Leipzig vs Dortmund Prediction 15 March 2025
🔊 The upcoming match between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund can be considered the central match of the 26th Bundesliga round, at least by name. The current season for the recognized top teams of the German championship is not going well - they are outside the top 5, but the "Bulls" still have a chance to fight for a spot in the Champions League. The "Bees" are unlikely to manage this, considering their inconsistent play and current 10th place, however, bookmakers see the teams' chances in the upcoming encounter as roughly equal.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official matches between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund:
- 17 matches played;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 8, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 32 against 32;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.88, in the 2nd half - 1.88;
- average total goals in a match - 3.76.
The last game took place on 02 November 2024 at Borussia's field and ended with a score of 2:1.
Head-to-head statistics Leipzig - Dortmund
Leipzig Team Overview
⚪ Leipzig has been far from the concept of "stability" lately. Dropping points has become a common occurrence for them. The "Bulls" have only one victory in their last five rounds. Last weekend, they shared points with Freiburg (0:0), despite having the advantage in play (16-9 in shots, 2.03-0.53 in xG).
🔝 Leipzig's captain Willi Orban made it into the symbolic team of the 25th round for his reliable defensive play.
📢 “It was a tough away match. It's good that we kept a clean sheet, but we need to capitalize on our chances in attack. Next week, we have a home match against Dortmund, and we must win it,” said the "Bulls" head coach Marco Rose.
🚑 There are four injured players in the hosts' camp, just like before the previous round. Benjamin Henrichs, Assan Ouédraogo, and Xaver Schlager have not appeared on the field this year, and Antonio Nusa (60% of matches in the starting lineup) ended up in the infirmary in February.
Match Results: Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 Borussia Dortmund is having an incredibly weak season by their own standards. The team has won only five of the last ten matches. Niko Kovac criticized his players for a lack of desire, which led to the defeat against Augsburg (0:1) in the last round. But that setback can already be forgotten, as the "Bumblebees" advanced to the quarterfinals of the Champions League this week, outplaying Lille in every aspect in the away match (2:1).
📢 “It's an excellent team performance and a deserved victory. We dominated and created several big chances,” said Niko Kovac after the victory.
🚑 Two important players are in Dortmund's infirmary. These are left-back Daniel Svensson and midfielder Felix Nmecha, who has become a truly key player this season. However, both have been missing for more than one match.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 8, draws - 2.
Statistics: Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of wins: 10 vs 10;
- win percentage: 40% vs 40%;
- number of losses: 6 vs 10;
- number of draws: 9 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 5;
- number of losses: 2 vs 3;
- number of draws: 5 vs 2.
- Borussia Dortmund has lost the 2nd half in 6 of the last 7 games against Leipzig.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.88, the guests - 1.88;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.76;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
- average total in the tournament: 2.88 vs 3.36;
- average total goals scored: 1.56 vs 1.8;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.76;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 1.04;
- Leipzig: average total at home in the tournament - 1.83;
- Borussia Dortmund: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.67) vs 1.7 (away - 1.8).
- Leipzig scored in the 2nd half in 10 of the last 11 games against Borussia Dortmund.
- Leipzig scored in the 2nd half in 8 of the last 9 Bundesliga games against Borussia Dortmund.
- Leipzig scored in the 2nd half in each of their last 6 home games against Borussia Dortmund.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.35 (4.82 - for home team and 5.53 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.63 (5 - for home team and 4.63 - for away team).
Leipzig: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.52; at home field - 6.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 5.67.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.68, away - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; away - 5.
- Leipzig has taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 home games against Borussia Dortmund.
- Leipzig has taken under 5.5 corners in each of their last 5 Bundesliga home games against Borussia Dortmund.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.64 (1.82 for home team and 1.82 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.63 (1.75 for home team and 2.88 for away team).
Leipzig: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.68; at home - 1.58;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; at home - 2.17.
Borussia Dortmund: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.96, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Leipzig at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Borussia Dortmund away - 8 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Leipzig at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Borussia Dortmund away - 2 (40%).
- Leipzig has scored and conceded in 8 of the last 9 Bundesliga games against Borussia Dortmund.
- Leipzig has scored and conceded in 6 of the last 7 Bundesliga home games.
Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, a tough battle with plenty of chances for both teams is expected. Considering the opponents' statistics and their current form, the most optimal bet seems to be on both teams to score (yes). This prediction is supported by the fact that the teams have exchanged goals in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters in the Bundesliga. Both are expected to actively attack, given their less-than-ideal league standing.
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Betting Tips: Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund
in 6 of last 7 games against Leipzig.
in 8 of last 9 games (Bundesliga).in 15 of last 17 home games (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 games (Bundesliga).in 14 of last 15 games against Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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