Santos Laguna vs Toluca Prediction 17 July 2025
🔥 The second round of the Liga MX is set to thrill Mexican football fans with a host of intriguing matches. One such clash sees Santos Laguna hosting Toluca. Both teams surged to the top of the standings after the opening round. Who will maintain their position in the top three after 90 minutes? Should we anticipate a high-scoring affair in this encounter? Find out in our editorial team's prediction!
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in April this year, ending in a 2-1 victory for Toluca. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Toluca were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 20 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Santos Laguna and Toluca:
- 49 matches played;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 17, draws - 14;
- goals scored - 74 for Santos Laguna, 75 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.53, second half - 1.51;
- average total goals per match - 3.04.
Head-to-head statistics Santos Laguna - Toluca
Santos Laguna Team Overview
In the opening round of the Mexican championship, Santos Laguna hosted UNAM Pumas. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory for the home side.
The game statistics were as follows (Santos Laguna vs UNAM Pumas):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
After the first round, Santos Laguna have secured the second spot in the Liga MX standings. Over their last 10 matches, the team from Torreon averages one goal per game while conceding 2.2 goals. It's worth noting that at the end of the previous season, the green-and-whites finished at the bottom of the table and failed to qualify for the playoffs.
Match Results: Santos Laguna
Toluca Team Overview
In the opening round of Liga MX, Toluca hosted Necaxa at home. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory for the hosts.
The game statistics are as follows (Toluca vs Necaxa):
- possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
After the first round, Toluca have secured the third spot in the Liga MX standings. Over their last 10 matches, Renato Paiva's squad average 1.9 goals per game while conceding less than one. Last season, the "Red Devils" finished second in the table and emerged victorious in the playoffs, defeating América in the final.
Match Results: Toluca
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- Home wins - 18, Away wins - 17, Draws - 14.
- Santos Laguna cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
- Santos Laguna cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings (Liga MX).
- Santos Laguna cover the +1.5 handicap in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings (Liga MX).
- Santos Laguna cover the +1.5 handicap at home in 6 of the last 7 matches (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average goals scored - 1.51, visitors - 1.53;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.04;
- Both teams scored: overall - 32 times; at the host's ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Santos Laguna vs Toluca
- Average tournament total: 3 vs 4;
- Average goals scored: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1 vs 2;
- Average second-half total: 2 vs 1;
- Santos Laguna: average home total in the tournament - 3;
- Toluca: average away total in the tournament - 0;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.67) vs 1.9 (away - 1.4).
- Santos Laguna score at home in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.
Corners Prediction
Santos Laguna: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 1; at home - 1;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; at home - 5.17.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 7, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.4; away - 4.6.
- Total over 8.5 corners hit in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head matches at the hosts' ground.
- Total over 8.5 corners hit in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches at the hosts' ground (Liga MX).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.3 (1.65 for hosts and 1.65 for visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at hosts' ground - 3.34 (1.42 for hosts and 1.92 for visitors).
Santos Laguna: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2; at home - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2; at home - 2.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; away - 1.8.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- Both teams scored overall - 32 times;
- At the host's ground - 14 times.
Editorial Prediction
We see Toluca as the favorites in this matchup. Renato Paiva's side has won three of their last five head-to-head games against Santos Laguna and is considered one of the top contenders for the Liga MX title. The "Red Devils" are simply on another level in terms of class, with a stronger lineup in every position on paper. While it won't be a walk in the park, they are unlikely to face significant challenges in Torreón.
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Betting Tips: Santos Laguna - Toluca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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