Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle Prediction 1 May 2026

    🔊 The match promises to be a thrilling showdown. Both teams are at the top of the table, battling for supremacy. Universidad Católica have been consistent, but the visitors are in impressive away form. The playing styles of the opponents feature aggressive attacking and solid defending, making this match intriguing for analysis.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 14 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0-1. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (Universidad Católica were the home side):

    • possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corners: 1 vs 4;
    • fouls: 12 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Universidad Católica and Independiente del Valle:

    • 47 matches played;
    • home wins - 17, away wins - 21, draws - 9;
    • total goals - 64 for the hosts, 75 for the visitors;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.38, in the second half - 1.57;
    • average total goals per match - 2.96.

    Head-to-head statistics Universidad Catolica - Independiente del Valle

    34%
    17 Wins
    20%
    10 Draws
    46%
    23 Wins
    Total games
    50
    Total Goals Avg
    3.02
    Both teams scored
    62%
    1.36
    Total average
    1.66
    1.94
    Yellow cards
    1.72
    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    13
    1
    1
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    13
    1
    1
    13.05.26
    Super Copa
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    01.05.26
    Serie A
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    -
    -
    11
    3
    10
    10
    2
    7
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    3
    10
    10
    2
    7
    14.12.25
    Serie A
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    0.62
    1.99
    1
    4
    12
    7
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.62
    1.99
    1
    4
    12
    7
    1
    0
    08.11.25
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    0.67
    1.73
    3
    4
    8
    15
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.67
    1.73
    3
    4
    8
    15
    1
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Universidad Catolica Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in Serie A, where Manta hosted Universidad Católica. The match ended with a 1-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Universidad Católica vs Manta):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 2 vs 7;
    • fouls: 8 vs 26;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 0 vs 4.

    Universidad Católica hold the second spot in the standings, thanks to their impressive performances. Over the last five matches, they have secured three wins, drawn once, and suffered one defeat. Their average goals scored per game stand at 1.9, while they concede just 0.5 goals on average over the past ten games. This showcases their strong defense and consistent ability to find the back of the net.

    Match Results: Universidad Catolica

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    13
    1
    1
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    13
    1
    1
    D
    22.08.26
    Serie A
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    Manta
    Manta
    -
    -
    6
    1
    11
    5
    1
    2
    5
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    11
    5
    1
    2
    W
    18.08.26
    Serie A
    Macara
    Macara
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    3
    16
    8
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    16
    8
    3
    0
    D
    10.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    2
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    L
    05.08.26
    Copa Ecuador
    Vinotinto
    Vinotinto
    1
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    1
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Independiente del Valle Team Overview

    The visitors' most recent official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Libertad hosting Independiente del Valle. The game ended 3-2.

    Here are the match statistics (Independiente del Valle vs Libertad):

    • possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corners: 6 vs 0;
    • fouls: 9 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    Independiente del Valle are leading the league thanks to their confident performances both at home and away. The team have won four of their last five matches, showcasing impressive offensive prowess with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding just 1 goal on average over the last ten games. Notably, they rarely falter on the road, having lost only twice in seventeen away encounters.

    Match Results: Independiente del Valle

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    13
    1
    1
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    5
    3
    8
    13
    1
    1
    D
    26.08.26
    libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Tolima
    Tolima
    2.27
    0.76
    3
    2
    3
    11
    1
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2.27
    0.76
    3
    2
    3
    11
    1
    3
    W
    22.08.26
    Serie A
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    -
    -
    4
    9
    11
    5
    3
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    4
    9
    11
    5
    3
    2
    W
    19.08.26
    libertadores
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    0.85
    0.97
    5
    3
    18
    6
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.85
    0.97
    5
    3
    18
    6
    2
    2
    W
    15.08.26
    Serie A
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Delfin
    Delfin
    -
    -
    9
    5
    5
    7
    2
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    5
    5
    7
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 47;
    • home team wins - 17, away team wins - 21, draws - 9.

    Statistics: Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • wins: 6 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 55% vs 73%;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 4 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 7;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Independiente del Valle will not lose (odds: 1.53)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.36, the guests - 1.6;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.96;
    • both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 14.

    Statistics: Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle

    • average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.73;
    • average total goals scored: 1.73 vs 1.73;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.18 vs 0.73;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.55 vs 1;
    • Universidad Catolica: average total at home in the tournament -  2.75;
    • Independiente del Valle: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Universidad Catolica have scored in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Universidad Catolica will score goal (odds: 1.25)

    Prediction on corners

    Universidad Catolica: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.45; at home field - 4.75;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 4.83.

    Independiente del Valle: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.73, away - 4.6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; away - 4.83.
    Trends
    • Independiente del Valle have taken over 3.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Independiente del Valle Total Over (3,5) (odds: 1.37)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 47;
    • both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 14 times.

    Statistics: Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
    • number of BTTS matches for Universidad Catolica at home - 1 (25%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle away - 2 (40%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Universidad Catolica at home - 2 (33%);
    • BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle away - 3 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 2.1)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/88, 18.2%);
    • Universidad Catolica at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 2:0 , 4:0 , 4:1 (1/4, 25%);
    • Independiente del Valle away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:3 (1/5, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.82% (odds 6.5)
    1:0 - 9.5% (odds 9)
    2:1 - 8.16% (odds 10)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be thrilling. Universidad Católica have been delivering solid performances, but the visitors have shown impressive form on the road. Based on current form and trends, Independiente del Valle hold an edge in this matchup. This trend is bolstered by the fact that the club consistently avoids defeat away from home. Considering all factors, it's reasonable to bet that the visitors will once again leave the field unbeaten. Our pick - Independiente del Valle not to lose.

    Independiente del Valle will not lose
    Published: 29/04/2026, 07:13

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    Betting Tips: Universidad Catolica - Independiente del Valle

    Independiente del Valle have won:
    independiente-del-vallein 5 of last 6 away games (Serie A).
    Independiente del Valle Win
    Bovada
    +150
    Universidad Catolica have not lost:
    cd-universidad-catolicain 13 of last 14 home games (Serie A).
    cd-universidad-catolicain 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).
    Universidad Catolica will not lose
    Everygame
    -213
    Independiente del Valle have not lost:
    independiente-del-vallein 15 of last 17 away games (Serie A).
    independiente-del-vallein 8 of last 9 games.
    independiente-del-vallein last 5 away games.
    Independiente del Valle will not lose
    Everygame
    -222
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    cd-universidad-catolicain 18 of last 20 Universidad Catolica games (Serie A).
    independiente-del-vallein 6 of last 7 Independiente del Valle games (Serie A).
    in 15 of last 16 Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Universidad Catolica - Independiente del Valle Table position

    LigaPro Primera A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    27222366-2868
    2.
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    27145831-2647
    3.
    Macara
    Macara
    27136835-2745
    4.
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    27128747-2544
    5.
    LDU Quito
    LDU Quito
    271251027-2241

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 9
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 22
    Conceded - 9
    +13
    +13
    22 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    9
    3
    Draws
    1
    1
    Loses
    0
    Goal difference
    22
    Scored
    22
    9
    Conceded
    9
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.1
    2.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    41'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    41'
    View all stats