Frankfurt vs Freiburg Prediction 14 January 2025

🔊 Will the teams delight us with quality offensive actions? In the 17th round, Eintracht and Freiburg will face off. A football match without a midfield is predicted - in such conditions, opponents can exchange sharp moments. The hosts have the class advantage, but the “Brazilians from Breisgau” have surprised many times: this adds many unknowns to the clash at the “Deutsche Bank Park.” The intrigue should remain until the final minutes.

📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

The last game between Freiburg and Eintracht ended in a fighting draw (3:3). 3 out of the last 5 head-to-head meetings ended in a draw.

🔴 EINTRACHT

Eintracht continues to try to maximize its squad, as leaders may leave the team soon. In particular, Marmoush. It was the Egyptian who brought victory in the recent match against St. Pauli (1:0). The match was not easy because the Frankfurt team was forced to play on the front foot, and they feel better on counterattacks. The situation against Freiburg should be somewhat easier: the opponent is not averse to control. The “Eagles” have no critical issues with their lineup. They can act at speeds more often. Ekitike, Götze, and Marmoush are capable of establishing a good transition from defense to attack. This approach works - 36 goals after 16 rounds (3rd in the Bundesliga). Defensively, Frankfurt also looks very good: according to xG, they conceded 2.1 goals less than expected by advanced statistics. The home field factor and the New Year holidays should allow the team to return to winning ways.

⚫ FREIBURG

Freiburg returned from the winter break quite successfully: they managed to defeat Holstein with a score of 3:2. The visitors are in 6th place in the table, but they are only three points behind third-placed Eintracht. The motivation for the match is extreme - for the “Brazilians from Breisgau,” a podium place would be a phenomenal interim result. The visitors are in good form - except for matches against giants where things don’t go as well. Before New Year, there were defeats against Bayer (1:5) and Dortmund (0:4). The defense is not the most effective. According to xG, Freiburg conceded 6.2 goals more than they could have. We assume that the visitors will also prefer to play on counter courses but will not resort to a deep “bus.” On average, they have 2.44 goal-scoring chances per game.

⚽️ GOALS PREDICTION

Frankfurt has one of the best attacks in the championship - averaging 2.25 goals per game. Since they will be in more comfortable conditions than in the previous round, significantly more chances should arise. On average for the season, the “Eagles” have 3.94 goal situations per match. Freiburg does not look like a team with perfect defense - especially against top opponents. They will have to respond with counterattacks - Grifo and Doan can cause trouble. The “Brazilians from Breisgau” have an average of 1.5 goals per match. This allows us to predict a “high-scoring” outcome. Our editorial team suggests betting on total over 2.5 goals.

🚩 CORNERS PREDICTION

The opponents are accustomed to fast-paced football: this minimizes sticky play in the center. Someone will constantly be building an attack, which allows for quite a few set pieces. On average for the season, the hosts have 5.38 corners per match (4th in the Bundesliga). Freiburg is much more modest in this component - only 4.31. We cannot confidently speak about the success of the “Brazilians from Breisgau” in this component. The difference in skill favors the hosts. It is appropriate to believe in Frankfurt's capabilities. We draw attention to Eintracht's total corners over 4.5.

📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

A clash between two teams from the upper part of the standings always has great intrigue. In the German championship, surprises happen - we cannot confidently speak about Eintracht's victory, despite all the positive aspects in the “Eagles'” game. If the hosts' attacking capabilities seem unshakable, Freiburg can play both blandly and provide very serious resistance. We cannot highlight a clear favorite here, but since the match is held in Frankfurt, we predict a score of 3:2. Our editorial team suggests trying a bet on total over 2.5 goals.