Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction 13 December 2025
🔊 Which club, Brighton or Liverpool, will stake a claim for a top-5 finish after their head-to-head clash? The Reds have been outside the European spots for four consecutive matchdays. Meanwhile, the Seagulls dropped out two matches ago. Both teams are level on points, separated only by goal difference. The upcoming encounter takes place at Anfield, where the Reds have failed to secure a win in their last three outings. Brighton last celebrated success in Liverpool four games ago. Who will fortune favor this time? Let's evaluate the odds for both teams in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams are evenly matched over their last ten encounters, each securing three wins and sharing four draws. Notably, both sides found the net in 8 out of these 10 matches, and in seven of those, the total goals exceeded 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Brighton
Liverpool Team Overview
Just two rounds ago, the Seagulls were sitting in fifth place in the Premier League, buoyed by a four-match unbeaten streak. During this run, Fabian Hürzeler's side drew just once. However, in the last two rounds at the Amex, Brighton managed to secure only one point, dropping them to eighth in the standings.
The lone point from their recent outings came against West Ham. The hosts dominated possession from the start, achieving 68% ball control and nearly doubling their opponents in creativity (22 shots with an xG of 2.37 compared to 14 shots with an xG of 1.64). Despite this, the visitors scored first, and the Seagulls only equalized in stoppage time (91st minute).
Match Results: Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview
Predicting Liverpool's outcomes lately has become incredibly challenging. There seems to be a certain dependency on the tournaments they participate in. Let's start with the Premier League. It feels like English teams have figured out the "Scousers," which has left them outside the top ten. Nevertheless, the "Reds" are unbeaten in their last three league matches, securing five points from the last three rounds. In their previous two games, Arne Slot's squad drew with Sunderland (1-1) and Leeds (3-3). However, there's little left of their former dominance.
In the Champions League, though, the "Scousers" remain an enigma, even for Europe's elite clubs. Liverpool currently sit in ninth place. In the sixth round, they faced a trip to Milan to play Inter. Despite equal possession, the visitors attacked more frequently and with greater threat (12 shots with an xG of 1.41 compared to 9 shots with an xG of 0.68). The Merseysiders found the net in the first half, but the goal was disallowed after a VAR review. However, Arne Slot's team eventually got their reward-a penalty was awarded in their favor in the 88th minute, which Dominik Szoboszlai converted.
Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion
Latest news
Liverpool
📝 Roma might terminate Evan Ferguson's contract early, who is owned by Brighton. Reports suggest that the "Giallorossi" are disappointed with the midfielder they loaned from the English club for a year with an option to buy for €40 million. Here's what Roma's head coach Gian Piero Gasperini had to say about the Irishman's future: "Ferguson's future? I've never discussed it, and I'm not sure if his agent has. I'll talk it over with the club in January if necessary. These days, there's always a lot of talk about players, but then someone steps onto the pitch, scores two goals, and everything changes."
❌ Brighton's injury list includes James Milner, Solly March, Adam Webster, and Stefanos Tzimas for the long term. Kaoru Mitoma and Yasin Ayari are close to making their return to the pitch.
Brighton & Hove Albion
🎙 Liverpool's head coach shared his thoughts on their victory over Inter in the 6th round of the Champions League. "Looking at our performance today, you couldn't have asked for more. Once again, we hardly allowed them any chances. Their most dangerous moment seemed to come just before halftime, after we all - players, myself, and our fans - had to accept a referee decision that could have gone the other way. But that's been the story of our season, among other things. The mentality is outstanding. In the second half, we kept improving. We came close to scoring through Bradley and Ekitike. Eventually, we got a penalty - and if that's a penalty, we could have been awarded ten such penalties this season," said Arne Slot.
❌ Liverpool face two main squad absences: Cody Gakpo and Jeremie Frimpong. Notably missing from the bench are big names like Federico Chiesa and Wataru Endo. Additionally, Conor Bradley will miss the upcoming match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Craig Pawson. Over his last 20 Premier League matches, he averages 3.2 yellow cards per game. Compared to Liverpool, Brighton are the real tough guys, averaging 2.6 cautions per game, while Liverpool average 2. Interestingly, Craig Pawson tends to hand out more yellow cards to the visitors than the hosts, with a ratio of 2 to 1.3 over 20 matches. Considering this game will be played at Anfield, we're backing Brighton to win the yellow card battle.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Recent results might misleadingly suggest that Liverpool are on the verge of emerging from their crisis under Arne Slot. However, that's far from the truth. Firstly, in 10 of their last 11 matches, the Reds have not scored more than 2.5 goals. If we look solely at their Premier League performances, this trend extends to 12 of 13 matches. Secondly, internal club news is not encouraging. Reports of strained relations between Mo Salah and Arne Slot likely undermine the team's morale. It's challenging to rebuild an attack when your long-time star player is unsettled. Our prediction: Liverpool's total goals under 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Fabian Hurzeler's favored 4-2-3-1 formation is likely to benefit Brighton, especially when playing defensively away against Liverpool. The high defensive line of the Merseysiders will allow the visitors to launch dynamic counterattacks and linger near the opponent's goal in search of set pieces. Brighton have been quite effective in this area, earning at least four corners in 12 of their last 14 away Premier League games. Notably, Brighton's home corner stats over eight rounds are nearly identical to their away stats over seven games-5.38 compared to 5.29. Editor’s choice: Brighton's total corners over 3.5.
Editorial Prediction
Despite Brighton's recent form, they're known for stepping up against top teams. Unlike their performances against mid-table and lower-tier clubs, the big guns often struggle against the "Seagulls." This is evident in their head-to-head record with Liverpool, where the last ten encounters have resulted in a complete deadlock.
We won't claim how close the "Scousers" are to emerging from their prolonged slump based on recent results alone. However, it's worth noting that the "Reds'" defense is far from stable: in five of their last seven matches, the Merseysiders failed to keep a clean sheet. Meanwhile, the "Seagulls" have scored in 12 of their last 13 Premier League outings. Given these circumstances, a bet on both teams to score (yes) seems likely to pay off. We give a slight edge to the hosts, who are unbeaten in four consecutive matches (2-1).
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Betting Tips: Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion
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