Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 Liverpool will host Brighton in the fourth round of the FA Cup. This is one of the marquee matchups at this stage of the tournament, yet bookmakers don't see much intrigue here. The Seagulls are currently struggling, having lost their last three games at Anfield. Can Fabian Hurzeler's side put up a fight, or will Arne Slot and company cruise through to the next round? Let's dive into it.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Liverpool):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Liverpool and Brighton & Hove Albion:
- played 21 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 4, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 46 against 26;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.57, in the 2nd half - 1.86;
- average total goals in the match - 3.43.
Head-to-head statistics Liverpool - Brighton
Liverpool Team Overview
Liverpool are in relatively decent form, having secured four wins in their last six matches. However, Arne Slot's side have been prone to slip-ups, causing them to drop out of the top five. Recently, the Reds bounced back from a defeat against Man City (1-2) by edging out Sunderland (1-0), though they highlighted their issues with finishing. Scoring just one goal from three big chances led to a nervy ending, which is disappointing.
On the brighter side, their FA Cup campaign has been smooth sailing so far. In the third round, the Reds confidently dispatched Barnsley (4-1). Alexis Mac Allister, Hugo Ekitike, and Florian Wirtz each contributed two goal involvements in that match. Such an outcome was expected against a team from the third tier. However, injuries are likely to rule out Stefan Bajcetic, Alexander Isak, Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leone, and Jeremie Frimpong from the upcoming fixture. This limits the hosts' options for rotation.
Match Results: Liverpool
Brighton & Hove Albion Team Overview
Brighton are facing significant challenges this season. The team have lost 3 of their last 4 matches and find themselves in 14th place in the Premier League table, just seven points clear of the relegation zone. The Seagulls are more accustomed to competing for European spots rather than battling for survival, which has already sparked rumors about Fabian Hurzeler's dismissal, and fans have been booing the team after poor performances.
The FA Cup might be the tournament that helps Brighton reset. Remember, in the previous round, the Seagulls pulled off a shock victory by defeating Manchester United at Old Trafford (2-1). Danny Welbeck started and netted the winning goal against his former club. It's likely the veteran will start again, alongside the even more seasoned James Milner. However, we won't see injured players Yasin Ayari, Stefanos Tsimas, and Adam Webster on the field.
Match Results: Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 4, draws - 4.
- Brighton & Hove Albion won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against Liverpool.
- Brighton & Hove Albion won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games.
- Brighton & Hove Albion won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.19, the guests - 1.24;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion
- average total in the tournament: 5 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 4 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 2 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 2 vs 1;
- Liverpool: average total at home in the tournament - 4;
- Brighton & Hove Albion: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.4 (home - 3.2) vs 1.1 (away - 1.17).
- Liverpool have scored under 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Brighton & Hove Albion.
Prediction on corners
Liverpool: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 11; at home field - 11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8; at home field - 9.2.
Brighton & Hove Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 3.5.
- Liverpool have taken over 4.5 corners in last 7 home games.
- Liverpool have taken over 4.5 corners in last 5 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.96 (1.48 for home team and 1.48 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.3 (1.2 for home team and 1.1 for away team).
Liverpool: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.9; at home - 1.
Brighton & Hove Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 3.33.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 13 of last 14 Brighton & Hove Albion games.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Brighton & Hove Albion away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
- Liverpool have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Brighton & Hove Albion.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their head-to-head stats, an open game with plenty of chances can be expected. Liverpool already have defensive issues, and with squad rotation, these might increase. Therefore, we wouldn't count on a clean sheet from Giorgi Mamardashvili, who is expected to be in goal. We believe the teams will hit the over and both find the back of the net. Our main bet is both teams to score (yes), with a predicted outcome of a 2-1 victory for the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion
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in 27 of last 28 Stuart Attwell games.in 9 of last 10 home games against Brighton & Hove Albion.in last 7 games against Brighton & Hove Albion.in 9 of last 10 home games.in last 8 games.in last 7 games.in 8 of last 9 games against Brighton & Hove Albion.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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