Malta vs Eswatini Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 November 2026
🔉 Malta host Eswatini at the National Stadium in Ta' Qali. For the hosts, this is a final rehearsal ahead of the decisive Nations League match against Gibraltar, where one point will be enough for them to win the group. For Eswatini, it is a historic visit to Europe and a chance to end a long winless run.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams are meeting for the first time.
Best form in years
Malta are unbeaten in five matches: four wins and one draw. In their last five matches, they have scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) and conceded just 2. They have been particularly assured at home, with two wins and a draw in their last three home matches.
Ilyas Chouaref and Irvin Cardona will carry the main attacking burden. The squad includes experienced leaders (Henry Bonello, Joseph Mbong), as well as players who have not been in the national team for some time - Yannick Yankam and Matthias Ellul - and Stephen Pisani. Malta play compactly and try to make use of set pieces.
Match Results: Malta
10 matches without a win
Eswatini are in a deep crisis: 10 matches without a win in all competitions. In their last five matches, they have scored just three goals (0.6 per game) and conceded eleven, losing four of the five. In 2026 World Cup qualifying, they played 10 matches without a win (3 draws, 7 defeats), scoring 6 goals and conceding 19.
The main problem is their attack: 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches, compared with 2.2 conceded. Philane Mkhontfo is their top scorer in qualifying (2 goals), while Justice Figuareido (2 goals) is also worth highlighting. The psychological burden of the winless run could bring either added pressure or a desperate sense of motivation.
Match Results: Eswatini
Latest news
Malta
Defender Jean Borg is still recovering from groin surgery and is out for 10-12 weeks. Midfielder Jake Grech has undergone hand surgery and is also out for several weeks.
Eswatini
The coaching staff can count on all their key players.
Match Result Prediction
Eswatini have not won any of their 10 matches this season and have lost four of their five away games. Malta have won three of their 10 matches. However, at home they have just one win and three defeats in five games, so the hosts cannot be considered clear favourites. We pick Malta - Handicap -0.25 at odds of 1.40*.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in seven consecutive Malta matches. Over their last 10 matches, Malta have conceded an average of 2.3 goals and Eswatini 2.0; Eswatini's average in away matches is 2.2. However, Eswatini score just 0.2 goals per away match on average, which limits the case for a high-scoring game. We pick Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.35*.
Safer Bet
Malta have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 18 of their last 19 matches. They have averaged 0.8 goals in their last 10 matches, with the same figure recorded for home matches. These figures support Malta Team Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.25*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1:0 (11.02%), 1:1 (10.6%) and 2:1 (10.1%). The 1:0 scoreline ranks first. The probabilities of the other two scorelines are 10.6% and 10.1%, respectively.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Pick
Malta are on the up, playing at home and have a stronger squad, despite the absences of Borg and Grech. However, the match's friendly status and possible rotation ahead of the game against Gibraltar mean a home win cannot be considered guaranteed. Eswatini will be desperately seeking their first goal in a long time, while Malta have not always kept a clean sheet in recent matches. The main pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2:1.
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Betting Tips: Malta - Eswatini
in 8 of last 9 home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 18 of last 19 games (Int. Friendly Games).in 8 of last 9 home games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 7 Malta games (Int. Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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