reliable choice.
*Odds are given for reference only and may vary between bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 0-1 (14.23%), 1-1 (11.29%) and 0-2 (10.43%). A narrow Modena win is given the highest probability.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Modena are considered the favourites here, and the two sides' current form fully justifies that status. The visitors are in excellent shape, winning regularly and continuing to chase the league leaders. Carrarese, by contrast, have lost five of their last seven matches across all competitions and are showing no signs of coming out of their slump. Even home advantage is unlikely to compensate for such a noticeable difference in form between the two sides. Our pick is a Modena win.
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Betting Tips: Carrarese Calcio - Modena
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