Macara vs Independiente del Valle Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Macará sit mid-table and have shown inconsistent form this season. Independiente del Valle, meanwhile, top the standings and boast one of the league’s most prolific attacks. The key storyline here is the contrast between the hosts’ solid home defence and the visitors’ potent attacking threat.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 12 July 2025 and ended in a 1-2 result. Here’s a statistical comparison from that match, with Makara playing at home:
- possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 3 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Macará and Independiente del Valle:
- 33 matches played;
- Home side have 7 wins, visitors have 17, with 9 draws;
- Goals scored: 31 for Macará, 57 for Independiente del Valle;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.42; in the second half: 1.24;
- Overall average goals per match: 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Macara - Independiente del Valle
Macara Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in Serie A, with Manta hosting Macará. The visitors edged it 1-0.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Macará vs Manta):
- Possession: 46% vs 54%;
- Corners: 7 vs 4;
- Fouls: 17 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Makara currently sit eighth in the table and have endured an inconsistent campaign, but they tend to be solid at home. Over their last five matches on their own turf, the hosts have picked up three wins and suffered just one defeat-a run that looks noticeably steadier than previous stretches this season. Across their last ten fixtures, Makara have claimed five victories while losing three times, striking a balance between attack and defence: they average 1.5 goals scored per game and concede 1.2. Over the course of the season, their defensive record remains respectable, allowing just 0.92 goals per match-an important factor when facing an opponent with a potent attack.
Match Results: Macara
Independiente del Valle Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch on in the Ecuadorian Super Cup, facing Universidad Católica away from home. Independiente del Valle came away with a convincing 3-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key stats from that clash (Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica):
- Possession: 7% vs 93%;
- Corners: 1 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 6;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 0.
Independiente del Valle are leading the league and have posted impressive numbers throughout the season. Over their last ten matches, they have claimed eight wins and suffered just two defeats, underlining their consistency at the top. They are averaging 1.9 goals per game during this stretch, with a season average of 1.77. However, their defense has shown some vulnerability, conceding 1.2 goals per game recently and one goal per match on average across the campaign. Historically, away trips to Macará have often proved challenging for Independiente del Valle, particularly in terms of converting chances, as reflected by their limited goal tally in previous encounters.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 17, draws - 9.
Statistics: Macara vs Independiente del Valle
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 5 vs 10;
- win percentage: 38% vs 77%;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 8;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Macara have not won in last 7 games against Independiente del Valle (LigaPro Primera A).
- Independiente del Valle have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (LigaPro Primera A).
- Independiente del Valle have not lost in 6 of last 7 away games (LigaPro Primera A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.94, the guests - 1.73;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Macara vs Independiente del Valle
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.77;
- average total goals scored: 1.08 vs 1.77;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.92;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.85;
- Macara: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Independiente del Valle: average total away in the tournament - 1.83;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 1.9 (away - 2.17).
- Independiente del Valle have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games against Macara (LigaPro Primera A).
Prediction on corners
Macara: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.46; at home field - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; at home field - 6.8.
Independiente del Valle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.38, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.1; away - 5.33.
- Independiente del Valle have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games (LigaPro Primera A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Macara vs Independiente del Valle
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Macara at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Macara at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (19/104, 18.3%);
- Macara at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 3:0 , 3:1 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Independiente del Valle away most often play: 2:3 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.78% (odds 6)
0:1 - 9.19% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 8.36% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Independiente del Valle have been in impressive form, but away matches against Macará often prove less fruitful for visiting sides. Despite their strong scoring average this season and a commanding lead at the top of the table, unlocking their attacking potential at this ground is never straightforward-a trend reflected in a string of low-scoring encounters here. Macará’s defensive discipline adds another layer of uncertainty: they concede less than a goal per game on average and are adept at frustrating opponents. Our main prediction is Independiente del Valle under 1.5 team goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Macara - Independiente del Valle
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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