Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction 16 January 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Mathare United and Ulinzi Stars. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 13:00 16 January. The tournament match will take place at the Moi International Sports Centre stadium in the city of Nairobi. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 17 May 2025 and ended with a score of 1:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Mathare United):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3.
📊Officially, the teams Mathare United and Ulinzi Stars have played only one match. The meeting took place on 17 May 2025 at the home ground of Mathare United and ended with a score of 1:0.
Head-to-head statistics Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars

Mathare United Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 10 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Mathare United, away team - Muranga Seal). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Mathare United vs Muranga Seal):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
- 5 wins,
- 8 losses,
- 3 draws.
📈Currently, Mathare United stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 31% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽️Mathare United has scored a total of 9 goals. On the defensive end, Mathare United has allowed 14 goals over the season.
Match Results: Mathare United

Ulinzi Stars Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 11 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Ulinzi Stars, away - Nairobi United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi United):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
- 4 wins,
- 7 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Ulinzi Stars stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 25% and a loss percentage of 44%.
⚽Ulinzi Stars has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 17 goals over the season.
Match Results: Ulinzi Stars
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- win percentage: 31% vs 25%;
- losses: 8 vs 7;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars
- average total in the tournament: 1.44 vs 2.06;
- average total goals scored: 0.56 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.19 vs 0.31;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.38 vs 0.69;
- Mathare United: average total at home in the tournament - 0.71;
- Ulinzi Stars: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0.75) vs 1.2 (away - 1.2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Ulinzi Stars games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Mathare United at home - 2 (29%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ulinzi Stars away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Mathare United at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Ulinzi Stars away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (27/147, 18.4%);
- Mathare United at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:2 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Ulinzi Stars away most often play: 0:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:0 - 15.44% (odds 5.8)
1:0 - 14.88% (odds 6)
1:1 - 13.34% (odds 6.5)
Editorial Prediction
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Ulinzi Stars games (Premier League).