Progreso vs Cerro Prediction 13 September 2026
🔊 Progreso come into this match after a difficult run, having lost three of their last five games and conceding considerably more than they have scored during that period. Cerro have been more consistent - two wins, two draws and just one defeat. The table underlines the contrast too: Progreso are in the lower half, while the visitors are in the top three. This fixture represents a significant test for the hosts given their opponent's clear advantage in form.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between the two sides ended in a 1-0 win for Progreso. Fernandez F. scored the only goal on the 84th minute.
Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Cerro
Progreso Team Overview
Progreso have won two and lost three of their last five matches. Over a longer stretch, they have struggled: just three wins in their previous ten games, with seven defeats and no draws. Their attack has been modest - they are averaging just 0.74 goals per match across the season, and only 0.5 over their last ten games. Defensively they have not looked solid either, conceding an average of 1.41 goals per game, which has regularly cost them points even against sides of a similar level.
Match Results: Progreso
Cerro Team Overview
Cerro come into this match on two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five games - a better short run than Progreso. Over the previous ten matches, they managed five wins, three defeats and two draws, showing slightly more balanced results despite a low average of one goal scored per game. Defensive issues remain, however: Cerro are conceding at a similar rate, around 1.44 goals per game on average this season.
Match Results: Cerro
Prediction for the 1st half
Given the low average scoring of both sides and the general tendency towards few goals in their matches, the first half looks set to be restrained too. In their last 10 home matches, Progreso have averaged just 0.5 goals per game, while Cerro have averaged 1.0 per game in their last 10 away matches. That makes Total Goals First Half - Under 1 worth considering at odds of 1.53*.
Total Goals Prediction
Both teams have been low-scoring this season: Progreso average 0.74 goals per match, while Cerro average 0.68. Over their last 10 matches the numbers remain modest - Progreso are averaging 0.5 goals and Cerro 1.0. Defensively, neither side has been particularly leaky either, with Progreso conceding 1.2 goals and Cerro 1.1 per match over their last 10. These figures point to a strong likelihood of a low-scoring game, making a bet on Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.50* look reasonable.
Corners Prediction
There is not much corners data available, but with low scoring and frequent draws there may be a more even contest, which often goes hand in hand with a higher number of set pieces. With no clear evidence against it, a bet on Total Corners - Over 9 at odds of 1.83* is worth considering.
Risky Bet
Given Cerro's poor away form (9 defeats in 13 matches) and the fact that Progreso pick up points at home more often, a bet on Progreso to win - Handicap (-0.5) at 2.30* looks an interesting risky option. Despite the hosts' low scoring rate, the visitors have clear difficulties away from home, which increases the likelihood of a narrow Progreso win.
Reliable Bet
Progreso have lost 7 of their 12 home matches, but Cerro have won only 2 of their 13 away games. This points to Cerro's struggles on the road and provides a basis for backing Double Chance - Progreso (Draw/Win) at odds of 1.33* as the most consistent option in this line.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13.45%), 1-0 (12.09%) and 0-0 (10.98%). Of these, 1-1 is the most probable outcome, though the chances of 1-0 and 0-0 are also fairly close. This supports the general picture of a low-scoring, evenly contested match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides are having a low-scoring season with unimpressive attacking play. Progreso rarely score more than one goal, and Cerro are not particularly effective in front of goal either. Over their last ten matches, the hosts have averaged just 0.5 goals scored, while the visitors are slightly better but still sit at exactly 1 goal per game. Both defences make regular mistakes, though the quality of attack on either side makes a high-scoring game unlikely. The visitors look the more dangerous side in attack and appear to be slight favourites for this one. Our prediction: the visitors not to lose.
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Betting Tips: Progreso - Cerro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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