Livingston vs Kilmarnock Prediction 17 May 2026
π Livingston and Kilmarnock head into the final round of the Scottish Premiership with contrasting emotions. The hosts have already lost their battle for survival and will spend next season in the Championship, while Kilmarnock secured their top-flight status with a crucial win over Dundee in the previous round. Still, this fixture carries plenty of significance. For Livingston, itβs a farewell home match before relegation, while Kilmarnock will be eager to wrap up a tough campaign on a high after a strong finish.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 21 March 2026 and ended in a 2-0 victory. Hereβs a breakdown of the key stats from that match, with Kilmarnock playing at home:
- Possession: 41% vs 59%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 14 vs 7;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 1.
π A statistical preview of official head-to-head clashes between Livingston and Kilmarnock:
- They have faced off 37 times;
- The hosts have claimed 11 wins, while the visitors have secured 20 victories, with 6 matches ending in a draw;
- Goals scored: 42 for Livingston, 57 for Kilmarnock;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.32; in the second half: 1.35;
- Average total goals per match: 2.68.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Livingston Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in the Scottish Premiership, with Dundee United playing host to Livingston. The match ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Hereβs a breakdown of the match stats (Livingston vs Dundee United):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 8 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 12 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 5.
π‘ Livingston are enduring a tough campaign this season. The team have struggled to pick up wins, consistently faced issues in attack, and have ultimately suffered relegation from the Premiership ahead of schedule. Significant changes have taken place at the club during the campaign-Marvin Bartley stepped down as head coach in the winter, with Scott Arfield taking charge for the run-in.
β« Even at home, Livingston have lacked consistency. The side have conceded frequently and dropped too many points late in matches. Despite this, the hosts still try to play on the front foot at home, often creating chances through high pressing and set pieces. Their main problems remain poor finishing and defensive lapses, especially when facing quick opponents.
Match Results: Livingston
Kilmarnock Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Premiership, facing Kilmarnock away from home. The game ended in a 3-1 defeat for Dundee.
Hereβs how the stats broke down (Kilmarnock vs Dundee):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 6 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 13 vs 18;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 2.
βͺ Kilmarnock head into this clash in far better spirits. Their 3-1 win over Dundee last time out secured their Premiership status, with that decisive push coming right at the business end of the season. The visitors have shown significant improvement in their overall organization. In recent outings, Kilmarnock have tightened up defensively and become much more clinical in front of goal.
π΅ The team are especially dangerous on the counter, an area where Livingston have consistently struggled. On top of that, Kilmarnock look mentally unburdened at this stage. The pressure of the relegation fight is off, and a run of positive results has only boosted their confidence heading into the final round.
Match Results: Kilmarnock
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 37;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 20, Draws - 6.
- Livingston have drawn their last four home matches in the Premiership.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total):
- Home side - 1.14, Away side - 1.54;
- Overall head-to-head average - 2.68 goals per match;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 17 times; at Livingstonβs ground - 6 times.
Average total stats: Livingston vs Kilmarnock
- In the league: 2.97 vs 3.05;
- Goals scored: 1.05 vs 1.24;
- First half: 0.43 vs 0.65;
- Second half: 0.62 vs 0.59;
- Livingston at home in the league - 1.35;
- Kilmarnock away in the league - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 1.1 (home - 1.75) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Kilmarnock have scored under 1.5 goals away from home in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters in the Premiership.
- Kilmarnock have netted under 1.5 goals on the road in 14 of their last 15 league fixtures.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Played - 37;
- Both teams found the net all-time - 17 times;
- At the home ground - 6 times.
- Livingston have both scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 home matches.
- Livingston have both scored and conceded in 10 of their last 11 Premiership home games.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- Most common scoreline in the league: 1-0 (23/222, 10.4%), 2-0 (23/222, 10.4%);
- Livingstonβs most frequent home result: 2-2 (5/17, 29.4%);
- Kilmarnockβs most frequent away result: 1-1 (3/18, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 11.69% (odds: 6.5)
1-2 - 8.79% (odds: 8.5)
2-1 - 7.68% (odds: 9.5)
- Livingston have drawn at home with a 2-2 scoreline in three of their last four Premiership matches.
β Editorβs Prediction
Livingston will be eager to end the season on a high note in front of their home fans, but Kilmarnockβs recent form and overall quality give them the edge. The visitors have shown greater organisation and consistency in recent weeks, coming into this match buoyed by an emotionally significant win. With Livingstonβs ongoing defensive struggles, Kilmarnock appear closer to securing a positive result. Our prediction: both teams to score (yes), as Livingston have both scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 home matches.
Betting Tips: Livingston - Kilmarnock
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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