Danubio vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 November 2026
🔊 Danubio and Liverpool Montevideo go into this match in very different positions in the table. The hosts are second from bottom and have nothing to play for in the standings, while the visitors are top and are fighting for every point. The visitors have produced more consistent results over their last ten matches, but the hosts have shown a decent improvement in their scoring. The match could be a cagey affair, as the historical results at this ground also suggest.
Ahead on both wins and goals
Liverpool Montevideo beat Danubio 3-0 in the Primera 02 May 2026. After a goalless first half, the hosts scored three times, despite having an equal share of possession and making fewer attacks than their opponents - 76 to 89.
Danubio have the edge in 38 competitive meetings, with 16 wins to Liverpool Montevideo’s 10, while another 12 matches ended in draws.
Head-to-head statistics Danubio - Liverpool
Inconsistent results
Danubio drew 1-1 away to Lito in their last Uruguayan Cup match 9 November 2026. The visitors attacked more often - 93 times to 79 - and took twice as many corners: six to three.
Danubio go into the match without any pressing league objective, sitting near the bottom of the table. In their last ten matches, they have recorded 5 wins and 4 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In their last five matches, they have alternated between wins and defeats, which points to inconsistency, although their defence has been fairly reliable. Danubio rarely play open football, especially at home, which affects the overall number of goals scored.
Match Results: Danubio
Team in form
At home to Juventud de Las Piedras, Liverpool Montevideo conceded in the first half of their most recent Uruguayan Cup match before equalising after the break - 1:1 11 November 2026. The hosts had seven shots to their opponents’ three, but shots on target were level at 3:3.
Liverpool Montevideo are top of the table and are trying to hold on to their lead over the chasing teams. In their last ten matches, they have recorded 8 wins and just one defeat, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game and conceding only 0.5. Their season-long figures are better than the hosts’: 1.39 goals scored and 0.88 conceded on average. Despite a strong run of four consecutive wins in their last five matches, the visitors have not always scored heavily away to Danubio, as the head-to-head record also shows.
Match Results: Liverpool Montevideo
Match Result Prediction
Danubio have failed to win 19 of their last 21 matches. This season, Liverpool Montevideo have recorded 8 away wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats, while Danubio have 4 home wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats. Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo to Win or Draw at odds of 1.30*.
Total Goals Prediction
In six consecutive head-to-head matches at Danubio's ground, the teams scored fewer than 2.5 goals. This season, Danubio have averaged 1 goal scored and 1.06 conceded at home, while Liverpool Montevideo have averaged 1.44 scored and 0.94 conceded away. However, six of Danubio's last seven home matches have featured more than 1.5 goals, and the teams' recent figures do not make a low total a clear-cut choice. Taking the head-to-head run into account, we pick Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.67*.
Corners Prediction
Liverpool Montevideo have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in six consecutive matches. This is a direct argument in favour of the bet, although average corner figures are unavailable for an additional check. We pick Liverpool Montevideo Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.50*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Liverpool Montevideo have kept clean sheets in five of their last six matches and have conceded an average of 0.5 goals in their recent away matches. Danubio have scored an average of 1 goal at home this season, but that figure has risen to 1.25 in their recent home matches - an argument against the bet. Given the visitors’ recent defensive results, we pick Both Teams to Score - No at 1.89*.
High-Risk Bet
Liverpool Montevideo have kept clean sheets in five of their last six matches and have conceded an average of 0.5 goals in their recent away matches. This provides grounds to consider Danubio failing to score. However, the hosts have scored an average of 1.25 goals in their recent home matches, making this option considerably riskier: Danubio Team Total Goals - Under 0.5 at 2.50*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Total Goals - Under 3.5 has landed in 13 consecutive head-to-head matches. This season, Danubio have averaged 1 goal scored and 1.06 conceded at home; Liverpool Montevideo's away figures are 1.44 and 0.94 respectively. The higher total line provides a margin compared with the main prediction: we pick Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.21*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 0:1 (13.18%), 1:1 (12.53%) and 0:0 (9.96%). The 0:1 scoreline is the most likely. The 1:1 scoreline follows it by 0.65 percentage points.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Danubio rarely play in high-scoring matches at home, while Liverpool Montevideo have shown a tendency towards low-scoring games specifically in away meetings with this opponent. The last six head-to-head matches at Danubio's ground have all finished with under 2.5 goals, confirming the cautious nature of these encounters. The main pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo
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