Uzbekistan vs Russia Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
🔉 Russia travel to Tashkent to face a team making their FIFA World Cup debut. This is the teams’ first meeting, and it will be Russia’s first away match since June. Both sides have scored plenty in recent matches: Uzbekistan are unbeaten in 16 consecutive home games, while Russia have scored 11 goals in three matches this autumn. It could be a high-scoring game, especially as the friendly nature of the match takes the pressure of the result off both teams.
Head-to-Head
📊 The national teams' first-ever meeting.
Home fortress and goalscoring prowess
Uzbekistan made their World Cup debut in the summer of 2026, but did not make a strong impression: they lost all three matches by an aggregate score of 2-11. After the World Cup, they began a run of friendlies in which they looked assured. The standout result was a 3-1 win over Iran: Uzbekistan scored more goals in that match than they had in their previous six. They followed it with another home win, beating Syria 4-1, while their only away match ended in a 2-0 defeat to South Korea.
Uzbekistan host Russia at the 35,000-capacity Pakhtakor Stadium in Tashkent. They have been strong at home and are unbeaten in 16 matches there. They won 13 of those matches, although two wins came in extra time and one on penalties. Uzbekistan’s last home defeat was back in 2023, when they lost to Iran.
Match Results: Uzbekistan
Unbeaten since June, but the first away trip lies ahead
At the start of autumn, Russia played three friendlies, all at home. The run began with a convincing 2-0 win over Iran. They then thrashed Namibia, scoring six unanswered goals. Against Nigeria, they were heading for a convincing win: Russia led 3-1 by the 54th minute, but the match ended 3-3, with Nigeria scoring their third goal in the 90th minute. Russia conceded three goals for the first time in 25 matches; twice during that spell, they had conceded two.
In November 2025, Russia struggled against South American opposition, drawing 1-1 with Peru and losing 2-0 to Chile. Those two matches began a five-game run in which Russia beat only Nicaragua, with two draws and two defeats. But they have not lost since June 2026: four wins and a draw. All five of those games were at home, however, and a difficult trip to Tashkent lies ahead.
Match Results: Russia
Latest news
Uzbekistan
Manchester City defender Abdukodir Khusanov has been left out of the national team squad due to a minor injury. Eldor Shomurodov, Abbosbek Fayzullaev and Oston Urunov, all well known for their performances in the Russian Premier League, are in the squad.
Russia
Russia have some absentees. Maksim Glushenkov has not been included in the squad, while Aleksandr Sobolev and Aleksandr Golovin will not play due to injuries. Even without them, the squad looks strong: Aleksey Miranchuk, Aleksey Batrakov, Lechi Sadulaev and Konstantin Tyukavin have been called up.
⚽️ Goals prediction
Russia have scored at least one goal in six of their last seven away friendlies, with at least three goals scored in four of those matches. Even with the attacking absences, the team still have enough players capable of creating and converting chances: Miranchuk, Batrakov, Tyukavin and Sadulaev. We’re backing Russia Team Total Goals - Over 1 at odds of 1.46*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Russia have won at least five corners in nine consecutive friendlies. This is a consistent trend: they attack frequently down the flanks and win set pieces near the opposition’s goal, even against stronger opponents. We’re backing Russia Team Total Corners - Over 4.5.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
No more than three yellow cards have been shown in each of Russia’s last five matches. This is no coincidence: international friendlies rarely involve intense physical battles, and Russia have played with discipline in recent matches. The nature of the match also favours a calmer game - both teams are pursuing their objectives through on-field experimentation rather than a fierce battle for the result. The bet is Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Tashkent has become a real fortress for Uzbekistan in recent years: 16 matches unbeaten, with 13 wins. But their defence is far from perfect - they have conceded in their last eight matches, and six of those games featured at least three goals. Uzbekistan can surprise going forward: their emphatic wins over Iran (3:1) and Syria (4:1) show that. Russia have been prolific too, scoring 11 goals in three autumn matches, while their game against Nigeria turned into a shootout (3:3). Both sides have players missing, but their squad depth allows Russia to maintain their attacking quality, while Uzbekistan lose a key defender in Khusanov. Total Goals - Over 2.5 is the main pick. Predicted score: 2:2.
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Betting Tips: Uzbekistan - Russia
in 7 of last 8 home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 13 of last 14 home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 24 of last 26 games (Int. Friendly Games).in 12 of last 14 away games (Int. Friendly Games).in 16 of last 17 Uzbekistan games (Int. Friendly Games).in 13 of last 14 Uzbekistan home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 8 of last 9 Russia away games (Int. Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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