Al Hilal vs Al Gharafa Prediction 15 September 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Al-Hilal have made a confident start to the season, winning 7 of their last 8 matches. Al-Gharafa's situation is less stable: they have won one match, drawn one and lost three. Both sides have a moderate level of motivation. The hosts are aiming to challenge for the title in the AFC Champions League, while the visitors' main objective at this stage is to qualify for the knockout phase.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Al-Hilal and Al-Gharafa have met five times in official matches. The home side has won every one of those meetings - the visitors have not managed a single draw or win. Al-Hilal also lead on goals, having scored 10 to their opponents' two. Across all five games, the average is 2.4 goals per match.

    Head-to-head statistics Al Hilal - Al Gharafa

    100%
    6 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    6
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    50%
    2
    Total average
    0.5
    Last matches
    15.09.26
    AFC Champions League
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    1
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    9
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    9
    0
    2
    03.11.25
    AFC Champions League
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    0.46
    1.03
    2
    9
    7
    14
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.46
    1.03
    2
    9
    7
    14
    1
    1
    03.12.24
    AFC Champions League
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    2.01
    0.04
    11
    0
    6
    11
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2.01
    0.04
    11
    0
    6
    11
    0
    2
    03.02.24
    Club Friendly Games
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15.05.12
    AFC Champions League
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
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    Al Hilal Riyadh Team Overview

    Al-Hilal have made a strong start to the season, winning 7 of their last 8 matches. The team are maintaining a good balance between attack - averaging 3.12 goals per game - and defensive solidity, having conceded just three goals across those eight matches. That balance keeps them among the title contenders. Even against less prominent opponents the hosts rarely drop their intensity, but in official matches against Al-Gharafa their scoring tends to be limited.

    Match Results: Al Hilal Riyadh

    Last matches
    15.09.26
    AFC Champions League
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    1
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    9
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    9
    0
    2
    W
    12.09.26
    Professional League
    Al Taawoun
    Al Taawoun
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    1.41
    4.6
    4
    2
    7
    19
    1
    1
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    1.41
    4.6
    4
    2
    7
    19
    1
    1
    W
    07.09.26
    Professional League
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Neom SC
    Neom SC
    2.07
    1.44
    4
    4
    12
    10
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    2.07
    1.44
    4
    4
    12
    10
    3
    3
    L
    04.09.26
    Professional League
    Al Shabab
    Al Shabab
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    0.89
    3.7
    4
    14
    9
    4
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.89
    3.7
    4
    14
    9
    4
    2
    1
    W
    01.09.26
    Professional League
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Ahli Jeddah
    Al Ahli Jeddah
    1
    2.22
    1.37
    4
    3
    12
    9
    2
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.22
    1.37
    4
    3
    12
    9
    2
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Al Gharafa Team Overview

    Al-Gharafa are entering the new season in inconsistent form, having won just once in their last five matches, losing three times and drawing once. They are averaging one goal scored and two conceded per game, which points to problems at both ends of the pitch. Their main objective is to reach the play-offs.

    Match Results: Al Gharafa

    Last matches
    15.09.26
    AFC Champions League
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    1
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    9
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    14
    2
    11
    9
    0
    2
    L
    11.09.26
    Stars League
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Lusail city fc
    Lusail city fc
    -
    -
    4
    2
    11
    18
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    11
    18
    1
    2
    D
    05.09.26
    Stars League
    Al Sadd
    Al Sadd
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    0
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    0
    3
    L
    01.09.26
    QAT Crown Prince Cup
    Al Sadd
    Al Sadd
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    15
    16
    5
    4
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    15
    16
    5
    4
    L
    27.08.26
    Stars League
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    Al Shamal
    Al Shamal
    -
    -
    7
    7
    17
    13
    1
    5
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    7
    7
    17
    13
    1
    5
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In the last five head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal and Al-Gharafa, the total has come in under 3.5 goals every time. Al-Hilal average 2.25 goals per home match, while Al-Gharafa average 1.25 per away match. Those numbers suggest that, despite Al-Hilal's high scoring rate, the combined goal tally often stays below 3. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.92*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistical and probability analysis, the most likely outcomes for this match are 2-0 (12.56%), 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). An Al-Hilal win by 2-0 stands out as the most expected result, though 1-0 and 2-1 also look quite possible.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Early in the season, the differences between these two sides are most visible in attack and defence. Al-Hilal have been very well organised at the back, giving opponents very little in the way of dangerous chances. Both teams have also tended to produce low-scoring head-to-head meetings. The gap in quality does not change the typically cautious pattern of their matches, even with the tournament favourite's strong attacking line. Predicted score: 2-0. Our prediction: Total Goals - Under 3.5.

    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet+105
    Published: 14/09/2026, 04:48
    Aidar Nizaev
    Aidar Nizaev
    Football expert
    67
    3
    51
    121 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Al Hilal Riyadh - Al Gharafa

    Al Hilal Riyadh have won:
    al-hilal-riyadhal-gharafa-scin last 5 games against Al Gharafa (AFC Champions League).
    al-hilal-riyadhin 9 of last 10 games.
    Al Gharafa have lost:
    al-gharafa-scin last 6 away games.
    Al Hilal Riyadh to Win
    Everygame
    -2000
    Al Hilal Riyadh have not lost:
    al-hilal-riyadhin 49 of last 50 games.
    al-hilal-riyadhin 22 of last 23 home games.
    al-hilal-riyadhin last 8 games (AFC Champions League).
    Al Gharafa have not won:
    al-gharafa-scin last 6 away games.
    Al Hilal Riyadh will not lose
    Everygame
    0
    Al Hilal Riyadh have scored:
    al-hilal-riyadhin 25 of last 26 games.
    al-hilal-riyadhin 12 of last 13 home games.
    Al Gharafa have conceded:
    al-gharafa-scin last 18 away games.
    Al Hilal Riyadh will score goal
    -
    Al Hilal Riyadh scored in the 1st half:
    al-hilal-riyadhin 12 of last 13 home games.
    Al Gharafa conceded in the 1st half:
    al-gharafa-scin last 5 away games.
    1st half, Al Hilal Riyadh to score goal
    -667
    View more facts

    Al Hilal - Al Gharafa Table position

    West Region
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Al Qadisiyah
    Al Qadisiyah
    11002-13
    4.
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    Al Hilal Riyadh
    11002-13
    5.
    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
    11001-03
    11.
    Al-Wasl
    Al-Wasl
    10011-20
    12.
    Al Gharafa
    Al Gharafa
    10011-20
    13.
    Quwa AL Jawiya
    Quwa AL Jawiya
    10010-10

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    9 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 28
    Conceded - 6
    +22
    -2
    13 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    9
    Wins
    4
    0
    Draws
    2
    1
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    28
    Scored
    13
    6
    Conceded
    15
    3.4
    Match goals average
    2.8
    2.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    3
    Both teams scored
    8
    32'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    72'
    View all stats