Kilmarnock vs Livingston Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 On Saturday, August 2nd, at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock host Livingston in the opening round of the new season. The hosts have shown confidence in their preseason, having already defeated their opponents in the League Cup. However, Livingston return to the Premiership with ambitions and a determination to prove that their relegation is a thing of the past. The match promises to be intense: both teams are aggressive, know each other well, and are not looking to start the season with any slip-ups. The battle for points kicks off without hesitation.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams took place on 16 July 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Let's take a look at the comparative stats from that encounter (Kilmarnock were the home side):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 6 vs 10;
    • fouls: 11 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Kilmarnock and Livingston:

    • 34 matches played;
    • home wins - 19, away wins - 11, draws - 4;
    • goals scored - 52 for Kilmarnock, 39 for Livingston;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1.32, in the second half - 1.35;
    • average total goals per match - 2.68.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    55%
    21 Wins
    16%
    6 Draws
    29%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    2.74
    Both teams scored
    47%
    1.61
    Total average
    1.13
    0.79
    Yellow cards
    1.16
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Premiership
    Livingston
    Livingston
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    0.57
    2.25
    6
    1
    10
    10
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.57
    2.25
    6
    1
    10
    10
    1
    2
    21.03.26
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    Livingston
    Livingston
    1
    1.76
    0.99
    3
    4
    14
    7
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.76
    0.99
    3
    4
    14
    7
    0
    1
    10.01.26
    Premiership
    Livingston
    Livingston
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    1.30
    1.49
    7
    5
    12
    16
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.30
    1.49
    7
    5
    12
    16
    4
    1
    02.08.25
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    1
    Livingston
    Livingston
    0.85
    1.72
    3
    5
    11
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0.85
    1.72
    3
    5
    11
    14
    2
    2
    16.07.25
    League Cup
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    Livingston
    Livingston
    -
    -
    6
    10
    11
    11
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    10
    11
    11
    0
    1
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    Kilmarnock Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Scottish League Cup, with Kilmarnock hosting East Fife. The match concluded with a 4-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Kilmarnock vs East Fife):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corners: 6 vs 0;
    • fouls: 8 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 10 vs 2.

    🔵 Last season was a true test of resilience for Kilmarnock. They finished 9th in the Premiership, showing solid form at home but struggling significantly on the road. In Europe, they made an appearance but couldn't get past the Conference League qualifiers, bowing out to Copenhagen.

    ⚪ At the season's end, the team parted ways with Derek McInnes, the coach behind their recent achievements. Stuart Kettlewell, known for his stint with Motherwell, took over the reins. The new manager immediately set about restructuring the squad, bringing in fresh faces like Scott Tiffoney, Tom Lowry, Strýek, and the talented Genairo Daniels. The focus is clearly on a more dynamic and energetic style of play.

    🔗 Kilmarnock had a busy summer with training camps, closed-door matches, and advancing to the main stage of the League Cup. As the new season kicks off, they come armed with a revamped lineup, a fresh approach, and a determination to deliver a much more consistent campaign than last year. Now, Kettlewell's task is to turn these ambitions into points.

    Match Results: Kilmarnock

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Premiership
    Livingston
    Livingston
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    0.57
    2.25
    6
    1
    10
    10
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.57
    2.25
    6
    1
    10
    10
    1
    2
    W
    12.05.26
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    Dundee
    Dundee
    3.65
    0.44
    6
    2
    13
    18
    4
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    3.65
    0.44
    6
    2
    13
    18
    4
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    1.01
    1.12
    1
    4
    11
    11
    3
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.01
    1.12
    1
    4
    11
    11
    3
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    Dundee United
    Dundee United
    1.74
    2.17
    4
    8
    13
    10
    0
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.74
    2.17
    4
    8
    13
    10
    0
    1
    W
    25.04.26
    Premiership
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    0.83
    0.95
    6
    5
    16
    16
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.83
    0.95
    6
    5
    16
    16
    1
    4
    L
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    Livingston Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Scottish League Cup, with Livingston hosting Kelty Hearts. The match ended in a 6-0 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Livingston vs Kelty Hearts):

    • Possession: 74% vs 26%;
    • Corners: 11 vs 2;
    • Fouls: 14 vs 10;
    • Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • Shots on target: 10 vs 1.

    🟡 After being relegated from the Premier League in the 23/24 season, Livingston wasted no time in making their comeback. The team had a strong campaign in the Championship, finishing second, and heroically secured promotion through the playoffs by defeating Ross County in dramatic fashion, with an aggregate score of 5-3.

    ⚫ Simultaneously, the club clinched the Challenge Cup, and David Martindale not only managed to retain the core of the team but also breathed new life into it. Over the summer, Livingston bolstered their squad with veterans like Stevie May and Graham Carey, and added several creative attacking options, including Jeremy Bokila. Their approach has evolved too - focusing on mobility, technical skill, and attempting to control the game rather than just containing opponents.

    🔗 Pre-season was active: international friendlies, a confident start in the League Cup, and a clear development direction amid managerial stability. Livingston return to the Premier League not merely to survive but as a team determined to establish themselves for the long haul.

    Match Results: Livingston

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Premiership
    Livingston
    Livingston
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    0.57
    2.25
    6
    1
    10
    10
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.57
    2.25
    6
    1
    10
    10
    1
    2
    L
    12.05.26
    Premiership
    Dundee United
    Dundee United
    Livingston
    Livingston
    1.29
    1.02
    7
    8
    14
    12
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.29
    1.02
    7
    8
    14
    12
    2
    4
    D
    09.05.26
    Premiership
    Dundee
    Dundee
    Livingston
    Livingston
    1.75
    2.12
    7
    5
    3
    5
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.75
    2.12
    7
    5
    3
    5
    1
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    Premiership
    Livingston
    Livingston
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    1.92
    0.96
    6
    4
    10
    15
    3
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.92
    0.96
    6
    4
    10
    15
    3
    1
    D
    25.04.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Livingston
    Livingston
    1.67
    0.75
    8
    7
    13
    10
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.67
    0.75
    8
    7
    13
    10
    2
    2
    W
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 34;
    • Home wins - 19, Away wins - 11, Draws - 4.
    Trends
    • Livingston have avoided defeat in 13 of their last 15 away matches.
    • Livingston have remained unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches.
    👉Prediction: Livingston will not lose(odds: 1.81)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches

    • Home team average goals - 1.53, Away team - 1.15;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.68;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 10 times.
    Trends
    • Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 6 of Livingston's last 7 away matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5)(odds: 1.28)

    Corner Prediction

    Trends
    • Livingston have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings with this team.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Livingston Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.71)

    Card Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 1.48 (0.74 for the home team and 0.74 for the away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 1.78 (0.67 for the home team and 1.11 for the away team).

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 34;
    • Both teams scored overall - 15 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 10 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.96)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Kilmarnock have been consistently strong at home and had a confident summer preparation under their new manager. Livingston have just returned to the Premiership, endured a heated preseason, and are full of energy, but they still lag behind in squad quality and cohesion. The head-to-head record also favors Kilmarnock: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, including a recent triumph in the League Cup this summer (1-0). Livingston fight hard, but historically struggle in Kilmarnock. Our prediction: Kilmarnock win.

    Our choice
    Kilmarnock Win at odds of -101*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (31 July 2025, 16:31)

    Betting Tips: Kilmarnock - Livingston

    Livingston have won
    livingston-fcin 5 of last 6 away games.
    Livingston Win
    Everygame
    +225
    Livingston have not lost
    livingston-fcin 13 of last 15 away games.
    livingston-fcin 7 of last 8 games.
    Livingston will not lose
    Everygame
    -152
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    kilmarnock-fclivingston-fcin 16 of last 18 Kilmarnock home games against Livingston.
    kilmarnock-fclivingston-fcin 15 of last 16 Kilmarnock home games against Livingston (Premiership).
    kilmarnock-fcin 8 of last 9 Kilmarnock games (Premiership).
    kilmarnock-fcin 6 of last 7 Kilmarnock home games (Premiership).
    livingston-fcin 16 of last 18 Livingston away games.
    livingston-fcin 7 of last 8 Livingston games.
    in last 11 Matthew MacDermid games.
    in last 6 Matthew MacDermid games (in the Premiership).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Kilmarnock have scored
    kilmarnock-fclivingston-fcin last 14 home games against Livingston.
    kilmarnock-fclivingston-fcin last 12 home games against Livingston (Premiership).
    kilmarnock-fcin 9 of last 10 home games.
    Kilmarnock will score goal
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Kilmarnock - Livingston Table position

    League
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Dundee United
    Dundee United
    339131145-5440
    8.
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    33961833-4833
    9.
    Dundee
    Dundee
    33891634-5333
    10.
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    33791727-4830
    11.
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    336101737-6528
    12.
    Livingston
    Livingston
    331131935-6616

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 13
    +6
    -7
    10 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    1
    1
    Draws
    5
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    10
    13
    Conceded
    17
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats