Cerro vs Progreso Prediction 14 March 2026
📣 The matchup between Cerro and Progreso promises to be intriguing from a tactical standpoint. Both sides have been struggling in recent games, which only adds to the suspense. Progreso sit slightly lower in the standings, providing them with an extra incentive to improve their performance. Both teams tend to have low-scoring games, yet the head-to-head stats suggest the potential for unexpected twists. Read the prediction for their clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Progreso were the home side):
- possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of past official matches between Cerro and Progreso:
- 18 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 7, draws - 6;
- goals scored (home/away) - 19 to 22;
- average total goals per match - 2.28.
Head-to-head statistics Cerro - Progreso
Cerro Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Racing Montevideo as the home team and Cerro as the visitors. The game ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Cerro vs Racing Montevideo):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 4 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Cerro sit 15th in the league and are going through a tough spell. Their last five matches have resulted in three losses and a draw, highlighting the team's inconsistency. At home, Cerro rarely see the total go over 2.5 goals, indicating their cautious approach on their own turf. They average just 0.25 goals per game while conceding around 1.5 goals per match.
Match Results: Cerro
Progreso Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Progreso as the home team and Albion as the visitors. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Progreso vs Albion):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
Progreso sit 16th in the standings and are grappling with their own issues on the pitch, having suffered three losses and drawn twice in their last five outings. Nevertheless, they demonstrate more attacking potential than their opponents, averaging 0.8 goals per game while conceding an average of 2 goals. Their away form is less than impressive, but they have an opportunity to exploit Cerro's defensive vulnerabilities.
Match Results: Progreso
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Cerro (Home) vs Progreso (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- Number of draws: 2 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- Average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.5;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 2 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 7 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6).
- Cerro have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games.
- Cerro have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
- Cerro have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 7, draws - 6.
Statistics: Cerro vs Progreso
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 0 vs 0;
- win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.06, the guests - 1.22;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.28;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 3.
- Progreso have conceded in last 9 games (Primera Division).
- Progreso have conceded in last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
Cerro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home field - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home field - 2.83.
Progreso: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 3.67.
- Under 10.5 corners in 17 of last 19 Cerro games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 16 of last 18 Cerro games (Primera Division).
- Under 10.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Cerro home games (Primera Division).
- Under 10.5 corners in 12 of last 13 Progreso games (Primera Division).
- Under 10.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Progreso games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Cerro vs Progreso
- number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Progreso away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Cerro at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Progreso away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (8/39, 20.5%);
- Cerro at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:1 (1/2, 50%);
- Progreso away most often play: 2:0 , 2:2 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.12% (odds 6)
1:0 - 13.07% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 12.62% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between Cerro and Progreso, expect a cautious encounter as both teams traditionally prioritize organized defense. Recent statistics reveal both sides struggle with converting chances, often concluding matches with few goals. Their head-to-head battles frequently unfold as tight midfield duels, significantly lowering the probability of high-scoring outcomes. Considering the current form of the attacking units and the tactical conservatism of these clubs, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Cerro - Progreso
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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