Atletico PR vs Bragantino Prediction 15 August 2026
🔊 In round 23 of the Brazilian Série A, Atletico Paranaense will host Bragantino at Arena Baixada. The home side come into this match as one of the biggest surprises of the season: after 22 games, the Furacão sit third with 40 points. Bragantino are eighth, having collected 31 points in 21 games, but are going through a difficult spell - the team lost to Corinthians in the league and then fell to Atletico Mineiro in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana round of 16.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Atletico Paranaense and Bragantino:
- 14 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 4, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 21 vs 18;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.5, in the 2nd - 1.29;
- average total goals per match - 2.79.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico PR - Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Série A (home side - Santos, away side - Athletico Paranaense). The match ended 0:2.
The match stats were as follows (Athletico Paranaense vs Santos):
- possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Furacão continue to impress even after returning to the top flight. After 22 rounds, the team have collected 40 points and trail league leaders Palmeiras by just eight. Atlético are in excellent form: in the last round they comfortably beat Santos away - 2:0. Both goals were scored by Kevin Viveros in the first half, and after the break the team calmly controlled their advantage. An added plus ahead of the match with Bragantino is a full week of preparation. After the win over Santos they were not involved midweek and could focus exclusively on the league.
Match Results: Atletico Paranaense
Bragantino Team Overview
The current away side's last official match was played on in the South American Cup (home side - Bragantino, away side - Atletico Mineiro). The match ended 0:1.
The match stats were as follows (Bragantino vs Atletico Mineiro):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 7 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Bragantino are going through a more difficult spell. In the league, the team lost to Corinthians 0-2, and three days later suffered another blow - a home defeat to Atletico Mineiro (0-1) in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana round of 16. Bragantino still have the return leg against the Galo on August 19. This means the team is dealing with problems both on the pitch and in terms of scheduling. The match against Atletico Paranaense comes just three days after that grueling cup tie. Right now, Wagner Mancini's side have an obvious problem with scoring: in six consecutive matches, Braga have not found the net more than once.
Match Results: Bragantino
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 14;
- first-half wins for the home side - 2; for the away side - 1; draws - 3;
- average first-half total: 1.5;
- today's home side average 0.79 goals scored, the away side - 0.71.
First-half stats: Atletico Paranaense (home) vs Bragantino (away)
- played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
- wins: 5 (45.45%) vs 2 (20%);
- losses: 1 (9.09%) vs 3 (30%);
- draws: 5 (45.45%) vs 5 (50%);
- average total goals scored: 1.18 vs 1;
- average total goals conceded: 0.36 vs 0.6.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 4 vs 6;
- average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0).
- Atletico Paranaense have scored in the first half at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.5, away side - 1.29;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.79;
- both teams scored: all time - 8 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Average total stats: Atletico Paranaense vs Bragantino
- in the tournament: 2.23 vs 2.29;
- goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.24;
- 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.71;
- 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.52;
- Atletico Paranaense: at home in the tournament - 1.73;
- Bragantino: away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- Atletico Paranaense have scored under 1.5 goals in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Head-to-head matches
- average total corners in head-to-head matches - 11 (4.29 for the home side and 6.71 for the away side);
- average total corners at the home side's ground - 11 (4.17 for the home side and 6.83 for the away side).
Atletico Paranaense: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 4.68; at home - 5.64;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 5.75.
Bragantino: Statistics
- season: average total in the competition - 5.52, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; away - 4.25.
- Atletico Paranaense have taken more than 4.5 corners in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these two sides (Serie A).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (34/215, 15.8%);
- Atletico Paranaense at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (3/11, 27.3%);
- Bragantino away most often play: 2:0 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.97% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 12.7% (odds 6)
0:0 - 12.27% (odds 7.1)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Based on current form, I give the advantage to Atletico Paranaense. The Furacão beat Santos and come into this match after a full preparation, while Bragantino played a tough match against Atletico Mineiro just three days ago and now have to think about the return leg in the Copa Sudamericana as well. The difference in schedules here could prove just as important as the difference in current form.
That said, Bragantino should not be underestimated. The team sit in the upper part of the table and have already collected 31 points, and back in February the two sides drew 1:1. However, the home factor, freshness and Atletico's current form make the hosts the more preferable option. Main bet: total under 2.5 goals, which has landed in five consecutive home matches for Paranaense and in six of Braga's last matches. Predicted score: 1:0 to the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Paranaense - Bragantino
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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