St Mirren vs Hearts Prediction 3 February 2026

    🔊 The match in Round 25 between St Mirren and Hearts promises to be an intriguing contest. St Mirren, currently sitting 10th in the table, are eager to improve their form, having gone two matches without a loss. The hosts will rely on their defense to contain the attacks from their stronger opponents. Meanwhile, Hearts lead the league and have been delivering impressive performances both at home and away. Their attacking prowess gives them confidence for another victory. Both managers will aim to field their strongest line-ups to achieve their respective objectives.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 14 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2-0. Here's a breakdown of the comparative stats from that encounter (Hearts were the home side):

    • possession percentage: 40% vs 60%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • fouls: 7 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between St Mirren and Hearts:

    • 49 matches played;
    • home wins - 12, away wins - 25, draws - 12;
    • goals scored - 50 by St Mirren, 80 by Hearts;
    • average first-half goals - 1.22, second-half - 1.43;
    • average total goals per match - 2.65.

    Head-to-head statistics St Mirren - Hearts

    26%
    13 Wins
    24%
    12 Draws
    50%
    25 Wins
    Total games
    50
    Total Goals Avg
    2.62
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.02
    Total average
    1.6
    1.88
    Yellow cards
    1.36
    Last matches
    03.02.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    1
    2.33
    0.35
    7
    2
    19
    8
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.33
    0.35
    7
    2
    19
    8
    1
    1
    14.01.26
    Premiership
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    1
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    1.47
    1.09
    3
    5
    7
    12
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.47
    1.09
    3
    5
    7
    12
    0
    1
    29.10.25
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    1.17
    2.05
    6
    7
    9
    11
    2
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.17
    2.05
    6
    7
    9
    11
    2
    2
    16.08.25
    League Cup
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    -
    -
    3
    6
    14
    13
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    3
    6
    14
    13
    3
    3
    26.02.25
    Premiership
    Heart of Midlothian FC
    Heart of Midlothian FC
    St Mirren FC
    St Mirren FC
    1.35
    0.88
    5
    6
    8
    16
    0
    4
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    1.35
    0.88
    5
    6
    8
    16
    0
    4
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    St. Mirren Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Premier League, with St Mirren hosting Dundee. The game ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.

    Here are the match statistics (St Mirren vs Dundee):

    • possession percentage: 40% vs 60%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
    • fouls: 12 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    ⚫ St. Mirren are facing challenging times this season. The team has managed just four wins out of 23 matches and currently sit in tenth place on the table. The Saints are on a six-game winless streak, with four losses followed by two draws. In their last outing, Steve Robinson's side played to a goalless draw at home against Dundee. In a recent head-to-head away match against Hearts, they suffered a 0-2 defeat.

    Match Results: St. Mirren

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Dundee United
    Dundee United
    1.22
    1.56
    4
    7
    12
    13
    2
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    1.22
    1.56
    4
    7
    12
    13
    2
    2
    L
    09.09.26
    Premiership
    Rangers
    Rangers
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    2.13
    1.01
    12
    0
    13
    13
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.13
    1.01
    12
    0
    13
    13
    1
    1
    L
    05.09.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Celtic
    Celtic
    2.12
    2.86
    6
    10
    6
    12
    4
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.12
    2.86
    6
    10
    6
    12
    4
    1
    L
    02.09.26
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    0.7
    1.15
    7
    3
    12
    10
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.7
    1.15
    7
    3
    12
    10
    2
    2
    W
    30.08.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    2.06
    1.94
    7
    7
    14
    12
    2
    2
    3
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    2.06
    1.94
    7
    7
    14
    12
    2
    2
    D
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    Heart of Midlothian Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Premier League, where Dundee United hosted Hearts. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-3.

    Here are the game statistics (Hearts vs Dundee United):

    • possession: 70% vs 30%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 0;
    • fouls: 11 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 12 vs 2.

    🔴 Hearts continue to dominate the Scottish Premiership with their confident play and consistent form-seven wins in their last ten matches speak volumes. Last Saturday, Derek McInnes' side thrashed Dundee United away (3-0). The team's attacking line is functioning impeccably, averaging nearly two goals per game while conceding less than one per match. This combination makes them nearly unbeatable for most opponents this season.

    Match Results: Heart of Midlothian

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    0.42
    1.92
    2
    6
    13
    17
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.42
    1.92
    2
    6
    13
    17
    2
    2
    D
    15.09.26
    Premiership
    Falkirk
    Falkirk
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    1.55
    1.8
    3
    4
    15
    13
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.55
    1.8
    3
    4
    15
    13
    4
    3
    L
    11.09.26
    League Cup
    Stenhousemuir
    Stenhousemuir
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    -
    -
    1
    10
    7
    6
    3
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    10
    7
    6
    3
    0
    W
    06.09.26
    Premiership
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    Dundee
    Dundee
    1
    2.38
    0.43
    14
    2
    10
    13
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2.38
    0.43
    14
    2
    10
    13
    2
    3
    W
    03.09.26
    Premiership
    Hibernian
    Hibernian
    1
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    1.68
    1.18
    7
    8
    17
    8
    2
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1.68
    1.18
    7
    8
    17
    8
    2
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 49;
    • First-half victories for the home team - 11; for the away team - 3; draws - 10;
    • Average first-half total: 1.22;
    • Today's home side averages 0.59 goals, while the visitors average 0.63.

    First-Half Statistics: St Mirren (home) vs Hearts (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • Victories: 3 (25%) vs 6 (50%);
    • Defeats: 1 (8.33%) vs 4 (33.33%);
    • Draws: 8 (66.67%) vs 2 (16.67%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.5 vs 1.33;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.17 vs 0.58.

    Last 10 Matches (overall):

    • Victories: 0 vs 6;
    • Defeats: 2 vs 2;
    • Draws: 8 vs 2;
    • Average first-half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • St Mirren have drawn the first half in their last 5 matches.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.02)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 49;
    • Home wins - 12, Away wins - 25, Draws - 12.

    Statistics: St Mirren vs Hearts

    • Matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 24;
    • Victories: 4 vs 16;
    • Win percentage: 17% vs 67%;
    • Losses: 11 vs 2;
    • Draws: 8 vs 6.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 3 vs 7;
    • Losses: 4 vs 2;
    • Draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • St Mirren have won with a +1.5 handicap at home in 18 of their last 20 matches.
    • St Mirren have won with a +1.5 handicap at home in 15 of their last 17 matches (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: St. Mirren Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.31)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Today's home team averages - 1.02 goals, away team - 1.63;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.65;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 25 times; at the home team's ground - 13 times.

    Statistics: St Mirren vs Hearts

    • Average tournament total: 2.09 vs 2.75;
    • Average goals scored: 0.74 vs 1.96;
    • Average first-half total: 0.26 vs 0.79;
    • Average second-half total: 0.48 vs 1.17;
    • St Mirren: average home total in the tournament - 0.58;
    • Hearts: average away total in the tournament - 1.83;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.8) vs 1.8 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in 8 of St Mirren's last 9 matches (Premier League).
    • Total under 2.5 goals has occurred in St Mirren's last 6 consecutive matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5)(odds: 1.74)

    Corners Prediction

    St Mirren: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.87; at home - 5.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; at home - 6.

    Hearts: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.58, away - 5.58;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5; away - 5.6.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (11,5)(odds: 1.42)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 49;
    • Both teams scored overall - 25 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 13 times.

    Statistics: St Mirren vs Hearts

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 24;
    • Matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 11;
    • BTTS for St Mirren at home - 2 (17%);
    • BTTS for Hearts away - 5 (42%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS for St Mirren at home - 1 (20%);
    • BTTS for Hearts away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(odds: 1.88)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Frequent Results Statistics (current season):

    • The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (17/143, 11.9%);
    • St Mirren most frequently finishes home games at: 0-0 (3/12, 25%);
    • Hearts most frequently plays away games at: 0-2, 0-3, or 1-2 (2/12, 16.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:

    0-1 - 13.82% (odds: 6.5)
    1-1 - 12.13% (odds: 6.5)
    0-2 - 10.17% (odds: 8.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1)(odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering Hearts' excellent form and St. Mirren's struggles with scoring, the visitors are expected to have the upper hand in this clash. However, it's important to note that low-scoring games are typical for the "Saints" when facing stronger teams: the hosts focus on defense to alleviate pressure from their opponents. With this in mind, a low-scoring match is anticipated, and betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a logical choice. This bet has come through in 8 of St. Mirren's last 9 matches.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-128
    Published: 01/02/2026, 20:24

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    Betting Tips: St. Mirren - Heart of Midlothian

    St. Mirren have drawn in the 1st half:
    st-mirren-fcin last 5 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +102
    St. Mirren have not won:
    st-mirren-fcin last 8 games.
    st-mirren-fcin last 7 games (Premiership).
    Heart of Midlothian have not lost:
    heart-of-midlothianin 16 of last 18 away games.
    heart-of-midlothianin 13 of last 15 away games (Premiership).
    heart-of-midlothianin 11 of last 12 games.
    heart-of-midlothianin 10 of last 11 games (Premiership).
    Heart of Midlothian will not lose
    Everygame
    -455
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    st-mirren-fcin 6 of last 7 St. Mirren games.
    in 18 of last 20 Steven McLean games (in the Premiership).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -227
    Heart of Midlothian have scored:
    heart-of-midlothianin 15 of last 17 away games.
    heart-of-midlothianin last 11 games.
    heart-of-midlothianin last 10 games (Premiership).
    Heart of Midlothian will score goal
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    St Mirren - Hearts Table position

    Championship Group
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Celtic
    Celtic
    38264873-4182
    2.
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    38248667-3480
    3.
    Rangers
    Rangers
    382012676-4372
    4.
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    381613959-3661
    5.
    Hibernian
    Hibernian
    3815121158-4457
    6.
    Falkirk
    Falkirk
    381471750-6249

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 3
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 18
    -5
    +10
    23 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    23
    18
    Conceded
    13
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.6
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.3
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    4
    Both teams scored
    9
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    40'
    View all stats