PSV vs Groningen Prediction 23 August 2026
📢 PSV have picked up four points from their opening two matches and sit sixth - an unfamiliar position for the reigning champions. Groningen, by contrast, have made a perfect start and are second with six points. In just their third match back in the top flight, they face one of the toughest tests possible: a trip to the club that has won the Eredivisie title three years running.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 08 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Groningen):
- ball possession percentage: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 11;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams PSV and Groningen:
- played 37 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 25, for the away team - 5, draws - 7;
- number of goals - 86 against 37;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.57, in the 2nd half - 1.76;
- average total goals in the match - 3.32.
Head-to-head statistics PSV - Groningen
PSV Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Excelsior, away team - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (PSV vs Excelsior):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 3 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
PSV made an unexpected slip in the opening round, drawing with Fortuna, but bounced back in their second match with a first league win of the season - against Excelsior. The performance was considerably more convincing than the scoreline suggested: PSV generated 2.2 xG to their opponents' 0.5. After two rounds they sit sixth on four points, which is clearly below expectations for a club that has won three consecutive league titles. Now back at home, they will be looking to go through a match without dropping points for the first time this season.
Match Results: PSV
Groningen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - ADO Den Haag, away - Groningen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:4.
Here are the match stats (Groningen vs ADO Den Haag):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 14 vs 4.
Groningen, by contrast, have made a perfect start to the season. Six points from two matches leave them second in the table. They beat Utrecht first, then were even more convincing away at Den Haag, scoring four goals. In that match Groningen generated 2.09 xG against their opponents' 1.03, so the heavy win reflected a clear superiority in chance quality. They head to Eindhoven in fine form.
Match Results: Groningen
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.32, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.32;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: PSV vs Groningen
- average total in the tournament: 3.5 vs 4;
- average total goals scored: 2 vs 3;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 2;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.5 vs 1;
- PSV: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Groningen: average total away in the tournament - 4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.8 (home - 3.4) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- PSV have conceded in 17 of last 18 games.
- PSV have conceded in 14 of last 15 games (Eredivisie).
- PSV have conceded in last 9 home games.
- PSV have conceded in last 7 home games (Eredivisie).
- Groningen have scored in 7 of last 8 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
PSV: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 8.5; at home field - 10;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.1; at home field - 7.8.
Groningen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.4.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 37;
- both teams scored - 21 times overall;
- at the home side's ground - 11 times.
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- PSV: BTTS at home - 4 (80%);
- Groningen: BTTS away - 3 (60%).
- PSV have seen both teams score in 14 of their last 15 matches (Eredivisie).
- PSV have seen both teams score in 8 of their last 9 home matches.
- PSV have seen both teams score in 7 consecutive home matches (Eredivisie).
- PSV have seen both teams score in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Groningen have seen both teams score in 6 of their last 7 matches (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:4 (3/18, 16.7%), 2:2 (3/18, 16.7%);
- PSV at home most often finish matches: 2:2 (1/1, 100%);
- Groningen away most often play: 1:4 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 6.96% (odds 8.5)
1:2 - 6.86% (odds 18)
2:2 - 6.17% (odds 13)
⭐ Editor's Pick
PSV are the clear favourites here, and there is little reason to argue with that assessment. The gap in quality between the two sides is noticeable, and after a less than ideal start, the hosts will be particularly motivated to get back on track. The head-to-head record also firmly favours PSV, who have won 13 of their last 14 Eredivisie meetings with Groningen. Our pick is a PSV win with a -1 handicap. Expected score: 4-1.
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Betting Tips: PSV - Groningen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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