Kryliya vs Rodina Prediction 11 September 2026
🔉 The eighth round of the RPL is opened by two sides who have both struggled to find any consistency. Krylya Sovetov are in slightly better shape: they have gone five matches in a row without losing in normal time and have even taken points off the league leaders. Rodina are in a very different position - five consecutive defeats, the worst defence in the league, and their first-choice striker suspended.
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Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have never met at senior level. Rodina are in the RPL for the first time, and their paths did not cross in the lower divisions either.
Head-to-head statistics Kryliya - Rodina
Krylya Sovetov Team Overview
Sergei Bulatov is gradually getting things working. The team have gone five matches without a defeat in normal time. In the league, that run has included a 3-0 win over Akron, a 3-3 draw with Akhmat, and, perhaps most notably, a point against league leaders Krasnodar (2-2). Krylya can score - 10 goals in seven rounds - but they concede regularly too: five goals shipped across their last two draws. In the Cup, though, the team have been different, playing out two goalless draws against Zenit and Baltika. Krylya can go either way: attacking when the mood takes them, cautious when the opponent demands it.
Their home record is a concern: two defeats in their last three RPL matches at Solidarnost Samara Arena. The team do create chances, make active use of the flanks, and Kramarič and Costanza provide creativity when fit. Defensively, though, they are vulnerable: 1.71 goals conceded per match, the third-worst figure in the league.
Match Results: Krylya Sovetov
Rodina Moscow Team Overview
Rodina are the prime relegation candidates this season. Three consecutive defeats in the RPL, and five if you include the Russian Cup, is no longer a coincidence - it is a pattern. They have conceded 15 goals across those matches. The defence is simply falling apart: defenders are losing their positions and making basic errors. The attack offers no relief either - the team scores rarely and with difficulty.
Away from home, Rodina do have their moments. The win over Zenit (2:1) shows the team are capable of a surprise when they sit back and catch opponents on the counter-attack. But such matches are rare. On the road, Rodina lose more often than they pick up points. The team's game is built around quick transitions, but without consistency in the final third and reliability at the back, that style becomes self-defeating.
Match Results: Rodina Moscow
Latest news
Krylya Sovetov
The main loss is the departure of Ivan Oleynikov. He is joining CSKA, despite having previously agreed terms with Rubin. The player contributed three goals and two assists in seven RPL matches, and his absence will be felt in attack. Mikhaylo Banyats is injured. Fernando Costanza has recovered from his injury.
Rodina Moscow
Herman Onugha is suspended after receiving a straight red card last round. It is a significant loss - he was the first-choice striker. The club are in talks with Fenerbahçe over a loan deal for defender Rodrigo Becão, who previously played in the RPL with CSKA. His involvement in the match is in doubt even if the deal is concluded in the coming days.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
There is plenty of physical play and fouling in matches involving these two sides. In 9 of their last 10 RPL matches, Krylya Sovetov were involved in games with at least 25 fouls, and the team themselves committed at least 12. Krylya have committed a minimum of 25 fouls in nine of their last ten matches. Rodina have fouled more than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 away matches. For this game, Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 is worth considering at 1.78*.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
In the 2026/27 RPL, both teams are involved in some of the highest-scoring matches in the division. Krylya Sovetov's matches average 3.14 goals this season, while Rodina's average 3.85. Both sides concede heavily. We're going with Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.81*. At least three goals have been scored in each of Krylya's last four RPL matches and in 6 of Rodina's last 7 in the competition.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both teams look to play attacking football. Krylya are active down the flanks at home and generate pressure. Rodina try to press and threaten the opposition goal even away from home, which also leads to set-piece situations. We're going with Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.87*. That bet has come in in 4 of Rodina's last 5 away matches across all competitions.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Krylya Sovetov have the character and the ability to avoid defeat even against strong opponents. Rodina are in crisis right now: five consecutive losses, the worst defence in the division, and the loss of their first-choice striker. Oleynikov's departure is a blow for the hosts, but they have enough depth to cover that loss. The visitors, meanwhile, have problems everywhere - in defence, in attack, and mentally. Home advantage and a recent draw against Krasnodar should give Samara confidence. We're backing a Krylya Sovetov win. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Krylya Sovetov - Rodina Moscow
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