Newcastle vs Wolves Prediction 13 September 2025
🔊 On September 13, St. James' Park will host a clash between two Premier League underdogs - Newcastle and Wolverhampton. While the description fits the latter, the Magpies' position in the table is quite surprising. Admittedly, their early-season schedule was tough. While the results of their first two matches might be expected, Eddie Howe's side clearly could have performed better against Leeds, even away from home. Unlike their upcoming opponents, the Wolves have managed to secure one victory this season, but it hasn't impacted their standing in England's top flight - the win came in the English League Cup. Both clubs have been winless in the league since the end of last season. We'll explore which of them has a better chance to break this streak in our insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams have a storied rivalry in the Premier League. In their last 10 meetings, Newcastle hold the edge with a 4-1 advantage in wins. However, the Wolves have managed to snatch points from the Magpies on four occasions, resulting in draws. The most frequent scoreline has been 1-1, occurring three times, and once they played out a thrilling 2-2 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Newcastle - Wolves
Newcastle United Team Overview
Eddie Howe's side are on an 11-match winless streak across all competitions, including six preseason games without a victory. In the current Premier League campaign, the Magpies hosted Liverpool (2-3) and played two goalless away matches-against Aston Villa and Leeds (0-0). At Elland Road, Newcastle faced significant personnel issues in their attacking lineup: Anthony Gordon was suspended, and Joelinton was sidelined due to injury. This took a toll on the Magpies' offense as they failed to capitalize on their territorial advantage (57% possession to 43%), trailing in shots 8 to 10 and expected goals (0.39 xG to 0.62 xG). Fortunately for Newcastle, the scoreboard remained untouched until the final whistle.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Overview
Vítor Pereira's team, much like their upcoming opponents, are eager for a win as they endure a winless streak spanning 11 matches, including the Premier League and preseason. Just like the "Magpies," the "Wolves" have had a tough start to the season with fixtures against Manchester City, Bournemouth, and Everton. While it was challenging to expect positive results away against the first two, the home clash with Everton was a chance to at least secure a point. The match was a back-and-forth affair with Wolverhampton holding a significant possession advantage (59% to 41%). Nevertheless, the visitors were more threatening in terms of chances (2.04 xG against 0.94 xG) and subsequently in finishing, winning 3-2.
Match Results: Wolverhampton Wanderers
Latest news
Newcastle United
📝 As the transfer window drew to a close, the saga surrounding Alexander Isak's time at Newcastle came to an end as the management finally allowed his move to Liverpool. This wouldn't have happened without the signings of Yoane Wissa from Brentford for €57.7 million and Nick Woltemade from Stuttgart for €85 million. Great news for the Geordies, considering they managed just five shots with a total xG of 0.41 against Leeds.
💰 Nick Woltemade's transfer, according to ESPN experts, has become the most expensive in the Premier League for 2025. The metric used for this assessment was the player's cost relative to the buying club's seasonal revenue. Newcastle spent 22.86% of their annual income on Woltemade. For comparison, Alexander Isak's transfer ranks only sixth on this list, with Liverpool allocating 20.15% of their annual revenue for him. Honorary Bayern President Uli Hoeness, for instance, didn't appreciate the striker's transfer fee: "He just got lucky. He's not worth €90 million. This only happened because of money coming in from Saudi Arabia."
❌ Anthony Gordon is certain to miss the upcoming match due to a three-game suspension following a red card. Sandro Tonali, Fabian Schär, and Jacob Ramsey, who didn't finish the game against Liverpool, appeared in the next match against Leeds. There are still concerns about Joelinton-his injury is more severe than his teammates', but reports suggest he was expected to return to training after the international break.
Wolverhampton Wanderers
📝 As the transfer window closed, Wolverhampton secured the top scorer of the Belgian Pro League 2024/25, Tolu Arokodare, who netted 21 goals. The former Genk striker cost the Wolves €27 million, including bonuses. This acquisition was necessary due to an injury to forward Jørgen Strand Larsen, last season's attacking leader for Wolverhampton with 14 goals. In his absence, Hwang Hee-chan has stepped up, scoring in the match against Everton. Rodrigo Gomes currently leads the team in all competitions with two goals.
🎙 Wolverhampton's head coach Vítor Pereira shared his thoughts on the result against Everton: “Yes, I'm disappointed with the result. Many, many times they were really dangerous on the counterattack, and from those moments came the chances they created. But looking at the game as a whole, I think we created a lot of goal-scoring opportunities.”
❌ Summer signing Ki-Jana Hoever continues his recovery from an injury sustained in the second round of the Premier League. Jørgen Strand Larsen's participation in Saturday's match is doubtful after he suffered a minor Achilles injury during the international break and left the Norway squad. Hugo Bueno, who made his first start of the season in the Premier League match against Everton, was substituted, and finding an alternative for him should not be difficult.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Chris Kavanagh. He has had a productive start to the season, having been appointed to high-profile matches such as the English Super Cup and the Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool. However, the English referee has shown more than four cards only once in seven games across all competitions, including the Europa League qualifiers.
The intensity level in matches involving these teams at the start of the season hasn't been particularly high: Wolverhampton games average 3.3 cautions, compared to Newcastle's 3. Considering Chris Kavanagh's officiating style, we believe he will maintain control on the pitch. Our bet: total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
In their last 10 matches, Wolverhampton games have seen more goals on average: 3 compared to Newcastle's 2.4. This season, only Liverpool managed to seriously threaten Newcastle's defense-Aston Villa and Leeds failed to score. We expect that at St James' Park, the visitors won't get many attacking opportunities, but it's also too early for the hosts with their revamped roster to show high-scoring form. Total goals under 3 seems a well-founded prediction here.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both clubs have strengthened their squads with towering forwards at the end of the transfer window: Nick Woltemade and Tolu Arokodare, standing at 198 and 196 centimeters respectively. Already inclined to play set pieces, these teams (averaging 10.6 corners in their last six head-to-head meetings) now have additional attacking options. Therefore, we predict that in the upcoming game total corners will exceed 9.5.
Editorial Prediction
The upcoming opponents haven't tasted victory since last season, with Wolverhampton having a longer winless streak in head-to-head matchups against Newcastle; their last win dates back to 2021. Since then, they've faced off seven times, and the Wolves have only managed to snatch points from the Magpies twice through draws.
The odds for this clash don't even suggest a draw-Eddie Howe's side are heavy favorites, nearly five times more likely to win according to bookmakers. It's hard to argue with that: the Magpies nearly snatched a victory from Liverpool at St James' Park despite being a man down. They return here on Saturday, aiming to extend their unbeaten run against Wolverhampton. We anticipate the hosts will confidently seal a 2-0 victory-it's worth noting that the visitors have only scored at Molineux this season. Our main betting recommendation is to back Newcastle to win with a -1 handicap.
No comments
Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers
in last 7 games (Premier League)..svg)
in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
in 12 of last 13 games against Wolverhampton Wanderers (Premier League).in last 6 home games against Wolverhampton Wanderers (Premier League).in last 7 games (Premier League).in 14 of last 15 Newcastle United games against Wolverhampton Wanderers (Premier League).in 13 of last 14 Newcastle United games against Wolverhampton Wanderers.in 9 of last 10 Newcastle United home games against Wolverhampton Wanderers.in 7 of last 8 Newcastle United home games against Wolverhampton Wanderers (Premier League).in 19 of last 20 Newcastle United home games.in 14 of last 15 Newcastle United home games (Premier League).in 6 of last 7 Wolverhampton Wanderers games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
