Bournemouth vs Sturm Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 October 2026
🔊 In the second round of the UEFA Europa League league phase, Bournemouth take on Sturm Graz. Both sides avoided defeat in the opening round, with Bournemouth going one better by picking up three points away to Spanish side Real Sociedad. The hosts are the clear favourites here, and the main question surrounding this match is whether the visitors can cause a surprise and deny the Cherries all three points.
The start of the clash
📊 The two sides have never met before, and this match will be the first encounter between them.
Bournemouth: quick goals are the team's trademark
The opening round of the tournament was a productive one for the English side, who picked up three points in a tough away match at Sociedad. The hosts had the initiative and the ball for most of the game, but it was the English side who were more clinical when their chances came. Their recent form has left something to be desired, though, as Bournemouth were heavily beaten by Chelsea last weekend, losing 5-1.
In the league, Bournemouth have had a poor start to the season. After six rounds they sit at the bottom of the table, in the relegation zone. They have yet to win, with their three points coming from draws against Brentford (2-2), Newcastle (2-2) and Everton (1-1). Worth noting is a clear tendency to start matches quickly - pushing forward from the first minutes to establish an advantage they can then hold on to. That was the case against Real Sociedad, and in several of their league matches as well.
Match Results: Bournemouth
Sturm Graz: lacking consistency, but capable of pragmatic football
Before reaching the league phase of the Europa League, the Austrian side had gone through Champions League qualifying, successfully eliminating Scottish club Hearts (6-0 on aggregate), before being knocked out by Fenerbahçe (0-3 on aggregate) and dropping directly into the Europa League. Their opening match in the competition ended in a goalless draw against French side Rennes, a game in which Rennes were the dominant side.
Things are not going perfectly in the Austrian league - the team still have a chance of winning the title, but their results have been inconsistent. They lack stability, with wins followed by defeats and draws. At the weekend they beat Austria (2-0), but in the previous round they were heavily beaten by Salzburg (0-3). The match against Rennes followed a pragmatic pattern, with the Austrian side prioritising the result over attacking play.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
Latest news
Bournemouth
❓ It is currently unknown whether several defensive and midfield players will be available. Alex Scott, Velko Milosavljević and Amin Adli are all doubts for the match.
❌ Eli Kroupi and Julian Araujo will miss the match through injury, with both players recovering from serious injuries. Justin Kluivert is also set to miss out, having picked up a muscular injury a few matches ago.
Sturm Graz
❌ The squad is significantly weakened by a large number of injuries. Nelson Viper, Filip Rozga, Otar Kiteishvili, Gizo Mamagheishvili and Leon Grgič are all ruled out through injury.
⚽ Goals Prediction
In the first-round match, Bournemouth managed to score twice against Sociedad before half-time. Across six league matches, the Cherries have scored five goals exclusively in first halves. Given this tendency and the considerable gap in quality between the two sides, Bournemouth can be expected to find the net before the break. The prediction is Bournemouth Team Total 1st Half - Over 0.5, priced at 1.33*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
The English side will take the initiative and put enormous pressure on the Austrian goal. Bournemouth generate a decent number of set pieces in the attacking third through their high-intensity play and frequent long-range efforts. Sturm will come to defend, but their occasional counter-attacking forays will be built around wide crosses, which - given Bournemouth's defenders playing it simple and clearing their lines - will regularly result in corners at the home end. The prediction is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.43*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The English club, despite their high-intensity pressing, tend to play with discipline. On average, Bournemouth pick up around 2 yellow cards per game in European matches. The fact that the Cherries are playing at home and are clear favourites in this tie reduces the risk of nervy tactical fouls on their part. The prediction is Sturm to receive more yellow cards, priced at 1.51*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The visitors come into this match as heavy underdogs. They managed to earn their first point with a pragmatic display against Rennes. The trip to England looks likely to be even more demanding, and the visitors will have to work hard just to avoid defeat and keep the goals against to a minimum - which will almost certainly mean sacrificing their attacking game, given the enormous gap in quality between the two sides. We think the visitors will fail to score in this match. Our main prediction is Away Team Total Goals - Under 0.5. Predicted score: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Bournemouth - Sturm Graz
in 12 of last 13 home games.
in 22 of last 23 Bournemouth games.in last 11 Bournemouth home games.in 15 of last 16 Sturm Graz games.in 8 of last 9 Sturm Graz away games.in 23 of last 24 home games.in 15 of last 16 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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