Ascoli vs Empoli Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
📢 Ascoli have made a confident start to the season and sit fifth after six rounds, placing them among the promotion contenders. The hosts have been producing good results and are looking to establish themselves in the upper part of the table. Empoli, by contrast, have not lived up to expectations so far and find themselves down in 13th place. The visitors are struggling to find consistency, with problems both in attack and in defence. The match matters for both sides: Ascoli want to close the gap on the leaders, while Empoli need to turn around a poor start.
Head-to-Head
Ascoli beat Empoli 2-0 in a Serie B match on 01 May 2021. Both sides had six shots on target, though Empoli had more corners - eight to three.
Across 22 official meetings, Empoli have the upper hand: 11 wins to Ascoli's seven, with four draws. At home, Ascoli have won five of their 11 head-to-head matches, while Empoli have won eight of their 11 at their own ground.
Head-to-head statistics Ascoli - Empoli
Ascoli have claimed 10 wins in their last 11 home matches and boast one of the most solid defensive records in the league
In their previous Serie B match on 10 October 2026, Ascoli drew 0-0 away at Südtirol. Ascoli had the majority of possession - 58% - but were outshot 9 to 16, including 2-4 on target.
Ascoli have made a strong start to the new season and sit fifth in the table after six rounds, with 11 points. Over their last ten matches, they have won five, drawn three and lost just two, showing good consistency. Their main strength remains a reliable defence, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game, while the attack averages 1.17. Particularly impressive are their home results, where Ascoli have won 10 of their previous 11 matches.
Match Results: Ascoli Calcio 1898
Empoli have suffered four defeats in their last five matches, despite consistently finding the back of the net
Empoli's last home Serie B match, against Palermo on 10 October 2026, ended in a 2-4 defeat. The score was 0-0 at half-time, and Palermo significantly outshot Empoli by the end of the match - 35 to 6 in total shots and 12 to 2 on target.
Empoli have not been living up to expectations so far and sit 13th in the table with six points. They have won just one of their last five matches, losing the other four, which has noticeably worsened their position. Looking at a longer run of ten matches, the picture is equally unconvincing - three wins, one draw and six defeats. Empoli do find the net fairly regularly, having scored in eight of their previous nine matches. However, their average of under one goal per game remains modest, while they are conceding 1.67 per match. That imbalance is preventing Empoli from getting positive results.
Match Results: Empoli
Match Result Prediction
Ascoli have been impressive at home, winning 10 of their last 11 matches on their own ground, and the trend backs that up. This season they have won 2 of their 3 home matches, averaging 1.67 goals scored and just 0.67 conceded at home. Empoli, by contrast, have lost 4 of their 6 matches this season and are yet to win away from home. Given the combination of that trend and the current form figures, a bet on Ascoli to win at 1.89* looks justified.
Total Prediction
Empoli scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 9 matches, which points to a strong trend. Over the course of the season the team have also maintained an average of 1 goal per game. Despite Ascoli's reasonably solid defence, there are grounds to expect at least one goal from the visitors - the price on Empoli Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals is 1.44*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (11.69%), 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The predicted score is 3-2.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Ascoli are considered clear favourites for this match, and the main reason goes beyond their higher position in the table. The hosts have been particularly strong at home, where they regularly pick up wins thanks to an effective attack and a solid defence. Empoli have not been able to show the same consistency, so the away trip looks set to be a serious test for the visitors. Our pick is an Ascoli win.
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Betting Tips: Ascoli Calcio 1898 - Empoli
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