Stoke City vs Swansea Prediction 15 August 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Bet365 Stadium is set to host a match that has been given extra spice by a summer transfer saga. Stoke City, who suffered a catastrophic decline last season, take on Swansea. The main intrigue is the possible debut of the hosts' new signing, who just a few weeks ago was the leader of the visitors' midfield. Read our prediction to find out who we're talking about.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Swansea City):

    • ball possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 13 vs 5;
    • fouls: 7 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Stoke City and Swansea City:

    • played 30 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 9, draws - 6;
    • number of goals - 44 against 38;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd half - 1.53;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.73.

    Head-to-head statistics Stoke City - Swansea

    48%
    15 Wins
    19%
    6 Draws
    32%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    31
    Total Goals Avg
    2.74
    Both teams scored
    58%
    1.45
    Total average
    1.29
    2
    Yellow cards
    1.68
    Last matches
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    07.03.26
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    1
    1.31
    0.84
    13
    5
    7
    12
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.31
    0.84
    13
    5
    7
    12
    2
    3
    13.12.25
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.82
    1.24
    6
    7
    16
    14
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.82
    1.24
    6
    7
    16
    14
    3
    4
    15.02.25
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.98
    0.8
    1
    6
    19
    8
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    0.98
    0.8
    1
    6
    19
    8
    3
    1
    05.10.24
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    -
    -
    5
    9
    9
    14
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    9
    9
    14
    0
    4
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    Stoke City Team Overview

    The Potters are heading into the new season off the back of a decent pre-season, losing just 1 of their 4 matches. They also beat Oldham (2:0) in the League Cup. Mark Robins has stayed in charge despite a seven-match winless run at the end of last campaign, which saw the club slide down to 17th place.

    Summer signings, including goalkeeper Josh Griffiths from West Brom and midfielder Djibril Soumaré from Braga, should strengthen the squad. But the main talking point is the transfer of Ethan Galbraith from Swansea for a fee of nearly €12 million. He could feature against his former club.

    Match Results: Stoke City

    Last matches
    01.09.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    0.25
    1.03
    3
    5
    15
    10
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.25
    1.03
    3
    5
    15
    10
    2
    2
    W
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    2.44
    0.7
    7
    1
    13
    15
    1
    4
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.44
    0.7
    7
    1
    13
    15
    1
    4
    L
    25.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Hull City
    Hull City
    0.93
    1.74
    1
    4
    12
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    4
    5
    0.93
    1.74
    1
    4
    12
    5
    1
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    1
    2.31
    0.83
    4
    2
    10
    21
    3
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.31
    0.83
    4
    2
    10
    21
    3
    3
    L
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Swansea City Team Overview

    The Swans begin the season with high expectations following significant investment. The team showed potential in pre-season, beating Leganés (1:0) and Udinese (2:0), but a defeat to Bochum (0:2) and a first-round League Cup exit to Birmingham (0:1) have left questions over Vitor Matos's work.

    The injury situation among the visitors is critical. Defender Cameron Burgess ruptured his Achilles in the League Cup match and is out for the rest of the season. Midfielder Gonçalo Franco continues his recovery from ankle surgery, while Ross Stewart is a doubt due to a lack of match practice.

    Match Results: Swansea City

    Last matches
    01.09.26
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Watford
    Watford
    3.08
    1.11
    5
    3
    6
    12
    0
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3.08
    1.11
    5
    3
    6
    12
    0
    4
    W
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    W
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Sheffield United
    Sheffield United
    0.67
    1.82
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.67
    1.82
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    2
    D
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    W
    08.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.75
    0.95
    6
    4
    12
    19
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.75
    0.95
    6
    4
    12
    19
    2
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head matches:

    • Total encounters - 30;
    • First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 6; for the visitors (away) - 1; number of draws - 8;
    • Average first-half total: 1.2;
    • Today's home team averages 0.73 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.47.
    Trends
    • Stoke City have lost the 1st half in last 5 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Swansea City Win (odds: 3.81)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.47, the guests - 1.27;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.73;
    • both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 10.
    Trends
    • Stoke City have conceded in 14 of last 15 games (Championship).
    • Stoke City have conceded in 9 of last 10 home games (Championship).
    • Swansea City have scored in last 7 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Swansea City will score goal (odds: 1.37)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Over 8.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Stoke City home games (Championship).
    • Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Swansea City games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8,5) (odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 30;
    • both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.
    Trends
    • Stoke City have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Championship).
    • Swansea City have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.79)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 30;
    • home team wins - 15, away team wins - 9, draws - 6.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 3;
    • losses: 6 vs 4;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Stoke City have not won in last 6 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Swansea City will not lose (odds: 1.57)

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both teams are only just getting into the season, which means we can't fully assess their capabilities, especially against the backdrop of injury problems. So we don't see any point in looking for a favourite. The more logical approach is to go through goals and play the both teams to score (yes) bet, which landed in 5 of the 6 previous head-to-head meetings at Stoke's ground. Predicted score: 1-1.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 14/08/2026, 13:37
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Football expert
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    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Stoke City - Swansea City

    Stoke City have lost the 1st half:
    stoke-cityin last 5 games (Championship).
    1st Half Swansea City Win
    Bovada
    +255
    Stoke City have not won:
    stoke-cityin last 6 games (Championship).
    Swansea City will not lose
    Everygame
    -167
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    stoke-cityin last 16 Stoke City games.
    stoke-cityin last 14 Stoke City games (Championship).
    stoke-cityin last 12 Stoke City home games.
    stoke-cityin last 10 Stoke City home games (Championship).
    swansea-city-1in 12 of last 14 Swansea City games.
    swansea-city-1in 10 of last 11 Swansea City away games (Championship).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Stoke City have conceded:
    stoke-cityin 14 of last 15 games (Championship).
    stoke-cityin 9 of last 10 home games (Championship).
    Swansea City have scored:
    swansea-city-1in last 7 games (Championship).
    Swansea City will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Stoke City - Swansea Table position

    Championship 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    43107-110
    2.
    Charlton
    Charlton
    33005-29
    3.
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    421111-87
    20.
    Portsmouth
    Portsmouth
    41035-83
    21.
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    41034-93
    22.
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    30213-42

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    8 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 20
    -11
    +8
    15 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    0
    Draws
    2
    8
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    15
    20
    Conceded
    7
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.2
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats