Excelsior vs PSV Prediction 15 August 2026
📢 Excelsior started the Eredivisie with maximum confidence and immediately picked up a big win. PSV, on the other hand, unexpectedly dropped points in the very first round, despite going into the season as a club that had won the Dutch title three years in a row. So the reigning champions' response to their first slip-up is one of the main storylines heading into this match.
Head-to-Head
The last time the teams met was 10 January 2026. That match ended in a convincing PSV victory, 5-1. Here is the comparative match statistics (home side - PSV):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
📊 In the entire history of official meetings, Excelsior and PSV have played each other 27 times. The hosts have yet to win a single match, while the visitors have 25 wins, with two more matches ending in draws. The teams have scored 22 and 88 goals respectively - a colossal difference. On average, 1.63 goals are recorded in the first half, and 2.44 in the second. The overall average total goals per match is 4.07.
Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - PSV
Excelsior Team Overview
In the first round of the Netherlands championship Excelsior convincingly beat Cambuur away (4:0).
The match statistics are as follows (Excelsior vs Cambuur):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Excelsior made a bright start to the new season, winning big and topping the table after the first round. Good form has been carrying over from the end of last season as well: in their last ten matches the team won four, drew three and lost three. Over that run Excelsior scored an average of 2.1 goals and conceded 1.4 per game. A strong attack gives the hosts reason to expect chances even against the reigning champions.
Match Results: Excelsior
PSV Team Overview
PSV sensationally failed to beat Fortuna Sittard (2:2) in the opening round of the Eredivisie at home, despite complete domination.
The match statistics are as follows (PSV vs Fortuna Sittard):
- possession: 76% vs 24%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 0;
- fouls: 9 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
PSV made an unexpected start to the season with a draw, despite having won the Dutch title three years in a row. And this is not the first slip-up. Earlier this month came a heavy defeat to AZ (0:4) in the Dutch Super Cup. Over a ten-match period, PSV have been scoring an average of 2.8 goals but conceding two per game. That statistic confirms the team's familiar attacking style, though the defence has so far been far from consistently reliable.
Match Results: PSV
Latest news
Excelsior
🚫 Excelsior have minimal injury concerns: Casey Bos will miss out due to injury.
PSV
❌ PSV also have almost no injury concerns: Jerdy Schouten will miss out due to injury.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 0.81, the guests - 3.26;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 4.07;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 9.
- Excelsior have scored under 1.5 goals in last 14 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
- Excelsior have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 27;
- both teams scored in total - 16 times;
- at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 7 vs 8;
- Excelsior: BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- PSV: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
- PSV have seen both teams score in 15 of their last 17 matches.
- PSV have seen both teams score in 13 of their last 14 matches (Eredivisie).
- PSV have seen both teams score away in 8 of their last 9 matches (Eredivisie).
- PSV have seen both teams score away in 7 of their last 8 matches.
⭐ Editor's Pick
PSV are clear favourites for the upcoming match, which makes sense given the huge difference in class and the team's champion status. The draw in the first round will surely add to the visitors' motivation - they cannot afford to drop more points at the very start of the season. Excelsior made a bright start to the championship, but now the level of resistance will be completely different. So our pick is a PSV win. Expected score - 1:2.
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Betting Tips: Excelsior - PSV
in 8 of last 9 games against PSV.in 7 of last 8 games against PSV (Eredivisie).
in 22 of last 23 games against PSV.in 21 of last 22 games against PSV (Eredivisie).in last 11 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).in last 6 games (Eredivisie).in last 27 games against PSV.in last 26 games against PSV (Eredivisie).in last 13 home games against PSV (Eredivisie).in 7 of last 8 home games (Eredivisie).in 16 of last 18 away games (Eredivisie).in last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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