PSV vs Excelsior Prediction 10 January 2026
🔥 PSV, with their dominant style of play, have every chance to extend their impressive winning streak in the Dutch league. The team showcases excellent attacking play with high scoring efficiency. However, their defense can sometimes be lacking, which might give Excelsior an opportunity in the upcoming match. The visitors are also in good form and have surprised opponents with unexpected results more than once. How will this battle conclude? Read the prediction below!
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Excelsior):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between PSV and Excelsior:
- 26 matches played;
- home victories - 24, away victories - 0, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 83 against 21;
- average total in the first half - 1.5, second half - 2.5;
- average total goals per match - 4.
Head-to-head statistics PSV - Excelsior
PSV Team Overview
The team's latest official match took place in the Eredivisie, with Utrecht as the hosts and PSV as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (PSV vs Utrecht):
- possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
PSV are confidently leading the league, driven by their attacking prowess. In their last five matches, they've secured four wins and suffered just one defeat, underscoring their current form: five consecutive victories and only one loss all season. On average, the team nets more than three goals per game, making their attacks particularly threatening for opponents. However, despite these impressive stats, their defense occasionally falters-conceding goals at home in most cases (9 out of 10 matches).
Match Results: PSV
Excelsior Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Eredivisie (hosts - Excelsior, visitors - Zwolle). The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Excelsior vs Zwolle):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 3 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Excelsior are delivering solid performances for a mid-table team and are eager to maintain their current standing. In their last five matches, they have secured three victories and suffered two defeats, highlighting a certain inconsistency-alternating wins and losses is a common pattern for them (three result changes). Their opponents score modestly, averaging just one goal per match, but they display a well-organized defense, conceding slightly more than one goal on average. A recent away victory against PSV underscores Excelsior's ability to surprise.
Match Results: Excelsior
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.27, while the visitors net 0.23.
First-Half Stats: PSV (home) vs Excelsior (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 7;
- wins: 5 (62.5%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- draws: 2 (25%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 2.13 vs 1.43;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.86.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 2 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2).
- PSV have won the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 24, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
Statistics: PSV vs Excelsior
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 16;
- wins: 15 vs 6;
- win percentage: 88% vs 38%;
- losses: 1 vs 9;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- PSV won with a -1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Excelsior (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3.19, the guests - 0.81;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: PSV vs Excelsior
- average total in the tournament: 4.29 vs 2.69;
- average total goals scored: 3.06 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.59 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.47 vs 0.38;
- PSV: average total at home in the tournament - 3.25;
- Excelsior: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.7 (home - 3) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Under 4.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 PSV home games against Excelsior (Eredivisie).
- Under 4.5 goals scored in last 6 Excelsior away games.
- Under 4.5 goals scored in last 5 Excelsior away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.59; at home field - 7.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 6.75.
Excelsior: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.06, away - 4.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 6.2.
- Excelsior have taken over 2.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: PSV vs Excelsior
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for PSV at home - 6 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 5 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for PSV at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Excelsior away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (17/152, 11.2%);
- PSV at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:0 , 4:2 , 4:3 , 5:2 , 6:1 (1/8, 12.5%);
- Excelsior away most often play: 1:2 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.22% (odds 10)
3:1 - 8.53% (odds 9)
2:0 - 8.17% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
PSV traditionally dominate their home fixtures in the Eredivisie, showcasing phenomenal attacking prowess and high goal-scoring ability. Excelsior's defense often struggles under the pressure from top clubs, frequently conceding three or more goals in away matches against league leaders. The difference in player quality and the hosts' aggressive play from the start will create numerous chances against the underdog's defense. Based on this analysis, betting on PSV's individual total over 2.5 goals seems like a highly reliable and logical choice.
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Betting Tips: PSV - Excelsior
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in 7 of last 8 games against Excelsior.
in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).in last 26 games against Excelsior.in last 25 games against Excelsior (Eredivisie).in last 13 home games against Excelsior.in last 12 home games against Excelsior (Eredivisie).in 23 of last 24 games (Eredivisie).in 17 of last 18 games.in 10 of last 11 home games (Eredivisie).in 7 of last 8 home games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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