Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Universidad Católica and Independiente del Valle promises intrigue, driven by tournament motivation and team form. Universidad Católica, sitting fourth in the standings, approaches the season's end without significant goals in the final rounds. Meanwhile, their opponent, Independiente del Valle, tops the league and has already secured the championship title. The teams exhibit contrasting styles: the hosts favor a defensive approach, while the visitors showcase attacking football. Expect a tense battle for points.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 08 November 2025 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Independiente del Valle were the home side):

    • possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corners: 3 vs 4;
    • fouls: 8 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Universidad Católica and Independiente del Valle:

    • 46 matches played;
    • home wins - 17, away wins - 20, draws - 9;
    • goals scored - 64 for the home side, 74 for the visitors;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.41, in the second half - 1.59;
    • average total goals per match - 3.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    35%
    17 Wins
    18%
    9 Draws
    47%
    23 Wins
    Total games
    49
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.35
    Total average
    1.65
    1.96
    Yellow cards
    1.73
    Last matches
    13.05.26
    Super Copa
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    01.05.26
    Serie A
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    11
    3
    10
    10
    2
    7
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    3
    10
    10
    2
    7
    14.12.25
    Serie A
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    0.62
    1.99
    1
    4
    12
    7
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.62
    1.99
    1
    4
    12
    7
    1
    0
    08.11.25
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    0.67
    1.73
    3
    4
    8
    15
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.67
    1.73
    3
    4
    8
    15
    1
    3
    13.10.25
    Copa Ecuador
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    7
    4
    5
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    5
    4
    1
    2
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    Universidad Catolica Team Overview

    The team last played an official match on as part of Serie A, with Barcelona Guayaquil hosting Universidad Católica. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Universidad Católica vs Barcelona Guayaquil):

    • Possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 4;
    • Fouls: 11 vs 10;
    • Yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    Universidad Católica conclude the season in fourth place in the standings. Their playing style is characterized by a solid defense. In their last five matches, the team remains unbeaten, although they have drawn four times and secured one victory. This balance indicates stability, but also a lack of decisiveness in pushing forward aggressively. Out of their last ten games, Universidad Católica have claimed three wins, suffered one defeat, and drawn six times. Their most recent match ended in a draw, and they are currently on a seven-game unbeaten streak.

    Match Results: Universidad Catolica

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    8
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    8
    1
    3
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Ecuador
    El Nacional
    El Nacional
    1
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    3
    13
    9
    3
    2
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    5
    3
    13
    9
    3
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Orense
    Orense
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    11
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    11
    2
    3
    W
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Delfin
    Delfin
    -
    -
    7
    1
    13
    9
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    13
    9
    2
    3
    D
    13.05.26
    Super Copa
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    L
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    Independiente del Valle Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in Serie A, where Independiente del Valle hosted LDU Quito. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.

    Here are the game statistics (Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito):

    • possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    Independiente del Valle confidently top the league, showcasing an attacking style of play. The team has been impressive throughout the season, boasting 21 wins against just 4 losses in 38 matches. However, they've hit a rough patch in their last five games, recording three draws and two losses, indicating a dip in form. Their most recent encounter with Universidad Católica ended in a 0-2 defeat. The squad favors ball control and a high-tempo game, but occasionally loses focus in defense, conceding avoidable goals. With the championship already secured, their current goal is simply to finish the season.

    Match Results: Independiente del Valle

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    0
    4
    14
    8
    2
    3
    2
    4
    0
    2
    2
    2
    -
    -
    0
    4
    14
    8
    2
    3
    W
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    2.17
    0.33
    9
    2
    8
    9
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.17
    0.33
    9
    2
    8
    9
    1
    4
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    12
    1
    12
    8
    3
    4
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    3
    -
    -
    12
    1
    12
    8
    3
    4
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2.46
    0.32
    8
    4
    4
    9
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.46
    0.32
    8
    4
    4
    9
    0
    1
    W
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Macara
    Macara
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    3
    7
    10
    9
    2
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    10
    9
    2
    2
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 46;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 12;
    • Average first-half total: 1.41;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.76, while the visitors net 0.65.

    First-Half Stats: Universidad Catolica (home) vs Independiente del Valle (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 19;
    • wins: 9 (50%) vs 10 (52.63%);
    • losses: 4 (22.22%) vs 2 (10.53%);
    • draws: 5 (27.78%) vs 7 (36.84%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.47;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.37.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 1;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 5 vs 6;
    • Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Independiente del Valle have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 2.2)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 46;
    • home team wins - 17, away team wins - 20, draws - 9.
    Trends
    • Universidad Catolica have drawn in last 4 home games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Draw(odds: 3.4)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.39, the guests - 1.61;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
    • both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 14.

    Statistics: Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle

    • average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.5;
    • average total goals scored: 1.76 vs 1.71;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.92;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.05 vs 0.79;
    • Universidad Catolica: average total at home in the tournament -  1.78;
    • Independiente del Valle: average total away in the tournament - 2;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 1 (away - 1.75).
    Trends
    • Independiente del Valle have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Independiente del Valle Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    Universidad Catolica: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.42; at home field - 5.61;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 8.5.

    Independiente del Valle: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.68, away - 4.42;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; away - 6.25.
    Trends
    • Independiente del Valle have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Independiente del Valle Total Under (5.5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 46;
    • both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 14 times.
    Trends
    • Universidad Catolica have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.73)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (48/300, 16%);
    • Universidad Catolica at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (6/18, 33.3%);
    • Independiente del Valle away most often play: 1:2 (5/19, 26.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.04% (odds 6.5)
    1:0 - 8.39% (odds 9)
    0:1 - 7.98% (odds 9.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given the current form of both teams, we can anticipate a cautious match with a focus on defense. Universidad Catolica have been consistent at home, rarely conceding more than one goal. Independiente del Valle are experiencing a dip in form and have also struggled to find the back of the net in recent outings. Both teams often engage in low-scoring matches and seem to prefer them. The trend of under 2.5 goals for Universidad Catolica supports this expectation. Therefore, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be the most well-founded choice, considering the statistics and playing styles of the opponents.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -115*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (12 December 2025, 10:13)

    Betting Tips: Universidad Catolica - Independiente del Valle

    Independiente del Valle have drawn in the 1st half
    independiente-del-vallein 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Universidad Catolica have drawn
    cd-universidad-catolicain last 4 home games (Serie A).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +230
    Universidad Catolica have not won
    cd-universidad-catolicain 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    Independiente del Valle have not lost
    independiente-del-vallein 25 of last 27 games (Serie A).
    independiente-del-vallein 16 of last 17 away games (Serie A).
    Independiente del Valle will not lose
    Everygame
    -217
    Universidad Catolica have not lost
    cd-universidad-catolicain 17 of last 18 games (Serie A).
    cd-universidad-catolicain 16 of last 17 games.
    cd-universidad-catolicain last 8 home games.
    Independiente del Valle have not won
    independiente-del-vallein 7 of last 8 games.
    Universidad Catolica will not lose
    Everygame
    -217
    View more facts

    Universidad Catolica - Independiente del Valle Table position

    League
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    301810255-2364
    2.
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    30166846-3354
    3.
    LDU Quito
    LDU Quito
    30149748-3151
    4.
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    301310758-3949
    5.
    Orense
    Orense
    30138934-3247

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 8
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 14
    +3
    +12
    24 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    8
    1
    Draws
    0
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    24
    14
    Conceded
    12
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.6
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    38'
    View all stats