Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 November 2026
🔊 Olympique Lyon have been a different side at home and away this season. They have won five straight matches at home but returned empty-handed from their last three trips. Now the French side head to San Sebastián to face the Spanish Cup holders. Real Sociedad trail Olympique Lyon by two points in the Europa League table, while Olympique Lyon are just one point off eighth place - the final spot that guarantees a place in the round of 16. Can they end their away-day slump in the Basque Country?
🔁 The picture could change before kick-off, so we’ll keep an eye on the news and update our prediction. Check back throughout the day for the latest developments.
Head-to-Head
📊 The clubs have met just once, in the Champions League play-off round in August 2013. Real Sociedad won both legs, beating Olympique Lyon 4-0 on aggregate to reach the group stage for the first time in ten years. The first leg in France is remembered for an overhead kick by Antoine Griezmann, a Real Sociedad forward and Olympique Lyon fan. Carlos Vela then scored twice in the return leg in San Sebastián. The sides have not met since.
Real Sociedad: Goals in Eight Matches, but a Leaky Defence
Real Sociedad have scored in eight straight matches, but they have rarely kept their opponents out: the Basque side have managed just one clean sheet in their last ten games. Their European campaign has started unevenly, with a home defeat to Bournemouth followed by a draw away to Union Saint-Gilloise. They finally hit their stride in the third round, thrashing Lillestrom away from home to move up to 14th on four points.
Pellegrino Matarazzo took charge last December and extended his contract until 2028 in the summer after winning the Copa del Rey. He made sweeping changes for the trip to Lillestrom, and the reshuffled side delivered: Sergio Gomez scored twice, while captain Mikel Oyarzabal provided three assists. Sociedad’s first-choice side then lost to Athletic in Bilbao in their most recent La Liga match, despite having 62% of the possession. Their neighbours scored the winner from the penalty spot in first-half stoppage time.
Match Results: Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyon: A Home Fortress, but Struggles on the Road
Olympique Lyon have lost their last three away matches: to Lens and PSG in Ligue 1, and 3-0 to Hoffenheim in the Europa League. That was their first defeat in the competition, having previously won at Anderlecht and beaten Crystal Palace at home. With six points, Olympique Lyon sit 12th in the Europa League table.
At home, it is a different story. Fonseca’s side beat Angers in Ligue 1 on Sunday, outshooting them 21-8. Winger Ernest Nuamah opened the scoring from a Corentin Tolisso assist, before Tolisso found the net himself with four minutes remaining. Replicating that performance away from home will be Olympique Lyon’s main challenge in San Sebastián.
Match Results: Olympique Lyon
Latest news
Real Sociedad
❓ The hosts will be without Beitia and Arsen Zakharyan due to ankle injuries, while Odriozola is sidelined with a knee injury. The Basque side have no players suspended.
Olympique Lyon
❓ The visitors are without five players. Tyler Morton has a groin injury, Schultz and Ouedraogo have knee injuries, and Openda has a leg injury. Kango is recovering from a concussion, while Hamdani is a doubt. Olympique Lyon have no players suspended.
Predicted line-ups
📋 Real Sociedad’s predicted starting XI: Remiro - Aramburu, Martin, Sarr, Gomez - Guedes, Gorrotxategi, Soler, Barrenetxea - Sucic, Oyarzabal.
📋 Olympique Lyon’s predicted starting XI: Greif - Abner, Niakhate, Bacher, Atekame - Tolisso, Tessmann, Bidstrup - Nakamura, Nuamah, Duranville.
Total Goals Prediction
Fewer than four goals have been scored in each of Olympique Lyon’s last 13 away matches. That run also covers their last five Europa League trips, even surviving a heavy defeat to Hoffenheim. Olympique Lyon have struggled to score on the road themselves, drawing a blank in their last two away games. We therefore do not expect four goals in San Sebastián. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.60*.
Corners Prediction
There have been fewer than 12 corners in seven of Olympique Lyon’s last eight matches. The French side do not win many corners themselves, having taken more than five in a match just once over that stretch. Even on Sunday against Angers, when Olympique Lyon were comfortably on top, the two sides managed only seven corners between them. Real Sociedad’s home game against Levante produced even fewer: five. We expect fewer than 12 corners in San Sebastián. The pick is under 11.5 total corners at odds of 1.36*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Olympique Lyon have received no more than two yellow cards in each of their last five Europa League matches. Their latest Ligue 1 outing followed the same pattern: against Angers on Sunday, they avoided a booking altogether, while their opponents picked up one yellow. They will have more defending to do in San Sebastián, but Fonseca’s side still have room for two bookings. We expect a disciplined performance from the visitors. The pick is Olympique Lyon’s team total of under 2.5 yellow cards.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.
📌 Our prediction
Real Sociedad’s defence have struggled consistently, conceding in nine of their last 10 matches. That should give Olympique Lyon chances even if they underperform away from home. The hosts, meanwhile, have been finding the net themselves. Both teams have scored in seven of Real Sociedad’s last eight matches, and we expect that trend to continue in San Sebastián: a home win with a goal for the French visitors. Our pick is both teams to score. Score prediction: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Real Sociedad - Olympique Lyon
in 7 of last 8 games (Europa League).
in last 13 Olympique Lyon away games.in last 5 Olympique Lyon away games (Europa League).
in 9 of last 10 games.in 9 of last 10 Real Sociedad games.in 7 of last 8 Real Sociedad home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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