Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Both sides are in the play-off places and come into this match with plenty of motivation. Monterrey trail Tijuana by just one point, with not much time left before the decisive stage. The key factor looks to be the attacking output of both teams: their average scoring rates are around one and a half goals per game, and recent results suggest both sides are likely to trade goals.
Head-to-Head History with a Clear Favourite
Monterrey and Tijuana drew 2-2 in their Liga MX match on 01 February 2026. Monterrey had more shots - 21 to 16 - but Tijuana led on expected goals, 1.89 to 1.32.
Across 37 official meetings, Monterrey have won 14, Tijuana 8, with 15 draws. Monterrey also lead on goals - 63-42 - though both teams have scored in 24 of those matches.
Head-to-head statistics Monterrey - Tijuana
Team in search of stability
Monterrey lost 0-1 to Guadalajara at home in their last Liga MX match 25 October 2026. They had 61% possession and an expected goals advantage of 1.82 to 1.15, but failed to score, and were outshot on target 5-7.
Monterrey are trying to hold on to a top-eight place and keep their play-off spot. The team have been alternating wins and losses - two wins and three defeats in their last five matches. Across their last ten matches, a balance of four wins and four defeats points to inconsistent results. Their defence is conceding more than one goal per game, while their attack is averaging around 1.3-1.77 goals, which gives reason to expect at least one goal at home even against an equal opponent.
Match Results: CF Monterrey
Open play away from home
In their last Liga MX match on 29 October 2026, Tijuana came away from América with a 1-1 draw despite being outshot 6-28 and losing the expected goals battle 0.36-1.92. Their goalkeeper made seven saves, and the team finished the match with ten men.
Tijuana sit slightly higher in the table, but the gap is minimal and they too need to secure their play-off place. The visitors have been more consistent in form, going five matches without defeat - one win and four draws. Their average over ten matches is 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, which reflects the open nature of their away performances; they have scored in six consecutive away matches.
Match Results: Tijuana
Prediction for the 1st half
Monterrey have scored in the first half in five consecutive matches. That run is directly relevant to the bet, though there are no separate first-half scoring statistics for the team. We're going with Monterrey Team Total 1st Half - Over 0.5 at 1.50*.
Match Result Prediction
Tijuana have covered the handicap (+1.5) in 18 of their last 19 league matches, and away from home they have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 league games. This season they have five draws and one defeat in six away matches. On that basis, Tijuana Handicap +1.5 at 1.55* looks more justified than backing them to win outright.
Total Goals Prediction
Monterrey have scored under 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches. In their last ten home games, they average 0.8 goals. Tijuana, however, concede an average of 2.2 goals away from home over their last ten matches - which is an argument against this bet. With that caveat in mind, we are going with Monterrey Team Total - Under 2.5 Goals at 1.50*.
Corners Prediction
Tijuana have had more than 2.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches. That is a direct and fairly consistent run for the selected line. There are no recent average corner figures in the data, so no additional check against them is possible. The pick is Tijuana Team Corners - Over 2.5 at 1.37*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Tijuana have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 league matches; away from home they have scored in six consecutive matches and conceded in eight consecutive matches. Monterrey have conceded an average of one goal per match across their last ten home games, but have scored just 0.8 per game - which limits confidence in a goal exchange. With that in mind, we are looking at Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.62*.
High-Risk Bet
Tijuana have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 league matches. This trend relates specifically to that match segment, though there are no separate average first-half goal figures for Tijuana. The bolder option is Tijuana Team Total First Half - Over 0.5 at 2.32*. *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 19 of Monterrey's last 21 matches. Over their last ten away matches, Tijuana have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Those figures, combined with the extended run, point towards Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.14*.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm's calculations produced three correct score options in the top three. Their probabilities in the original order are: 2:1 (9.98%), 1:1 (9.5%), 1:0 (8.88%). The highest probability among these options belongs to 2:1.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Trend analysis points to a high probability of both teams scoring: Tijuana are consistent at finding the net away from home and prone to defensive errors, while Monterrey regularly score at least once on their own ground. The league situation is pushing both sides to play more openly to protect their positions, and that attacking approach could lead to a high-scoring game. The main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: CF Monterrey - Tijuana
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