Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction 28 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both sides. NEC are in fine shape, sitting third in the table and showcasing consistent performances. Meanwhile, Fortuna Sittard, although positioned 11th, have decent away stats and are capable of surprising their opponents. Both teams favor an attacking style of play, suggesting the likelihood of a goal exchange.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams occurred on 31 August 2025 and ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (Fortuna Sittard were the home side):
- possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 Analytical review of the past official encounters between NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard:
- 31 matches played;
- home team victories - 13, away team wins - 8, draws - 10;
- goals scored (home/away) - 61 against 46;
- average total goals per match - 3.45.
Head-to-head statistics Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard

NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Eredivisie, featuring Ajax as the home side and NEC Nijmegen as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 4.
NEC Nijmegen have been putting up steady performances. Over their last five matches, they've secured two wins and two draws, showcasing confidence in attack with an average of 2.46 goals per game. However, their defense isn't always flawless, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per match. Nevertheless, the team continues to fight hard, maintaining good form across their last ten games with six victories. NEC possess excellent potential for achieving high results thanks to their balanced play both in attack and defense.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen

Fortuna Sittard Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Eredivisie, with Fortuna Sittard hosting Excelsior. The encounter concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 7 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Fortuna Sittard, despite their mid-table standing, have the potential to spring surprises. The team is known for their fighting spirit and adaptability. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins, suffered two losses, and drawn once, showcasing a certain level of resilience. They average 1.5 goals per game, indicating their ability to find the back of the net even in challenging situations. However, defense remains an issue, with 1.79 goals conceded per match highlighting the need for defensive improvements.
Match Results: Fortuna Sittard
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: NEC Nijmegen (Home) vs Fortuna Sittard (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 12;
- Number of wins: 5 (45.45%) vs 1 (8.33%);
- Number of losses: 3 (27.27%) vs 9 (75%);
- Number of draws: 3 (27.27%) vs 2 (16.67%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.91 vs 1.92;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.91 vs 1.42.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.9) vs 2.3 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 1.2).
- Fortuna Sittard conceded in the 1st half in 15 of last 16 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 8, draws - 10.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard
- matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- wins: 12 vs 8;
- win percentage: 50% vs 33%;
- losses: 5 vs 11;
- draws: 7 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Fortuna Sittard won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
- Fortuna Sittard won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.97, the guests - 1.48;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.45;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard
- average total in the tournament: 4.13 vs 3.29;
- average total goals scored: 2.46 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.58 vs 0.75;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total at home in the tournament - 2.73;
- Fortuna Sittard: average total away in the tournament - 1.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2) vs 1.7 (away - 1.2).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 NEC Nijmegen home games (Eredivisie).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Fortuna Sittard games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 8 Fortuna Sittard games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.29; at home field - 5.55;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; at home field - 4.8.
Fortuna Sittard: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33, away - 3.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 4.2.
- NEC Nijmegen have taken under 6.5 corners in last 7 games against Fortuna Sittard.
- NEC Nijmegen have taken under 6.5 corners in last 6 games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard
- number of matches played in the tournament: 24 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 8 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard away - 9 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Fortuna Sittard away - 4 (80%).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 home games against Fortuna Sittard.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games against Fortuna Sittard.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 12 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games (Eredivisie).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 9 games.
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in last 8 games (Eredivisie).
- Fortuna Sittard have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/216, 11.6%);
- NEC Nijmegen at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Fortuna Sittard away most often play: 1:0 , 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.38% (odds 8)
3:1 - 7.53% (odds 9.5)
1:1 - 7.49% (odds 9.5)