Zimbabwe vs DR Congo Prediction 28 September 2026
🔉 In the second round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying, the Group E leaders meet - both sides won in the opening round. The two teams are in contrasting form: the visitors have a consistent run of away wins, while the hosts have struggled more often. Both sides remain motivated by the standings, with every point helping to stay near the top of the table. The main focus is on DR Congo's defensive solidity and their confidence specifically in away matches.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have met four times. Each team has won once, and the other two matches ended in draws. Both teams scored in 75% of those games. The average number of goals stands at 2.75 per match: 1.75 in the first half and 1.00 in the second.
Head-to-head statistics Zimbabwe - DR Congo
Zimbabwe Team Overview
Zimbabwe come into this match without any clear consistency: across their last ten games they have managed just two wins and six defeats, conceding at an average of 1.4 goals per match. In their previous five matches they have lost three times, won once and drawn once. The attacking line is capable of creating chances - they average a goal per game - but the defence makes mistakes regularly, and that is reflected in their results. The motivation is still there in terms of the table: they are close to the top of the group, but their current form makes it hard to expect them to dominate even against opponents of a similar level.
Match Results: Zimbabwe
DR Congo Team Overview
DR Congo have shown more consistent form - five wins from their last ten matches, with an average of just 0.7 goals conceded per game. Over their last five fixtures, they have won three, lost one and drawn one. Particularly notable is a run of four consecutive away wins, backed by a tendency to keep clean sheets in almost all of their away AFCON qualifying matches. Their objective in the table is similar to their opponents - the battle for top spot in the group continues - but the recent numbers give reason to expect greater organisation from the visitors.
Match Results: DR Congo
Match Result Prediction
DR Congo have won four consecutive away matches, which supports a bet on their victory at odds of 1.55. At the same time, Zimbabwe have not won at home in 13 of their last 14 matches, which further points towards the visitors. It is worth noting, however, that Zimbabwe have a run of going unbeaten at home in 7 of their last 8 games, which creates some uncertainty. That said, recent form gives DR Congo the edge. The bet is DR Congo to Win at odds of 1.55*.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Under 2.5 looks the more likely outcome: 12 of DR Congo's last 13 away matches have gone under. Neither side has been particularly prolific in their last 10 matches either - Zimbabwe are averaging 1 goal per game across their last 10, while DR Congo average 1.3. On top of that, DR Congo have scored 0 goals away from home this season, and Zimbabwe have also failed to score at home. All of this points towards a low-scoring match.
Corners Prediction
In each of Zimbabwe's last five matches in a row, the total corners has come in under 8.5. This consistent trend supports a bet on Total Corners - Under 8.5 at odds of 1.86*. This is backed up by recent tournament statistics, where neither side has shown a high level of corner activity.
Riskier bet
For a higher-risk option, DR Congo Handicap -1.5 is worth considering at 2.78*. DR Congo have already won away from home by a margin of two or more goals and are on a run of four consecutive away wins. However, Zimbabwe have a consistent trend of covering the plus handicap, so this bet carries elevated risk.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 0:1 (17.7%), 0:0 (11.96%) and 0:2 (11.37%). A narrow away win is the most probable result, while a goalless draw and a two-goal DR Congo victory also carry a reasonably high probability. The overall probability distribution points towards a low-scoring outcome with limited goalmouth action.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The match looks set to be shaped by DR Congo's strengths: they are consistent away from home and rarely allow opponents to score, thanks to a solid defence. The visitors' trend of not conceding is backed up by Zimbabwe's low scoring average and the hosts' frequent difficulties in finishing attacking moves against more organised opponents. Recent form for both sides adds to the likelihood that Zimbabwe will again struggle to find the net. The editor's main prediction is Zimbabwe Team Total - Under 0.5.
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Betting Tips: Zimbabwe - DR Congo
in last 4 away games.in 7 of last 8 home games.
in 13 of last 14 home games.in 7 of last 8 games.in 9 of last 10 games.in 17 of last 19 games.in 11 of last 12 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).Comparison of Teams Stats
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