Guadalajara vs America Prediction 15 February 2026
⭐️ The clash between Guadalajara and América promises to be an electrifying event in Liga MX. Both teams have been delivering impressive performances: Guadalajara have won their last five matches, showcasing a powerful attacking style with a focus on ball possession. Meanwhile, América are unbeaten in their last four games, although their average goals scored remains low at just 0.7 per game. It will be intriguing to see if América's defense can withstand the home side's onslaught or if we'll witness a tactical adjustment from the visitors.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of the official head-to-head encounters between Guadalajara and America:
- 58 matches played;
- home victories - 18, away victories - 26, draws - 14;
- goals scored - 51 for Guadalajara, 70 for America;
- average first-half total - 0.84, second-half - 1.24;
- average total goals per match - 2.09.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - America

Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Liga MX, with Mazatlán hosting Guadalajara. The game ended with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Guadalajara vs Mazatlán):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Guadalajara are sitting at the top of the table, showcasing impressive form with a five-match winning streak. Their aggressive approach has enabled them to average 2.1 goals per game over the last ten matches, making them one of the league's most prolific teams. Chivas confidently control possession and create numerous scoring opportunities against their opponents. In their last head-to-head clash with América, the match ended in a 1-1 draw, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming showdown.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas

CF America Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the CONCACAF Champions League, with CF América hosting CD Olimpia. The match ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here's the game statistics (América vs CD Olimpia):
- possession: 74% vs 26%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
Club América are currently in eighth place, showcasing consistency with a four-game unbeaten streak, comprising two wins and two draws. Although their scoring rate is modest at just 0.7 goals per game, they make up for it with a solid defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per match over their last ten outings. The team favors a cautious playing style, focusing on defense and counter-attacks, which enables them to effectively challenge even the strongest opponents.
Match Results: CF America
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- home team wins - 18, away team wins - 26, draws - 14.
- CF America have drawn in last 3 away games against Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.88, the guests - 1.21;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.09;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs CF America
- average total in the tournament: 2.92 vs 2.54;
- average total goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.58;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.54;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 1.04;
- Guadalajara Chivas: average total at home in the tournament - 1.92;
- CF America: average total away in the tournament - 1.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.4) vs 0.7 (away - 0.4).
- CF America have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Guadalajara Chivas.
- CF America have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Guadalajara Chivas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.58; at home field - 5.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 5.6.
CF America: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.21, away - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 5.8.
- Under 9.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Guadalajara Chivas games (Liga MX).
- Under 9.5 corners in last 6 Guadalajara Chivas home games (Liga MX).
- Under 9.5 corners in last 7 CF America games (Liga MX).
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 CF America away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (22/215, 10.2%), 1:1 (22/215, 10.2%);
- Guadalajara Chivas at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 (2/12, 16.7%);
- CF America away most often play: 0:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 2:2 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.2% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.97% (odds 7.5)
0:1 - 8.21% (odds 10)
- Guadalajara Chivas drew 0:0 in last 3 home games against CF America (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clash between Guadalajara and América is hailed as the premier derby in Mexico, where immense psychological pressure often compels teams to adopt a highly pragmatic approach. In such encounters, fierce rivals frequently focus on breaking down the opposition's attacks, favoring defensive solidity over open and risky football. The hosts are likely to opt for a cautious game plan, aiming to close off any free spaces for the capital club's quick and skillful forwards. Given the enormous responsibility for the outcome and the traditionally high intensity in midfield battles, betting on under 2.5 goals seems quite reasonable.