Macara vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Macará are approaching the final stage of Serie A in second place, while Independiente del Valle have already secured the title and have nothing left to play for. Both sides come into the match in good form: the hosts have won four of their last five games, and the visitors have won three in a row. With no pressure on either side and consistent attacking numbers, an open game rather than a cautious one seems likely.

    Head-to-Head

    Independiente del Valle beat Macará 3-1 in a Serie A match 05 September 2026, scoring all three goals before half-time. Macará were the more attack-minded side, edging the shot count 15-14.

    📊 Independiente del Valle have a notably stronger record against Macará in official meetings: 19 wins from 35 matches compared to seven for their opponents, with nine draws. The goal difference also favours them - 63:32.

    Head-to-head statistics Macara - Independiente del Valle

    20%
    7 Wins
    26%
    9 Draws
    54%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    35
    Avg. total goals
    2.71
    Both teams scored
    40%
    0.91
    Average total
    1.8
    Last matches
    05.09.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Macara
    Macara
    -
    -
    4
    6
    5
    11
    1
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    5
    11
    1
    1
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Macara
    Macara
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    3
    7
    10
    9
    2
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    10
    9
    2
    2
    12.07.25
    Serie A
    Macara
    Macara
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    0.57
    1.31
    4
    4
    3
    7
    5
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.57
    1.31
    4
    4
    3
    7
    5
    2
    16.03.25
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Macara
    Macara
    1
    1.63
    0.53
    7
    5
    4
    6
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.63
    0.53
    7
    5
    4
    6
    4
    3
    24.11.24
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Macara
    Macara
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    7
    0
    6
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Makara are unbeaten at home in seven consecutive Serie A matches.

    In their last Serie A match on 11 October 2026, Macará won away at Universidad Católica 1-0. The hosts had 69% possession and created more attacking play, but Macará had the better of the shots on target, 4-2.

    Makara are in decent form, having won four of their last five matches with just one defeat. Over their last ten games, they have five wins and three losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. At home they are particularly solid, with a nine-match unbeaten run reflecting their confidence in front of their own supporters. That said, the defence has not always coped well with opponents, conceding regularly even during this positive spell.

    Match Results: Macara

    Last matches
    11.10.26
    Serie A
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Macara
    Macara
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    18
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    18
    3
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    Serie A
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    Macara
    Macara
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    17
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    17
    0
    3
    W
    13.09.26
    Serie A
    Macara
    Macara
    Emelec
    Emelec
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    8
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    8
    0
    2
    W
    05.09.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Macara
    Macara
    -
    -
    4
    6
    5
    11
    1
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    5
    11
    1
    1
    L
    02.09.26
    Serie A
    Macara
    Macara
    1
    Manta
    Manta
    -
    -
    3
    2
    8
    13
    2
    1
    4
    3
    1
    1
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    2
    8
    13
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Independiente del Valle have scored more than once in 9 out of their last 10 away matches.

    Trailing Aucas 0-1 at half-time, Independiente del Valle came back to win 2-1 at home in their last Serie A match on 10 October 2026. They managed that with just three shots in the game, two of which were on target.

    Independiente del Valle top the standings this season on the back of a strong attacking line: over their last ten matches they have averaged two goals per game, with an overall average of 2.42 goals per match alongside a relatively solid defence (1.1 conceded). In their last five matches the visitors have won three and lost just one, showing good momentum despite the absence of any pressure after clinching the title early. The trends highlight the visitors' high productivity away from home - they have scored at least two goals in nine of their last ten away matches.

    Match Results: Independiente del Valle

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    7
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    W
    25.09.26
    Copa Ecuador
    Gualaceo
    Gualaceo
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    1
    3
    20
    3
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    20
    3
    2
    2
    W
    18.09.26
    libertadores
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    0.78
    1.08
    5
    3
    13
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.78
    1.08
    5
    3
    13
    3
    3
    1
    D
    13.09.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    13
    13
    2
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    13
    13
    2
    0
    W
    11.09.26
    libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1.24
    0.5
    10
    3
    10
    7
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.24
    0.5
    10
    3
    10
    7
    2
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Total Goals Prediction

    Independiente del Valle's last six matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, pointing to high-scoring games when they are involved. Overall, Independiente del Valle average 2.42 goals per match this season, while Macará average 1.64 at home. Both sides also concede just over a goal per game. These figures support a high-scoring match, making Total Goals - Over 2.5 a logical selection at odds of 1.90*.

    Corners Prediction

    Makara have taken more than 3.5 corners at home in 8 of their last 9 matches, which confirms the team's consistency in this area on their own ground. The trend is stable and has no significant contradictions, so the bet on Makara Team Corners - Over 3.5 at odds of 1.59* looks reliable.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Independiente del Valle have both scored and conceded in six consecutive matches, which points to Both Teams to Score landing frequently in their games. Macará have scored in 19 of their last 21 matches, and Independiente del Valle have a productive record at both ends of the pitch - averaging 2.42 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season. Given those numbers, Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.75* looks a reasonable bet.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (12.47%), 0-1 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the gap between the top three options is small. This reflects an expectation of a competitive and reasonably open match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The current situation points towards an open, end-to-end match: both clubs are playing their final game without any pressing objectives and have shown productive attacking play towards the end of the season. Independiente del Valle's runs of over 2.5 total goals and both teams scoring run alongside Macará's home consistency - all of which creates conditions for a high-scoring game on both sides. In our view, the main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-133
    Published: 15/10/2026, 20:39
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    82
    2
    76
    160 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Macara - Independiente del Valle

    Macara have lost the 2nd half:
    csd-macaraindependiente-del-vallein 8 of last 9 games against Independiente del Valle (Serie A).
    csd-macaraindependiente-del-vallein last 4 home games against Independiente del Valle (Serie A).
    2nd Half Independiente del Valle to Win
    +134
    Independiente del Valle have won the 1st half:
    independiente-del-vallein 13 of last 14 away games.
    independiente-del-vallein 9 of last 10 away games (Serie A).
    1st Half Independiente del Valle to Win
    Bovada
    +170
    Macara have drawn in the 1st half:
    csd-macarain last 5 home games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Macara have won:
    csd-macarain 6 of last 7 home games (Serie A).
    Macara to Win
    Bovada
    +230
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 12
    +1
    +6
    20 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    20
    12
    Conceded
    14
    2.5
    Average total per match
    3.4
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    45'
    View all stats