Hearts vs St Mirren Prediction 14 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming rescheduled Scottish Premiership matchday 17 clash between Hearts and St Mirren promises to be intriguing, as both teams find themselves at opposite ends of the table. Hearts are confidently leading the league, showcasing excellent form with four wins in their last five outings. Their attacking prowess and solid defense make them favorites for the victory. Meanwhile, St Mirren are battling for a mid-table position, eager to improve their standing following a string of defeats. The hosts are expected to dictate the pace of the game, relying on their aggressive style.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 29 October 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (St Mirren were the home side):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Hearts and St Mirren:
- 48 matches played;
- home wins: 24, away wins: 12, draws: 12;
- goals scored: 78 for Hearts, 50 for St Mirren;
- average goals in the first half: 1.25, in the second half: 1.42;
- average total goals per match: 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Hearts - St Mirren
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 22nd round of the Premier League, where Dundee hosted Hearts. The match ended with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Hearts vs Dundee):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
🔴 Hearts are showcasing outstanding form this season, securing 14 victories out of 21 matches. The team sits atop the league table, backed by impressive stats: they average 1.9 goals per game while conceding just 0.81. Over their last five fixtures, they've notched up four wins and suffered just one defeat, with their most recent outing resulting in an away win against Dundee (1-0). Derek McInnes's side continues to dominate on the pitch with a balanced approach-strong defense coupled with an effective attack. Hearts lead Rangers by three points and Celtic by six.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
St. Mirren Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on during the 22nd round of the Premier League, with St Mirren hosting Falkirk. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-2.
Here are the match statistics (St Mirren vs Falkirk):
- possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
⚫ St Mirren are struggling this season, sitting in tenth place with just four wins out of twenty matches. Their form has been less than stellar: a five-match unbeaten streak (including a Scottish League Cup tie) was followed by a draw and three consecutive defeats. In the last round, the Saints suffered a home loss to Falkirk (0-2). However, a recent encounter with Hearts on October 29 ended in a 2-2 draw, showcasing their ability to challenge stronger teams. Yet, an average of 0.8 goals per game against high-level competition remains a significant concern for Steve Robinson's squad.
Match Results: St. Mirren
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 48;
- Home team first-half wins - 11; Away team first-half wins - 3; Draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.25;
- Today's home team averages 0.65 goals, while the visitors average 0.6.
First-half Statistics: Hearts (home) vs St Mirren (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- Wins: 5 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 1 (10%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Draws: 4 (40%) vs 5 (55.56%);
- Average goals scored: 1.3 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.3 vs 0.78.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 1;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5).
- St Mirren have conceded in the first half in 6 of their last 7 away matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 48;
- Home wins - 24, Away wins - 12, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Hearts vs St. Mirren
- Matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- Wins: 14 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 67% vs 20%;
- Losses: 2 vs 10;
- Draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- St. Mirren cover the +2.5 spread in 36 of their last 37 matches.
- St. Mirren cover the +2.5 spread in 28 of their last 29 matches (Premier League).
- St. Mirren cover the +2.5 spread away in 20 consecutive matches.
- St. Mirren cover the +2.5 spread away in 16 consecutive matches (Premier League).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home team averages - 1.63 goals, the away team - 1.04;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.67;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 25 times; at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Hearts vs St. Mirren
- Average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 2.2;
- Average goals scored: 1.9 vs 0.8;
- Average total in the first half: 0.81 vs 0.3;
- Average total in the second half: 1.1 vs 0.5;
- Hearts: average home total in the tournament - 2.1;
- St. Mirren: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.25) vs 1.1 (away - 1.25).
- Hearts score under 2.5 goals in 10 consecutive matches (Premier League).
Corner Predictions
Hearts: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.86; at home - 6.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.5; at home - 6.5.
St. Mirren: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.05, away - 6.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.9; away - 7.25.
- Total over 9.5 corners hit in Hearts' last 5 matches (Premier League).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 48;
- Both teams scored overall - 25 times;
- At the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Hearts vs St. Mirren
- Total matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 20;
- Total matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 10 vs 8;
- Hearts BTTS at home - 5 (50%);
- St. Mirren BTTS away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- Hearts BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- St. Mirren BTTS away - 3 (75%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (16/129, 12.4%);
- Hearts at home most often finish matches: 1-0, 1-1 (2/10, 20%);
- St. Mirren away most often play: 2-0, 3-1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-0 - 12.76% (odds: 6)
2-0 - 11.86% (odds: 6)
2-1 - 10.5% (odds: 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Taking into account the current form of the teams and their head-to-head results, Hearts, as the league leaders with a solid defense and consistent attack, are expected to have the upper hand. However, we predict Hearts' individual total to be under 2.5 goals, as McInnes' side has scored fewer than 2.5 goals in ten consecutive league matches. We believe the visitors will be able to resist the hosts at their own end and pose a threat through their counter-attacking style. Moreover, this outcome has occurred in twelve of the last fourteen encounters between these clubs.
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Betting Tips: Heart of Midlothian - St. Mirren
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