Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction 13 February 2026
🔊 Matchday 22 of the Bundesliga traditionally kicks off on Friday. At Signal Iduna Park, Borussia Dortmund, who are not dropping points or losing hope, aim for their sixth consecutive victory to keep pace with Bayern Munich. Mainz, on the other hand, have won three in a row and climbed out of the relegation zone. However, their last five visits to Dortmund have not ended in victory for the 05ers. Can Urs Fischer's squad shake up the title race by taking points from Nico Kovac's side?
Head-to-Head
📊 Borussia secured a win in Mainz in the first round (2-0). Daniel Svensson and Karim Adeyemi found the back of the net. At home, the "Black and Yellows" have remained unbeaten against the "05ers" for five consecutive matches.
Head-to-head statistics Dortmund - Mainz
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 In the last round, Borussia Dortmund snatched a victory against Wolfsburg (2-1) and remain six points behind Bayern Munich. Julian Brandt opened the scoring, but the Wolves equalized early in the second half. It was only three minutes before the end of regular time that Serhou Guirassy secured all three points for Dortmund at the Volkswagen Arena.
⚫ Following a draw with Eintracht Frankfurt (3-3) in their first game of 2026, Niko Kovac's side have won five consecutive league matches-currently the longest winning streak among all Bundesliga clubs. They are six points clear of third place, but for Borussia, keeping pace with Bayern is the priority. On the last day of February, they will face each other at Signal Iduna Park. Dortmund still have a strong chance at the title, making it crucial not to drop points, especially in home games.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Nadim Amiri converted two penalties against Augsburg (2-0), as Mainz secured their third consecutive victory. The club has now pulled two points clear of the relegation zone after 21 rounds. Since Urs Fischer took charge of the '05ers' in December, the team has lost just one of their last 10 official matches. In their last eight Bundesliga games, Mainz have picked up 15 points. For comparison, they only managed six points in the first 13 rounds.
⚪ A potential victory in Dortmund could lift the team closer to mid-table. However, Mainz have failed to win at Signal Iduna Park in their last five visits, recording two losses and three draws. Last season, they suffered a 3-1 defeat here. Yet, in their previous away game, Mainz triumphed at the Red Bull Arena against Leipzig (2-1). Considering Fischer's squad's current form, a similar outcome in Dortmund cannot be ruled out.
Match Results: Mainz
Latest news
Borussia Dortmund
🎙️ Niko Kovac on the victory over Wolfsburg: "Today we witnessed a very intense match from both sides. We were the better team in the first half, while Wolfsburg took the upper hand in the second. We really showed our quality in the first half: we didn't let them run freely and limited their chances near our goal, but we should have gone into the break with a 2-0 lead. After halftime, we did what we shouldn't have - tried to slow the game down. As a result, we lost possession more frequently, and right after their goal, they could have scored another. We repeatedly gave Wolfsburg opportunities. Ultimately, my team showed character and managed to clinch the win. Fabio Silva and Serhou did everything brilliantly - it was like watching a good movie."
❌ Karim Adeyemi is experiencing discomfort in his ankle, so it's uncertain if he's 100% fit. There is hope that Marcel Sabitzer will be back in the squad for this match. Emre Can has picked up a new injury and will be sidelined for two to three weeks.
Mainz
🎙️ Sporting Director Nico Bungert after the victory over Augsburg: "Augsburg had a tough time. Our goalkeeper was exceptional today, keeping us in the game. We fought until the very end. From the first minute, it was clear we were hungry for the win. The small details are really helping us right now, which wasn't always the case in the first half of the season. We're fierce and eager for everything, even if it's a throw-in that could be decisive for the game. Then Nadim showed composure twice-he's hard to contain. He has quality, consistency, and calmness. That's crucial. We feel good at the moment because we're performing well. However, there are still things we need to discuss. The interim result is positive, but it's just a step in the journey."
❌ Anthony Caci, Maxim Dahl, Benedict Hollerbach, Armindo Sieb, and Robin Zentner remain sidelined. The return of Sota Kawasaki and Maxim Leitsch is still uncertain.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Tobias Welz is appointed as the main referee at Signal Iduna Park. Over his last 10 matches, he has averaged 4.8 yellow cards per game. Borussia Dortmund's average yellow card count stands at 1.8, while Mainz averages 2.3. We opt for Mainz's individual total of over 1.5 yellow cards. This total has hit in five consecutive matches for the team.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Despite Mainz's strong form, we choose Borussia Dortmund's individual total of over 1.5 goals. This has been achieved in the club's last 7 matches, as well as in six consecutive games at Signal Iduna Park.
🚩 Corner Prediction
According to the league standings, Borussia Dortmund remain one of the top teams in terms of corners, averaging 5.4 per game. Mainz, despite their position in the table, are close behind with an average of 5.3. We select Dortmund's individual total of over 4.5 corners. This total has been reached in 7 of their last 8 home matches.
Editor's Prediction
Borussia Dortmund have scraped through their last two games with narrow wins. Considering Mainz's current form, this fixture won't be as straightforward for the hosts as it was in the first half of the season when the "05ers" faced numerous challenges.
Urs Fischer has fine-tuned the visitors' play, and Mainz might even find the back of the net-especially since they have both scored and conceded in their last five away matches. However, the hosts boast home advantage, squad depth, and are driven by their title ambitions. Additionally, Niko Kovac places significant emphasis on the physical aspect of his team, which could be a decisive factor here. Our prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win. Expected scoreline: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Borussia Dortmund - Mainz
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