Swansea vs Stoke City Prediction 7 March 2026

    🔊 The clash between Swansea and Stoke City promises to be eventful. Both teams find themselves in the middle of the standings, occupying 16th and 14th places respectively, which gives them the motivation to climb higher. Swansea have been in decent form in recent matches, while Stoke City are struggling for consistency after a string of disappointing games. Who will come out on top?

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Stoke City):

    • ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
    • fouls: 16 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Swansea City and Stoke City:

    • played 29 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 15, draws - 6;
    • number of goals - 36 against 44;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.24, in the 2nd half - 1.52;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.76.

    Head-to-head statistics Swansea - Stoke City

    32%
    10 Wins
    19%
    6 Draws
    48%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    31
    Total Goals Avg
    2.74
    Both teams scored
    58%
    1.29
    Total average
    1.45
    1.68
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    07.03.26
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    1
    1.31
    0.84
    13
    5
    7
    12
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.31
    0.84
    13
    5
    7
    12
    2
    3
    13.12.25
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.82
    1.24
    6
    7
    16
    14
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.82
    1.24
    6
    7
    16
    14
    3
    4
    15.02.25
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.98
    0.8
    1
    6
    19
    8
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    0.98
    0.8
    1
    6
    19
    8
    3
    1
    05.10.24
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    -
    -
    5
    9
    9
    14
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    9
    9
    14
    0
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Swansea City Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Ipswich Town, away team - Swansea City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Swansea City vs Ipswich Town):

    • ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 4;
    • fouls: 13 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    Swansea are in search of stability. The team have won two of their last five matches, and their form remains inconsistent. Despite this, the Swans are showing promising attacking prowess, averaging 1.5 goals per game over their last ten matches. However, their defense requires bolstering, as they concede around 1.2 goals per game.

    Match Results: Swansea City

    Last matches
    01.09.26
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Watford
    Watford
    3.08
    1.11
    5
    3
    6
    12
    0
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3.08
    1.11
    5
    3
    6
    12
    0
    4
    W
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.82
    2.96
    5
    6
    16
    7
    3
    2
    W
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Sheffield United
    Sheffield United
    0.67
    1.82
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.67
    1.82
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    2
    D
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    W
    08.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.75
    0.95
    6
    4
    12
    19
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.75
    0.95
    6
    4
    12
    19
    2
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Stoke City Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Coventry, away - Stoke City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the match stats (Stoke City vs Coventry):

    • ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
    • fouls: 6 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 8.

    Stoke City are facing challenges this season, with just one win in their last ten games highlighting their inconsistent form. The team's defense is prone to errors, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game, while their attack struggles with low productivity, averaging only 0.8 goals. Nevertheless, they have the ability to surprise opponents on the road, thanks to their discipline and resilience.

    Match Results: Stoke City

    Last matches
    01.09.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    0.25
    1.03
    3
    5
    15
    10
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.25
    1.03
    3
    5
    15
    10
    2
    2
    W
    29.08.26
    Championship
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    2.44
    0.7
    7
    1
    13
    15
    1
    4
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.44
    0.7
    7
    1
    13
    15
    1
    4
    L
    25.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Hull City
    Hull City
    0.93
    1.74
    1
    4
    12
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    4
    5
    0.93
    1.74
    1
    4
    12
    5
    1
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    Championship
    Southampton
    Southampton
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    1
    2.31
    0.83
    4
    2
    10
    21
    3
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.31
    0.83
    4
    2
    10
    21
    3
    3
    L
    15.08.26
    Championship
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.89
    0.97
    4
    5
    14
    9
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 29;
    • home team wins - 8, away team wins - 15, draws - 6.

    Statistics: Swansea City vs Stoke City

    • matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
    • wins: 13 vs 13;
    • win percentage: 37% vs 37%;
    • losses: 15 vs 14;
    • draws: 7 vs 8.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 1;
    • losses: 4 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games.
    • Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (Championship).
    • Stoke City won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Stoke City Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.26)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.52;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.76;
    • both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 7.

    Statistics: Swansea City vs Stoke City

    • average total in the tournament: 2.37 vs 2.09;
    • average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.11;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.37 vs 0.51;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.77 vs 0.6;
    • Swansea City: average total at home in the tournament -  1.44;
    • Stoke City: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 0.8 (away - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Swansea City games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Swansea City games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on corners

    Swansea City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.66; at home field - 4.89;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.5.

    Stoke City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.57, away - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 3.5.
    Trends
    • Swansea City have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 home games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Swansea City Total Under (5,5)(odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.24 (1.62 for home team and 1.62 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.08 (1.79 for home team and 2.29 for away team).

    Swansea City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.11; at home - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.5.

    Stoke City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.06, away - 2.06;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 1.75.
    Trends
    • Over 3.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Swansea City home games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (3,5)(odds: 1.62)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 29;
    • both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 7 times.

    Statistics: Swansea City vs Stoke City

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 14;
    • number of BTTS matches for Swansea City at home - 11 (61%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 5 (28%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Swansea City at home - 4 (67%);
    • BTTS matches for Stoke City away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.83)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (62/419, 14.8%);
    • Swansea City at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 (4/18, 22.2%);
    • Stoke City away most often play: 1:0 (4/18, 22.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 13.93% (odds 6.5)
    1:1 - 12.24% (odds 6.5)
    0:0 - 9.93% (odds 8.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the trend of over 3.5 yellow cards in Swansea's home matches, we can anticipate a physically intense encounter with plenty of duels and tough challenges from both sides. This style of play suggests a high level of emotion and frequent fouls by the players. Let's not forget that these are direct competitors, separated by just a single point in the standings, so their head-to-head clash promises to be a heated affair.

    Yellow Cards - Total Over (3,5)
    Published: 06/03/2026, 17:27

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    Betting Tips: Swansea City - Stoke City

    Swansea City have not lost:
    swansea-city-1in last 10 home games.
    swansea-city-1in last 9 home games (Championship).
    Stoke City have not won:
    stoke-cityin 9 of last 10 games.
    stoke-cityin 8 of last 9 games (Championship).
    Swansea City will not lose
    -455
    Swansea City have scored:
    swansea-city-1in 26 of last 27 home games.
    swansea-city-1in 21 of last 22 home games (Championship).
    Stoke City have conceded:
    stoke-cityin 8 of last 9 games.
    Swansea City will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    swansea-city-1in 6 of last 7 Swansea City games (Championship).
    stoke-cityin 17 of last 18 Stoke City games.
    stoke-cityin 15 of last 16 Stoke City games (Championship).
    stoke-cityin last 8 Stoke City away games (Championship).
    in 10 of last 11 Ruebyn Ricardo games.
    in 7 of last 8 Ruebyn Ricardo games (in the Championship).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -345
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    swansea-city-1in 10 of last 11 Swansea City games.
    swansea-city-1in 9 of last 10 Swansea City games (Championship).
    in 13 of last 15 Ruebyn Ricardo games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -278
    View more facts

    Swansea - Stoke City Table position

    Championship 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    4617131657-5664
    11.
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    4618101857-5964
    12.
    Bristol City
    Bristol City
    4617111859-5962
    16.
    Watford
    Watford
    4614151753-6557
    17.
    Stoke City
    Stoke City
    4615102151-5655
    18.
    Portsmouth
    Portsmouth
    4614131949-6455

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 8
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 7
    +8
    -11
    9 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    0
    2
    Loses
    8
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    9
    7
    Conceded
    20
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats